Testing and extending a dual-source model of everyday conditional reasoning

测试和扩展日常条件推理的双源模型

• 批准号: 200771736
• 负责人: Professor Dr. Karl Christoph Klauer
• 金额: --
• 依托单位: Abteilung Sozialpsychologie und Methodenlehre
• 依托单位国家: 德国
• 项目类别: Priority Programmes
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 德国
• 起止时间: 2010-12-31 至 2014-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gepris.dfg.de/gepris/projekt/200771736?language=en
• 关键词: Testing; extending; dual; source; model

According to the dual source model of probabilistic conditional inference, human inferences draw on two sources of information: The syntactical form of given premises and content-specific background knowledge. We assume that the form-based component of the model is driven by a (resource-limited and fallible) monotonic system of reasoning, whereas the knowledge-based component is driven by summary assessments of chronically and momentarily salient beliefs, violating, across different contexts, coherence and monotonicity. The model is to be applied to three groups of classical problems: 1) Context effects, in particular suppression effects and effects of speaker expertise. Suppression effects are frequently seen as evidence for non-monotonic human reasoning and should thus map on the knowledge-based component of our model, whereas superficially similar effects of speaker expertise should map on the relative weight of form-based versus knowledgebased evidence. 2) The model is to be extended to other conjunctions than “if-then” to see whether the different syntactical forms are mapped on the form-based component in a manner consistent with the existence of a mental logic. 3) The relative role of cognitive resources for the knowledge-based and the form-based components of the model is to be assessed.

根据概率条件推理的双源模型，人类推理利用两种信息源：给定前提的句法形式和特定于内容的背景知识。我们假设模型的基于形式的组件是由（资源）驱动的。 -有限且容易出错的）单调推理系统，而基于知识的部分是由对长期和暂时显着信念的总结评估驱动的，在不同的背景下违反了连贯性和单调性。应用于三组经典问题：1）上下文效应，特别是抑制效应和说话者专业知识的影响抑制效应经常被视为非单调人类推理的证据，因此应该映射到我们模型的基于知识的部分，而说话者专业知识表面上相似的效果应该映射到基于形式的证据与基于知识的证据的相对权重。 2) 该模型将扩展到“if-then”以外的其他连词，以查看不同的句法形式是否映射到形式上。基于组件与心理逻辑的存在一致的方式。 3) 评估认知资源对于模型的基于知识和基于形式的组件的相对作用。