Drivers of sub-seasonal and seasonal climate variability over East Africa and Applications to forecasting

东非次季节和季节性气候变化的驱动因素及其预测应用

• 批准号: 2897388
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: University of Reading
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Studentship
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2023 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=studentship-2897388
• 关键词: Drivers; sub; seasonal; climate; variability

This project will explore the drivers of climate variability on sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales over East Africa, their representation in state of the art S2S forecasting systems. We will assess how well forecasting systems realize the potential predictability from these modes of variability and how our understanding of the regime dependent skill of the forecast models can be used to advance decision making on these timescales.

该项目将探索东非季节性季节性（S2S）时间尺度的气候变异性的驱动因素，这些季节性（S2S）时间尺度是其在ART S2S预测系统中的代表。我们将评估预测系统如何从这些可变性模式中实现潜在的可预测性，以及我们对预测模型依赖性技能的理解如何用于推进对这些时间表的决策。