Econometric Research on Regulating Menthol Cigarettes and Smoking Cessation

薄荷醇卷烟监管与戒烟的计量经济学研究

基本信息

批准号：
8681812
负责人：
Donald S. Kenkel
金额：
$ 22.47万
依托单位：
CORNELL UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
财政年份：
2014
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2014-08-15 至 2016-07-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8681812
关键词：
Address Adult Advertisements Advertising Advisory Committees African American Back Cigarette Data Data Analyses Development Economic Policy Economics Excision Exploratory/Developmental Grant Exposure to Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act Future Goals Habits Hispanics Individual Investigation Journals Life Cycle Stages Light Marketing Measures Menthol Methods Modeling Policies Population Price Public Health Reading Recommendation Recording of previous events Reporting Research Research Priority Research Project Grants Respondent Role Sampling Series Smoke Smoker Smoking Social Sciences Surveys Terminology Time Tobacco Tobacco use United States United States National Institutes of Health Vulnerable Populations authority feeding improved novel population survey public health relevance response smoking cessation tobacco advertising tobacco control treatment effect young adult

项目摘要

SUMMARY The 2009 Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act gives the FDA regulatory authority over the manufacture, distribution and marketing of tobacco products in order to improve public health. The Tobacco Products Scientific Advisory Committee's recommendation to the FDA Center for Tobacco Products (CTP) is that: "Removal of menthol cigarettes from the marketplace would benefit public health in the United States." The FDA CTP will make a future determination about its regulatory approach to menthol. The broad goal of the proposed research is to help inform the FDA CTP's regulatory authority. To accomplish our broad goal we will apply state-of-the-art econometric methods to study relationships between the use of menthol and smoking cessation. Specific Aim 1 is to use quasi-experimental econometric methods to study the relationship between menthol cigarette use and smoking cessation. We will analyze data from the 2003, 2006-07 and 2010-11 cycles of the Tobacco Use Supplements to the Current Population Survey (TUS-CPS). The TUS-CPS provides large nationally representative samples of the US population, including sub-samples of current and former smokers of about N=75,000 in 2003, N=70,000 in 2006-07, and N=60,000 in 2010-11. We will conduct parallel analysis of data from the Simmons National Consumer Survey (NCS) from the 1995 waves onwards, which will provide a pooled sample of almost 80,000 current and past-year smokers. In the terminology of quasi-experimental econometrics, our main focus will be on the causal treatment effect of menthol use on smoking cessation. Because this exploratory research is proposed under the R21 mechanism, we do not aim to develop a single "best" estimate. Instead, we aim to develop a range of credible preliminary estimates, and more importantly, explore the potential of state-of-the-art econometric methods to this novel application. Specific Aim 2 is to conduct an empirical investigation into the economics of consumer choices about menthol cigarettes and smoking cessation. We will use geocode information to merge the individual-level data from the TUS-CPS and NCS with market-level demand influences including prices and advertising. For the NCS data, we will also use information on respondents' magazine-reading habits to create individual-level measures of potential exposure to cigarette advertisements in magazines. We will focus on social science economic research questions about: the extent to which smokers see menthol and non-menthol cigarettes as close substitutes; and the role of advertising in consumer choices. Specific Aim 3 is to conduct an empirical investigation into the economics of consumer choices about menthol cigarettes over the life course. We will use responses to unique questions in the 2010-2011 to build approximate histories of life course menthol use. We will extend Aims 1 & 2 through the analysis of these novel life-course data. Aims 1-3 describe a plan to conduct exploratory and developmental R21 research that addresses research questions that cut across 3 of the Research Priorities outlined in the NIH FOA PAR-12-266: understanding the diversity of tobacco products; marketing; and economics and policies. X

概括 2009 年《家庭吸烟预防和烟草控制法案》赋予 FDA 对家庭吸烟预防和烟草控制的监管权烟草制品的制造、分销和营销，以改善公众健康。烟草产品科学咨询委员会向 FDA 烟草产品中心 (CTP) 提出的建议是认为：“将薄荷卷烟从市场上清除将有利于美国的公共健康。”这 FDA CTP 将在未来决定其对薄荷醇的监管方法。该组织的总体目标是拟议的研究旨在帮助告知 FDA CTP 监管机构。为了实现我们的宏伟目标，我们将应用最先进的计量经济学方法来研究薄荷醇的使用与吸烟之间的关系停止。具体目标1是利用准实验计量经济学方法来研究之间的关系薄荷醇香烟的使用和戒烟。我们将分析 2003、2006-07 和 2010-11 周期的数据当前人口调查 (TUS-CPS) 的烟草使用补充。 TUS-CPS 提供大量美国人口的全国代表性样本，包括当前和以前吸烟者的子样本 2003 年约 N=75,000，2006-07 年 N=70,000，2010-11 年 N=60,000。我们将进行并行分析西蒙斯全国消费者调查 (NCS) 自 1995 年以来的数据，这将提供汇集了近 80,000 名当前和去年吸烟者的样本。用准实验术语来说在计量经济学中，我们的主要关注点是薄荷醇的使用对戒烟的因果治疗效果。由于这项探索性研究是在 R21 机制下提出的，因此我们并不旨在开发单一的 “最佳”估计。相反，我们的目标是制定一系列可信的初步估计，更重要的是，探索最先进的计量经济学方法在这一新颖应用中的潜力。具体目标 2 是对消费者选择薄荷卷烟的经济学进行实证调查戒烟。我们将使用地理编码信息来合并来自 TUS-CPS 的个人级别数据和 NCS 具有市场层面的需求影响，包括价格和广告。对于 NCS 数据，我们还将使用有关受访者杂志阅读习惯的信息，以创建个人层面的潜在接触量衡量标准杂志上的香烟广告。我们将重点关注以下社会科学经济研究问题：吸烟者将薄荷醇和非薄荷醇香烟视为相近替代品的程度；和角色消费者选择中的广告。具体目标 3 是对以下领域的经济学进行实证调查：消费者在整个生命过程中对薄荷卷烟的选择。我们将使用对独特问题的回答 2010-2011 年建立薄荷醇使用生命历程的大致历史。我们将通过以下方式扩展目标 1 和 2：分析这些新颖的生命历程数据。目标 1-3 描述了进行探索性和开发性 R21 的计划解决涉及 NIH FOA 中概述的 3 个研究重点的研究问题的研究 PAR-12-266：了解烟草产品的多样性；营销;以及经济和政策。 X