Workshop on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting and Assessment Methods, May 2004, Spain

新技术展望、预测和评估方法研讨会，2004 年 5 月，西班牙

• 批准号: 0354590
• 负责人: Alan Porter
• 金额: $ 1万
• 依托单位: Search Technology Inc
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2004-02-15 至 2004-10-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=0354590&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Workshop; New; Technology; Foresight; Forecasting

The objective of this project is to facilitate participation by US social scientists in a workshop on New Technology Foresight, Forecasting, and Assessment Methods tentatively scheduled for May 13-14, 2004 in Seville, Spain. The Institute for Prospective Technology Assessment (IPTS) is hosting the workshop for 50-80 persons and the EU Directorate General for Research should be able to cover essentially all on-site costs of the American participants. The US planning group has issued a general call for papers, encouraging a broad range of submissions. It will select from among them those who bring new perspectives and are otherwise unlikely to be able to attend. The stipends in this award will help cover travel costs for 10 Americans to participate in this workshop, which will explore ways to advance the state of the art in assessing emerging technologies. Such "technological intelligence" is increasingly in demand for technology management and policy decision support. Yet, utilization of FTA in the past has been quite limited -- the potential to do better is great. There is much to be gained from bringing together European emphases on process management and public sector, large scope studies with American leanings toward quantitative methods and private sector, "micro" analyses of specific technologies. Moreover, fresh approaches are needed to understand changes in the nature of the technologies to be assessed -- from industrial to information to molecular. There is promise in exploiting rich science and technology information resources more fully and in bringing to bear new insights from complex systems perspectives. The aim is that the workshop will instigate a series of ongoing activities including research, bi-annual meetings, and nucleation of a thriving professional community. Academic engagement should enrich the approaches to FTA and lead to courses. The final report will include a white paper about directions for technology foresight, forecasting and assessment methods, including work on constructive technology assessment.

该项目的目标是促进美国社会科学家参加暂定于 2004 年 5 月 13 日至 14 日在西班牙塞维利亚举行的新技术展望、预测和评估方法研讨会。前瞻性技术评估研究所 (IPTS) 正在主办 50-80 人的研讨会，欧盟研究总局应该能够承担美国参与者的几乎所有现场费用。 美国规划小组已发出征文公告，鼓励广泛提交论文。 它将从他们中选出那些带来新观点、否则不太可能参加的人。 该奖项的津贴将帮助支付 10 名美国人参加本次研讨会的旅费，该研讨会将探索提高新兴技术评估水平的方法。技术管理和政策决策支持越来越需要这种“技术智能”。然而，过去对自由贸易协定的利用相当有限——做得更好的潜力很大。 将欧洲对流程管理和公共部门的重视、大规模研究与美国对定量方法和私营部门的倾向以及特定技术的“微观”分析结合起来，可以获得很多收获。 此外，需要新的方法来理解要评估的技术性质的变化——从工业到信息再到分子。 更充分地利用丰富的科学技术信息资源并从复杂系统的角度带来新的见解是有希望的。 研讨会的目的是发起一系列正在进行的活动，包括研究、每年两次的会议以及蓬勃发展的专业社区的形成。 学术参与应丰富自由贸易协定的方法并引导课程。 最终报告将包括一份关于技术前瞻、预测和评估方法方向的白皮书，其中包括建设性技术评估工作。