The world food demand and supply in 21th century and regional strategies of agricultural development in Japan

21世纪世界粮食供需与日本农业发展区域战略

• 批准号: 08306012
• 负责人: SAKAI Junichi
• 金额: $ 10.69万
• 依托单位: TOHOKU UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
• 财政年份: 1996
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 1996 至 1998
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-08306012/
• 关键词: world food model of demand and supply; regional input-output model; food strategy; regional agricultural development; farm management ability; less favored area; paradigm shift; conservative land amelioration; 地域農業主体; 新農業基本法; 世界食糧需要モデル; 土地利用調製

Our research contents in 1996 and 1998 is following.1) We have developed a new model of world food demand and supply. For some agricultural products, we have simulated future markets with this model. In addition, regional analysis for sugar market in Japan was done by input-output tables. As a result, we finded that the birth control in Asia and supports for technical progress of making food-supply increase is very important for stable food supply in Japan.2) To propose regional strategies of agricultural development, we have implemented field researches focusing on several types of innovators and analysed collecting data. As a result, we finded that advanced farm management abilities, strong leadership and it's support systems are very important for the development of regional agriculture.3) Keeping world food problems in mind, we have investigated future policies and institutions to make Japanese agriculture vivid. As a result, we founded that it is very important for Japanese agriculture to make scenarios of building up sustainable rural society and to make paradigm shift from development to conservation.

1996年和1998年我们的研究内容如下： 1）我们建立了世界粮食供需的新模型。对于一些农产品，我们用这个模型模拟了未来市场。此外，还通过投入产出表对日本食糖市场进行了区域分析。结果，我们发现亚洲的计划生育和支持增加粮食供应的技术进步对于日本稳定的粮食供应非常重要。2）为了提出农业发展的区域战略，我们实施了以农业发展为重点的实地研究几种类型的创新者并分析收集数据。结果，我们发现先进的农场管理能力、强有力的领导力及其支持系统对于区域农业的发展非常重要。3）考虑到世界粮食问题，我们研究了未来的政策和制度，以使日本农业生动起来。因此，我们发现，日本农业构建可持续农村社会的情景并实现从开发到保护的范式转变非常重要。

项目成果

Yoichi Matsuki: "Japanese agricultural successor and farm corporation" Agriculture and Economy. Vol65, No1. 67-77 (1999)

松木洋一：《日本农业继承者和农业法人》《农业与经济》。

松木洋一: "日本農業の担い手と農業株式会社" 農業と経済. 65巻1号. 67-77 (1999)

松木洋一：“日本农业领袖和农业有限公司”，第 65 卷，第 1. 67-77 期（1999 年）