Econometric Research on Regulating Menthol Cigarettes and Smoking Cessation

薄荷醇卷烟监管与戒烟的计量经济学研究

• 批准号: 8681812
• 负责人: Donald S. Kenkel
• 金额: $ 22.47万
• 依托单位: CORNELL UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2014-08-15 至 2016-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8681812
• 关键词: Address; Adult; Advertisements; Advertising; Advisory Committees; African American; Back; Cigarette; Data; Data Analyses; Development; Economic Policy; Economics; Excision; Exploratory/Developmental Grant; Exposure to; Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act; Future; Goals; Habits; Hispanics; Individual; Investigation; Journals; Life Cycle Stages; Light; Marketing; Measures; Menthol; Methods; Modeling; Policies; Population; Price; Public Health; Reading; Recommendation; Recording of previous events; Reporting; Research; Research Priority; Research Project Grants; Respondent; Role; Sampling; Series; Smoke; Smoker; Smoking; Social Sciences; Surveys; Terminology; Time; Tobacco; Tobacco use; United States; United States National Institutes of Health; Vulnerable Populations; authority; feeding; improved; novel; population survey; public health relevance; response; smoking cessation; tobacco advertising; tobacco control; treatment effect; young adult; Address; Adult; Advertisements; Advertising; Advisory Committees; African American; Back; Cigarette; Data; Data Analyses; Development; Economic Policy; Economics; Excision; Exploratory/Developmental Grant; Exposure to; Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act; Future; Goals; Habits; Hispanics; Individual; Investigation; Journals; Life Cycle Stages; Light; Marketing; Measures; Menthol; Methods; Modeling; Policies; Population; Price; Public Health; Reading; Recommendation; Recording of previous events; Reporting; Research; Research Priority; Research Project Grants; Respondent; Role; Sampling; Series; Smoke; Smoker; Smoking; Social Sciences; Surveys; Terminology; Time; Tobacco; Tobacco use; United States; United States National Institutes of Health; Vulnerable Populations; authority; feeding; improved; novel; population survey; public health relevance; response; smoking cessation; tobacco advertising; tobacco control; treatment effect; young adult

SUMMARY The 2009 Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act gives the FDA regulatory authority over the manufacture, distribution and marketing of tobacco products in order to improve public health. The Tobacco Products Scientific Advisory Committee's recommendation to the FDA Center for Tobacco Products (CTP) is that: "Removal of menthol cigarettes from the marketplace would benefit public health in the United States." The FDA CTP will make a future determination about its regulatory approach to menthol. The broad goal of the proposed research is to help inform the FDA CTP's regulatory authority. To accomplish our broad goal we will apply state-of-the-art econometric methods to study relationships between the use of menthol and smoking cessation. Specific Aim 1 is to use quasi-experimental econometric methods to study the relationship between menthol cigarette use and smoking cessation. We will analyze data from the 2003, 2006-07 and 2010-11 cycles of the Tobacco Use Supplements to the Current Population Survey (TUS-CPS). The TUS-CPS provides large nationally representative samples of the US population, including sub-samples of current and former smokers of about N=75,000 in 2003, N=70,000 in 2006-07, and N=60,000 in 2010-11. We will conduct parallel analysis of data from the Simmons National Consumer Survey (NCS) from the 1995 waves onwards, which will provide a pooled sample of almost 80,000 current and past-year smokers. In the terminology of quasi-experimental econometrics, our main focus will be on the causal treatment effect of menthol use on smoking cessation. Because this exploratory research is proposed under the R21 mechanism, we do not aim to develop a single "best" estimate. Instead, we aim to develop a range of credible preliminary estimates, and more importantly, explore the potential of state-of-the-art econometric methods to this novel application. Specific Aim 2 is to conduct an empirical investigation into the economics of consumer choices about menthol cigarettes and smoking cessation. We will use geocode information to merge the individual-level data from the TUS-CPS and NCS with market-level demand influences including prices and advertising. For the NCS data, we will also use information on respondents' magazine-reading habits to create individual-level measures of potential exposure to cigarette advertisements in magazines. We will focus on social science economic research questions about: the extent to which smokers see menthol and non-menthol cigarettes as close substitutes; and the role of advertising in consumer choices. Specific Aim 3 is to conduct an empirical investigation into the economics of consumer choices about menthol cigarettes over the life course. We will use responses to unique questions in the 2010-2011 to build approximate histories of life course menthol use. We will extend Aims 1 & 2 through the analysis of these novel life-course data. Aims 1-3 describe a plan to conduct exploratory and developmental R21 research that addresses research questions that cut across 3 of the Research Priorities outlined in the NIH FOA PAR-12-266: understanding the diversity of tobacco products; marketing; and economics and policies. X

概括 2009年的《家庭预防吸烟和烟草控制法》赋予了FDA监管授权 生产，分销和营销烟草产品以改善公共卫生。烟草 产品科学咨询委员会向FDA烟草产品中心（CTP）提出的建议是 那就是：“从市场上清除薄荷香烟将使美国的公共卫生受益。”这 FDA CTP将来将对其对薄荷醇的监管方法做出确定。广泛的目标 拟议的研究旨在帮助FDA CTP的监管机构。为了实现我们的广泛目标，我们将 应用最先进的计量经济学方法来研究薄荷醇和吸烟的使用之间的关系 停止。具体目的1是使用准实验经济学方法研究 薄荷香烟的使用和戒烟。我们将分析2003、2006-07和2010-11周期的数据 当前人口调查（TUS-CPS）的烟草补充剂。 TUS-CPS提供大量 美国人口的全国代表样本，包括当前和前吸烟者的子样本 在2003年，大约n = 75,000，n = 70,000在2006 - 07年，在2010 - 11年度为n = 60,000。我们将对 来自1995年浪潮的Simmons国家消费者调查（NCS）的数据，这将提供 汇总了近80,000名当前和过去吸烟者的样本。在准实验的术语中 计量经济学，我们的主要重点将是薄荷醇对戒烟的因果治疗效应。 因为这项探索性研究是根据R21机制提出的，所以我们不打算开发一个 “最佳”估计。相反，我们旨在制定一系列可信的初步估计，更重要的是 探索最先进的计量经济学方法对这种新颖应用的潜力。具体目标2是 对消费者选择的经济学进行实证研究 戒烟。我们将使用地理编码信息合并TUS-CPS和 具有市场水平需求影响的NC，包括价格和广告。对于NCS数据，我们还将使用 有关受访者杂志阅读习惯的信息，以创建潜在暴露的个人级别措施 杂志上的香烟广告。我们将专注于社会科学经济研究问题： 吸烟者将薄荷醇和非肉烟卷烟视为亲密替代品的程度；以及 在消费者选择中广告。具体目的3是对经济学的实证研究 消费者在生活过程中选择有关薄荷香烟的选择。我们将在对独特问题的回答中 2010 - 2011年建立生命过程的近似历史。我们将通过 分析这些新颖的生活课程数据。目标1-3描述了一项计划进行探索和发展R21的计划 解决研究问题的研究涉及NIH FOA中概述的3个研究优先事项的研究 PAR-12-266：了解烟草产品的多样性；营销;以及经济和政策。 x