Testing and extending a dual-source model of everyday conditional reasoning

测试和扩展日常条件推理的双源模型

• 批准号: 200771736
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Karl Christoph Klauer
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Abteilung Sozialpsychologie und Methodenlehre
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Priority Programmes
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2010-12-31 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/200771736?language=en
• 关键词: Testing; extending; dual; source; model

According to the dual source model of probabilistic conditional inference, human inferences draw on two sources of information: The syntactical form of given premises and content-specific background knowledge. We assume that the form-based component of the model is driven by a (resource-limited and fallible) monotonic system of reasoning, whereas the knowledge-based component is driven by summary assessments of chronically and momentarily salient beliefs, violating, across different contexts, coherence and monotonicity. The model is to be applied to three groups of classical problems: 1) Context effects, in particular suppression effects and effects of speaker expertise. Suppression effects are frequently seen as evidence for non-monotonic human reasoning and should thus map on the knowledge-based component of our model, whereas superficially similar effects of speaker expertise should map on the relative weight of form-based versus knowledgebased evidence. 2) The model is to be extended to other conjunctions than “if-then” to see whether the different syntactical forms are mapped on the form-based component in a manner consistent with the existence of a mental logic. 3) The relative role of cognitive resources for the knowledge-based and the form-based components of the model is to be assessed.

根据概率条件推断的双源模型，人类的推论借鉴了两个信息来源：给定前提和特定于内容的背景知识的合成形式。我们假设该模型的基于形式的组件是由（资源有限和虚假的）单调推理系统驱动的，而基于知识的组件是由对慢性和瞬时明显信念的摘要评估驱动的，违反了不同的环境，相干性和单调性。该模型应适用于三组经典问题：1）上下文效应，特别是说话者专业知识的抑制作用和影响。抑制作用经常被视为非单调人类推理的证据，因此应映射我们模型的基于知识的组成部分，而说话者专业知识的超级相似效应应映射基于基于表单的基于知识的证据的相对权重。 2）该模型将扩展到其他组合，而不是“如果然后”，以查看是否以与精神逻辑的存在一致的方式在基于表单的组件上映射了不同的句法形式。 3）应评估认知资源对基于知识的基于知识和基于形式的组件的相对作用。