Inflow forecasting in Yukon under current and changing climate conditions

当前和变化的气候条件下育空地区的流入预测

• 批准号: 499954-2016
• 负责人: Rousseau, Alain
• 金额: $ 8.63万
• 依托单位: Institut national de la recherche scientifique
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2018
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2018-01-01 至 2019-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=663765
• 关键词: Inflow; forecasting; Yukon; under; current

The objective of this project is to implement a distributed hydrological modeling system on key watersheds of**the Yukon Energy Corporation (YEC). This system will be used for operational reservoir-inflow forecasting**with different lead times (e.g., 1-14 days) as well as seasonal and long-term planning. Long-term planning will**use the modeling system to predict impacts of climate change on inflow availability, inflow timing and extreme**events. The results will provide strategic information for the assessment of potential energy projects to supply**Yukon with enough electricity to meet projected demands. Understanding climate change and associated**effects will be useful to other processes such as relicensing activities. For example, the water license for the**Aishihik Hydroelectric Facility will come up for renewal on December 31, 2019. In anticipation for this**renewal, YEC is undertaking a four-year process of environmental and engineering studies, consulting with**major stakeholders. This will follow a structured decision-making process to understand operational**alternatives for the renewed license to submit to the Yukon Environmental and Socio-economic Assessment**Board for assessment, then to the Yukon Water Board for licensing.

该项目的目标是在育空能源公司（YEC）的关键流域实施分布式水文建模系统。该系统将用于不同提前期（例如 1-14 天）的水库流入业务预测**以及季节性和长期规划。长期规划将**使用建模系统来预测气候变化对流入可用性、流入时间和极端**事件的影响。研究结果将为评估潜在能源项目提供战略信息，以向**育空地区提供足够的电力来满足预计的需求。了解气候变化和相关**影响将有助于其他进程，例如重新许可活动。例如，**Aishihik 水力发电设施的供水许可证将于 2019 年 12 月 31 日更新。为了预期**更新，YEC 正在进行为期四年的环境和工程研究，并咨询了**主要利益相关者。这将遵循结构化决策流程，以了解更新许可证的操作**替代方案，并提交给育空环境和社会经济评估**委员会进行评估，然后提交给育空水务委员会以获得许可。