Inflow forecasting in Yukon under current and changing climate conditions

当前和变化的气候条件下育空地区的流入预测

• 批准号: 499954-2016
• 负责人: Rousseau, Alain
• 金额: $ 8.95万
• 依托单位: Institut national de la recherche scientifique
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Collaborative Research and Development Grants
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2017-01-01 至 2018-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=618078
• 关键词: Inflow; forecasting; Yukon; under; current

The objective of this project is to implement a distributed hydrological modeling system on key watersheds ofthe Yukon Energy Corporation (YEC). This system will be used for operational reservoir-inflow forecastingwith different lead times (e.g., 1-14 days) as well as seasonal and long-term planning. Long-term planning willuse the modeling system to predict impacts of climate change on inflow availability, inflow timing and extremeevents. The results will provide strategic information for the assessment of potential energy projects to supplyYukon with enough electricity to meet projected demands. Understanding climate change and associatedeffects will be useful to other processes such as relicensing activities. For example, the water license for theAishihik Hydroelectric Facility will come up for renewal on December 31, 2019. In anticipation for thisrenewal, YEC is undertaking a four-year process of environmental and engineering studies, consulting withmajor stakeholders. This will follow a structured decision-making process to understand operationalalternatives for the renewed license to submit to the Yukon Environmental and Socio-economic AssessmentBoard for assessment, then to the Yukon Water Board for licensing.

该项目的目的是在育空能源公司（YEC）的关键流域上实施分布式水文建模系统。该系统将用于操作储层侵入流，以预测不同的交货时间（例如1-14天）以及季节性和长期计划。长期计划将模拟系统，以预测气候变化对流入供应，流入时机和极端情况的影响。结果将提供战略信息，以评估潜在能源项目，以提供足够的电力以满足预计需求。了解气候变化和相关效应将对其他过程（例如重新化活动）有用。例如，戏剧性水力发电设施的水电许可将于2019年12月31日续签。为了期待Thisrenewal，YEC正在接受四年的环境和工程学研究过程，并与Major Heactoluters进行咨询。这将遵循一个结构性的决策过程，以了解新的许可，以提交育空环境和社会经济评估板进行评估，然后再向育空地区的授权委员会进行评估。