EAGER: The Climate CoLab: A System for Very Large-Scale Model-Based Group Problem-Solving

EAGER：气候 CoLab：基于超大规模模型的群体问题解决系统

• 批准号: 1144663
• 负责人: Thomas Malone
• 金额: $ 30万
• 依托单位: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2011-09-01 至 2013-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1144663&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: EAGER; Climate; CoLab; System; Very

The goal of this project is to develop a system that combines the strengths of both human and computer capabilities to help solve a complex societal problem: global climate change. The project will develop an on-line community called the Climate CoLab, in which many thousands of people around the world create, analyze, and ultimately select detailed plans for what humans can do about climate change. At the core of the system will be an evolving collection of user-created proposals based on computer simulations of the actions humans can take and the predicted impacts of those actions. Users will also be able to debate the pros and cons of different proposals and vote for the proposals and arguments they find most credible and desirable. By integrating three capabilities (computer simulation models, on-line debates, and electronic voting) in a novel way, the system lets a very large group of people define and evaluate alternative problem solutions while computers do the rapid calculations needed to assess key consequences of each alternative. By including relevant experts from different disciplines and members of the public who have novel points of view, the community can consider a wide range of plausible alternatives. And by involving policy makers and large numbers of citizens, the eventual political adoption of the most promising alternatives is facilitated. Intellectual merit: The primary intellectual contributions of this work will be generalizable lessons about how to design large-scale, on-line communities that use computational models to help solve difficult societal and managerial problems. Broader impacts: The project will help educate the general public about the issues involved in global climate change. In addition, by constructively engaging a broad range of scientists, policy makers, and concerned citizens, this system may help develop plans and policies that are actually better than any that would have otherwise been developed.

该项目的目的是开发一个结合人类和计算机能力优势的系统，以帮助解决一个复杂的社会问题：全球气候变化。该项目将开发一个名为“气候Colab”的在线社区，世界各地成千上万的人创建，分析并最终选择了人类对气候变化的详细计划。该系统的核心将是基于对人类可以采取的动作的计算机模拟以及这些动作的预测影响的用户创建建议的不断发展的集合。用户还将能够辩论不同建议的利弊，并为他们认为最可信和可取的提案和论点投票。通过以一种新颖的方式整合三个功能（计算机仿真模型，在线辩论和电子投票），该系统可以让一大批人定义和评估替代问题解决方案，而计算机可以进行快速计算来评估每种替代方案的关键后果。通过包括来自不同学科的相关专家和具有新观点的公众，社区可以考虑各种合理的替代方案。通过参与政策制定者和大量公民，最终促进了最有前途的替代方案的政治采用。知识分子的优点：这项工作的主要智力贡献将是关于如何设计使用计算模型来帮助解决困难的社会和管理问题的大规模，在线社区的知名课程。更广泛的影响：该项目将帮助教育全球气候变化所涉及的问题。此外，通过建设性地参与广泛的科学家，政策制定者和相关公民，该系统可能有助于制定实际上比本来可以开发的任何计划要好的计划和政策。