Initiation and Continuation of Drinking and Driving Behavior

酒后驾驶行为的开始和持续

• 批准号: 7504788
• 负责人: WILLIAM F WIECZOREK
• 金额: $ 62.11万
• 依托单位: BUFFALO STATE COLLEGE
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2007
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2007-09-30 至 2012-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/7504788
• 关键词: Accounting; Adolescence; Age; Alcohols; Area; Behavior; Censuses; Cessation of life; Class; Cluster Analysis; Complex; Country; Data; Development; Drops; Drug usage; Drunk driving; Effectiveness; Etiology; Family; Geographic Information Systems; Geography; Individual; Intervention; Interview; Lead; Literature; Logistic Regressions; Measures; Mediating; Methods; Modeling; Mothers; Movement; Neighborhoods; Numbers; Outcome; Pattern; Personality; Population; Prevention; Prospective Studies; Public Health; Purpose; Recruitment Activity; Research; Research Personnel; Risk; Role; Safety; Sampling; Sampling Studies; Substance Use Disorder; Substance abuse problem; Survival Analysis; Telephone Interviews; Theoretical model; Time; alcohol availability; base; criminal behavior; critical developmental period; drinking; driving behavior; follow-up; legal drinking age; men; multilevel analysis; peer; programs; prospective; psychologic; social; trafficking; trend

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Drinking and driving continues to be a major public health and traffic safety problem, despite decades of efforts to reduce its consequences. The reductions in alcohol-related traffic fatalities in the early 1990s associated with the raising of the legal drinking age to 21 and the social and political impacts of the anti-drunk driving movement (e.g., Mothers Against Drunk Driving and Remove Intoxicated Drivers) have not been sustained, a pattern that is true in the U.S and many other countries. Drinking and driving research has focused mainly on issues of deterrence, prevention, and other interventions, to the detriment of research on complex models and etiology. Complex models that include psychological, personality, deterrence, substance abuse, family, and neighborhood measures are necessary to identify additional avenues for interventions. Otherwise, efforts to further reduce drinking and driving behaviors and consequences will be of limited effectiveness. The sample for this study was originally recruited for an earlier study of drinking, drug use and criminal behavior. Three waves of data were collected from 625 young men during the transition period from late adolescence to early adulthood (ages 16-22). The subjects will be re-interviewed by telephone to provide a 10-year wave-4 follow-up. The project also will examine topics associated with neighborhood impacts on behavior, including alternative geospatial measures. The specific aims are: 1) To develop models of the initiation of drinking-driving behavior. Data from multiple assessment domains during the critical period of initializing drinking-driving behavior will be used to develop models, using survival analysis, logistic regression, and SEM for initiation and early continuation. Specific hypotheses and models suggested by the drinking-driving and broader criminological/developmental literature will be examined (e.g., drinking and driving predicted by peer, family, and individual factors). 2) To develop long-term prospective models of continued drinking-driving behavior. There are no major prospective studies of drinking-driving available in the current literature. We will examine whether the same or different factors account for the long-term continuation of drinking and driving. How do the trajectories change for these longer-term outcomes? A combined theoretical model of initiation and continuation will be developed based on the results from aims 1 and 2. 3) To examine the impact of various geospatial methods of aggregating point data (e.g., alcohol outlets) into geographic units for use in multilevel and individual models of drinking and driving. Contextual data will be integrated into aims 1 and 2 in multilevel models. However, little is known about the impact of methods of aggregation of context data in these models. The study will compare the impact of four different methods of aggregating point data into geographic units.

描述（由申请人提供）：尽管数十年来减少其后果的努力，但饮酒和驾驶仍然是一个重大的公共卫生和交通安全问题。 1990年代初期，与将合法饮酒年龄提高到21岁的交通事故的减少以及反毁灭驾驶运动的社会和政治影响（例如，反对酒后驾车和移除醉酒驾驶员的母亲）的社会和政治影响尚未持续，这种模式在美国和许多其他国家都是如此。饮酒和驱动研究主要集中在威慑，预防和其他干预措施问题上，损害了对复杂模型和病因的研究。包括心理，人格，威慑，滥用药物，家庭和邻里措施的复杂模型对于确定干预措施的其他途径是必要的。否则，进一步减少饮酒和驾驶行为和后果的努力将具有有限的效果。这项研究的样本最初是为了早期研究饮酒，吸毒和犯罪行为的研究。在从青春期晚期到成年初期（16-22岁）的过渡期内，从625名年轻人收集了三波数据。这些受试者将通过电话重新审视，以提供10年的Wave-4随访。该项目还将研究与邻里对行为的影响相关的主题，包括替代性地理空间措施。具体目的是：1）开发饮酒行为的启动模型。在初始化饮酒行为的关键时期，来自多个评估领域的数据将用于开发模型，使用生存分析，逻辑回归和SEM进行启动和早期延续。将研究由饮酒驾驶和更广泛的犯罪学/发育文献所建议的特定假设和模型（例如，由同伴，家庭和个人因素预测的饮酒和驾驶）。 2）开发持续饮酒行为的长期前瞻性模型。目前的文献中没有关于饮酒驾驶的主要前瞻性研究。我们将研究相同或不同的因素是饮酒和驾驶的长期延续。这些长期结局的轨迹如何改变？将根据目标1和2。3）的结果来开发一种启动和延续的理论模型，以检查各种地理空间方法的各种地理空间方法（例如，酒精渠道）对地理单位的影响，以在多级和单个饮酒和驾驶模型中使用。上下文数据将在多级模型中集成到目标1和2中。但是，对于这些模型中上下文数据聚集方法的影响知之甚少。该研究将比较将点数据汇总到地理单元中的四种不同方法的影响。