Initiation and Continuation of Drinking and Driving Behavior

酒后驾驶行为的开始和持续

• 批准号: 7322562
• 负责人: WILLIAM F WIECZOREK
• 金额: $ 58.53万
• 依托单位: BUFFALO STATE COLLEGE
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2007
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2007-09-30 至 2012-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/7322562
• 关键词: Accounting; Adolescence; Age; Alcohols; Area; Behavior; Censuses; Cessation of life; Class; Cluster Analysis; Complex; Country; Data; Development; Drops; Drug usage; Drunk driving; Effectiveness; Etiology; Family; Geographic Information Systems; Geography; Individual; Intervention; Interview; Lead; Literature; Logistic Regressions; Measures; Mediating; Methods; Modeling; Mothers; Movement; Neighborhoods; Numbers; Outcome; Pattern; Personality; Population; Prevention; Prospective Studies; Public Health; Purpose; Recruitment Activity; Research; Research Personnel; Risk; Role; Safety; Sampling; Sampling Studies; Substance Use Disorder; Substance abuse problem; Survival Analysis; Telephone Interviews; Theoretical model; Time; alcohol availability; base; criminal behavior; critical developmental period; drinking; driving behavior; follow-up; legal drinking age; men; multilevel analysis; peer; programs; prospective; psychologic; social; trafficking; trend

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Drinking and driving continues to be a major public health and traffic safety problem, despite decades of efforts to reduce its consequences. The reductions in alcohol-related traffic fatalities in the early 1990s associated with the raising of the legal drinking age to 21 and the social and political impacts of the anti-drunk driving movement (e.g., Mothers Against Drunk Driving and Remove Intoxicated Drivers) have not been sustained, a pattern that is true in the U.S and many other countries. Drinking and driving research has focused mainly on issues of deterrence, prevention, and other interventions, to the detriment of research on complex models and etiology. Complex models that include psychological, personality, deterrence, substance abuse, family, and neighborhood measures are necessary to identify additional avenues for interventions. Otherwise, efforts to further reduce drinking and driving behaviors and consequences will be of limited effectiveness. The sample for this study was originally recruited for an earlier study of drinking, drug use and criminal behavior. Three waves of data were collected from 625 young men during the transition period from late adolescence to early adulthood (ages 16-22). The subjects will be re-interviewed by telephone to provide a 10-year wave-4 follow-up. The project also will examine topics associated with neighborhood impacts on behavior, including alternative geospatial measures. The specific aims are: 1) To develop models of the initiation of drinking-driving behavior. Data from multiple assessment domains during the critical period of initializing drinking-driving behavior will be used to develop models, using survival analysis, logistic regression, and SEM for initiation and early continuation. Specific hypotheses and models suggested by the drinking-driving and broader criminological/developmental literature will be examined (e.g., drinking and driving predicted by peer, family, and individual factors). 2) To develop long-term prospective models of continued drinking-driving behavior. There are no major prospective studies of drinking-driving available in the current literature. We will examine whether the same or different factors account for the long-term continuation of drinking and driving. How do the trajectories change for these longer-term outcomes? A combined theoretical model of initiation and continuation will be developed based on the results from aims 1 and 2. 3) To examine the impact of various geospatial methods of aggregating point data (e.g., alcohol outlets) into geographic units for use in multilevel and individual models of drinking and driving. Contextual data will be integrated into aims 1 and 2 in multilevel models. However, little is known about the impact of methods of aggregation of context data in these models. The study will compare the impact of four different methods of aggregating point data into geographic units.

描述（由申请人提供）：尽管数十年来一直在努力减少其后果，但酒后驾驶仍然是一个重大的公共卫生和交通安全问题。 20 世纪 90 年代初，由于将法定饮酒年龄提高到 21 岁，以及反醉酒驾驶运动（例如，反对醉酒驾驶的母亲和消除醉酒司机）的社会和政治影响，与酒精相关的交通死亡人数有所减少，但这一结果并没有减少。这种模式在美国和许多其他国家都是如此。酒后驾驶研究主要集中在威慑、预防和其他干预措施的问题上，这不利于复杂模型和病因学的研究。包括心理、个性、威慑、药物滥用、家庭和邻里措施在内的复杂模型对于确定其他干预途径是必要的。否则，进一步减少酒后驾驶行为及其后果的努力将收效有限。本研究的样本最初是为一项早期的饮酒、吸毒和犯罪行为研究而招募的。从青春期后期到成年早期（16-22 岁）过渡期的 625 名年轻男性收集了三波数据。受试者将通过电话重新访谈，以提供 10 年第 4 波随访。该项目还将研究与邻里行为影响相关的主题，包括替代地理空间措施。具体目标是： 1）开发酒后驾驶行为启动模型。在酒后驾驶行为开始的关键时期，来自多个评估领域的数据将用于开发模型，利用生存分析、逻辑回归和 SEM 来进行酒后驾驶行为的开始和早期延续。将审查酒后驾驶和更广泛的犯罪学/发展文献提出的具体假设和模型（例如，同伴、家庭和个人因素预测的酒后驾驶）。 2）开发持续酒后驾驶行为的长期前瞻性模型。目前的文献中没有关于酒后驾驶的重大前瞻性研究。我们将研究是否相同或不同的因素导致长期持续酒后驾驶。这些长期结果的轨迹如何变化？将根据目标 1 和 2 的结果开发启动和延续的组合理论模型。 3) 检查将点数据（例如酒精销售点）聚合为地理单元以用于多层次和个人的各种地理空间方法的影响酒后驾驶模型。上下文数据将被集成到多级模型中的目标 1 和目标 2 中。然而，人们对这些模型中上下文数据聚合方法的影响知之甚少。该研究将比较四种不同的将点数据聚合为地理单元的方法的影响。