WSC-Category 2 Collaborative: Robust decision-making for South Florida water resources by ecosystem service valuation, hydro-economic optimization, and conflict resolution modeling

WSC-2 类协作:通过生态系统服务评估、水文经济优化和冲突解决建模为南佛罗里达州水资源做出稳健决策

基本信息

  • 批准号:
    1204572
  • 负责人:
  • 金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 依托单位:
  • 依托单位国家:
    美国
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
  • 财政年份:
    2013
  • 资助国家:
    美国
  • 起止时间:
    2013-01-01 至 2018-12-31
  • 项目状态:
    已结题

项目摘要

Water management in south Florida is characterized by the need to balance multiple objectives. Among the objectives are the maintenance of high groundwater levels to limit seawater intrusion and flood control measures that are also used to mitigate dry-season water shortages. In addition, south Florida's current population of 6 million is projected to grow to 10 million over the next 20 years, and urban water demand must be reliably managed. In this exceptionally vulnerable region, sea level rise and salt water intrusion have already impacted drinking water supplies and threaten the integrity of low-lying and highly-valued built and natural environments as diverse as Miami Beach and the Everglades. Long-term adaptive strategies are needed to ensure sustainable water resources for expanding populations, agriculture, and wetlands that serve multiple functions, including support of Florida's fishing industry. Development of such strategies has been hampered by conflicting stakeholder interests and technical, economic, and political challenges. This project will conduct highly interdisciplinary research, utilizing the expertise of multiple institutions, to investigate the hydrologic, economic, ecologic, and human behavioral dimensions of sustainable water management and land use planning under various climate change, economic, population, and sea level rise scenarios. The research will employ hydro-economic optimization approaches based on robust decision making to develop management strategies that ensure the resilience of water supplies for the built and natural systems, while also accounting for the broad-sector value of water use. Optimization criteria will incorporate the results of project research linking water management, ecological function, and the economic value of ecosystem services. New experimental approaches will be implemented to better understand the impacts of scenario information type and uncertainty on both selection of decision criteria and evaluation of model predictions among individuals and groups of local stakeholders. These experiments are designed to improve understanding of the roles of cognitive and perceptual biases in decision-making when stakeholders examine hydro-economic projections coupled with scenario forecasts. Comparative behavioral analyses of stakeholder evaluations and institutional decision-making will provide unique insights into how information type, information content, and cognitive biases combine to influence risk perception, and how the perceived risks to individual and collective well-being influence scenario selection. Finally, with agency and stakeholder involvement, the project will collaboratively develop recommendations for adaptive water management plans that foster long-term support from the stakeholders. Low-lying coastal regions subject to sea level rise, climate change, and diverse water demands, including growing populations, will benefit from the development of innovative, pragmatic approaches to optimizing the social-ecological benefits of water resources allocation. The research will include novel approaches for dynamically incorporating economics into stakeholder evaluations of adaptive land use and water management strategies. Local, state, and federal agencies responsible for managing south Florida's water resources will benefit from analyses of adaptive schemes that explicitly incorporate uncertainty estimates of potential outcomes. The multiple societies that exist in south Florida, whose options for managing public water resources are limited by climatic, physical, and/or legal constraints, require this type of integrated assessment to promote cooperative decision-making while preparing for uncertain hydro-climatic conditions and socioeconomic futures.
南佛罗里达州的水管理的特征是需要平衡多个目标。目标包括维持高地下水水平以限制海水入侵和防洪措施,这些措施也用于减轻干季水短缺。此外,南佛罗里达州目前的600万人口预计将在未来20年内增长到1000万,并且必须可靠地管理城市用水。在这个异常脆弱的地区,海平面上升和盐水入侵已经影响饮用水,并威胁着与迈阿密海滩和Everglades一样多样化的低洼和高价值建筑和自然环境的完整性。需要长期的自适应策略,以确保可持续的水资源以扩大人口,农业和湿地,这些人口具有多种功能,包括支持佛罗里达捕鱼行业。利益相关者利益以及技术,经济和政治挑战的冲突,这种战略的制定受到了阻碍。该项目将利用多个机构的专业知识进行高度的跨学科研究,以调查可持续水管理的水文,经济,生态和人类行为维度,以及在各种气候变化,经济,人口和海平面上升的情况下的土地利用计划。该研究将采用基于强大的决策制定的水力经济优化方法来制定管理策略,以确保水供应对建筑物和自然系统的供应的弹性,同时还考虑了用水的广大价值。优化标准将纳入将水管理,生态功能和生态系统服务的经济价值联系起来的项目研究结果。将实施新的实验方法,以更好地了解场景信息类型的影响和不确定性对选择决策标准的选择以及对当地利益相关者的个人和群体的模型预测的评估。这些实验旨在提高对认知和感知性偏见在决策中的作用的理解,当利益相关者检查水力经济投影以及场景预测的结合。利益相关者评估和机构决策的比较行为分析将提供有关信息类型,信息内容和认知偏见如何结合影响风险感知的独特见解,以及对个人和集体福祉的风险如何影响场景选择。最后,随着代理商和利益相关者的参与,该项目将协作为自适应水管理计划提供建议,以促进利益相关者的长期支持。在海平面上升,气候变化和多样化的水需求(包括日益增长的人群)中,低洼的沿海地区将受益于创新的,务实的方法来优化水资源分配的社会生态益处。该研究将包括将经济学动态融入自适应土地使用和水管理策略的新方法。负责管理南佛罗里达州水资源的地方,州和联邦机构将受益于对明确纳入潜在结果的不确定性估计的自适应方案的分析。南佛罗里达州存在的多个社会,其管理公共水资源的选择受到气候,物理和/或法律约束的限制,需要这种类型的综合评估,以促进合作决策,同时为不确定的水性气候条件和社会经济期货做准备。

项目成果

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David Ho其他文献

ReadPrompt: A Readable Prompting Method for Reliable Knowledge Probing
ReadPrompt:一种用于可靠知识探究的可读提示方法
Abstract 19323: Disruption of Adenylyl Cyclase Type 5, a Novel Target for Obesity, Diabetes and Diabetic Cardiomyopathy
摘要 19323:5 型腺苷酸环化酶的破坏,肥胖、糖尿病和糖尿病心肌病的新靶标
  • DOI:
    10.1161/circ.126.suppl_21.a19323
  • 发表时间:
    2012
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    37.8
  • 作者:
    David Ho;Lin Yan;Xin Zhao;Claudio A. Bravo;W. Stanley;D. Vatner;J. Pessin;S. Vatner
  • 通讯作者:
    S. Vatner
Estimating Stage-Frequency Curves for Engineering Design in Small Ungauged Arctic Watersheds
未测量的小型北极流域工程设计阶段频率曲线的估计
  • DOI:
    10.3390/w16101321
  • 发表时间:
    2024
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    3.4
  • 作者:
    Chandler Engel;Anna Wagner;Jeremy Giovando;David Ho;B. Morriss;Elias Deeb
  • 通讯作者:
    Elias Deeb
Abstract 17173: Caloric Restriction Protects Against Aging Cardiomyopathy, But Not Longevity
摘要 17173:热量限制可以预防老年性心肌病,但不能延长寿命
  • DOI:
  • 发表时间:
    2011
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
    37.8
  • 作者:
    Lin Yan;Shumin Gao;David Ho;Hui Ge;Chunbo Wang;Yimin Tian;D. Vatner;S. Vatner
  • 通讯作者:
    S. Vatner
A study of metastatic carcinoma found in hernia sacs between 2006 and 2012 at one institution
  • DOI:
    10.1016/j.anndiagpath.2013.10.008
  • 发表时间:
    2014-04-01
  • 期刊:
  • 影响因子:
  • 作者:
    Jordan A. Roberts;David Ho;Alberto G. Ayala;Jae Y. Ro
  • 通讯作者:
    Jae Y. Ro

David Ho的其他文献

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{{ truncateString('David Ho', 18)}}的其他基金

Collaborative Research: Carbon Levels at the Arctic Salinity-Stratified Sea Ice Edge (CLASSSIE)
合作研究:北极盐度分层海冰边缘的碳水平(CLASSSIE)
  • 批准号:
    2141358
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Investigating Bubble-Mediated Gas Exchange in a Strongly Convective Ocean during the Bubble Exchange in the Labrador Sea (BELS) Experiment
合作研究:在拉布拉多海气泡交换(BELS)实验期间调查强对流海洋中气泡介导的气体交换
  • 批准号:
    2219970
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
EAGER: Collaborative Research: Enhancing Asian American and Pacific Islander Participation and Belonging in the Geosciences
EAGER:合作研究:增强亚裔美国人和太平洋岛民对地球科学的参与和归属感
  • 批准号:
    2136233
  • 财政年份:
    2022
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Dual gas tracer measurements during the Central Baltic Sea Air-Sea Exchange Experiment (CenBASE)
波罗的海中部海气交换实验 (CenBASE) 期间的双气体示踪剂测量
  • 批准号:
    2123997
  • 财政年份:
    2021
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Influence of Surfactants on Air-Sea Gas Exchange: 3He/SF6 Experiments in the Baltic Sea
合作研究:表面活性剂对海气交换的影响:波罗的海的 3He/SF6 实验
  • 批准号:
    1756807
  • 财政年份:
    2018
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Influence of wind and bottom generated turbulence on air-sea gas exchange in shallow water environments
合作研究:风和底部产生的湍流对浅水环境中海气交换的影响
  • 批准号:
    1829911
  • 财政年份:
    2018
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: US GEOTRACES Arctic Section - Water mass composition, circulation and mean residence times derived from measurements of natural and manmade tracers
合作研究:美国 GEOTRACES 北极部分 - 根据天然和人造示踪剂的测量得出的水体成分、循环和平均停留时间
  • 批准号:
    1436125
  • 财政年份:
    2015
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Continuing Grant
Collaborative Research: Automated continuous measurement of CFC and SF6 saturations in surface waters
合作研究:自动连续测量地表水中的 CFC 和 SF6 饱和度
  • 批准号:
    1035515
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: WSC-Category 1 - Linking freshwater inputs to ecosystem functioning and services provided by a large mangrove estuary
合作研究:WSC-类别 1 - 将淡水输入与大型红树林河口提供的生态系统功能和服务联系起来
  • 批准号:
    1038855
  • 财政年份:
    2010
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant
Collaborative Research: Wind, Waves, Rain and their Effects on Air-Water Gas and Momentum Exchanges
合作研究:风、波浪、雨及其对空气-水气和动量交换的影响
  • 批准号:
    0930057
  • 财政年份:
    2009
  • 资助金额:
    $ 28.9万
  • 项目类别:
    Standard Grant

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  • 批准年份:
    2023
  • 资助金额:
    49 万元
  • 项目类别:
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  • 批准号:
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WSC-2 类协作:农业决策和适应性管理对粮食安全的影响
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