Inflow forecasting in Yukon under current and changing climate conditions

当前和变化的气候条件下育空地区的流入预测

• 批准号: 500263-2016
• 负责人: Sawicki, Clint
• 金额: $ 4.97万
• 依托单位: Yukon College
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Applied Research and Development Grants - Level 2
• 财政年份: 2016
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2016-01-01 至 2017-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=608006
• 关键词: Inflow; forecasting; Yukon; under; current

The objective of this project is to implement a distributed hydrological modeling system on key watersheds of the Yukon Energy Corporation (YEC) for operational reservoir-inflow forecasting with different lead times (e.g., 1-14 days) as well as seasonal and long-term planning. Long-term planning will use the modeling system to predict impacts of climate change on inflow availability, inflow timing and extreme events. Understanding climate change and associated effects will be useful to other processes such as relicensing activities. For example, the water license for the Aishihik Hydroelectric Facility will come up for renewal on December 31, 2019. In anticipation of this renewal, YEC is undertaking a four-year process of environmental and engineering studies; consulting with major stakeholders; and following a structured decision-making process to understand operational alternatives for the renewed license to submit to the Yukon Environmental and Socio-economic Assessment Board for assessment, then to the Yukon Water Board for licensing.

该项目的目的是在育空能源公司（YEC）的关键流域（YEC）上实施分布式水文建模系统，以使用不同的交货时间（例如1-14天）以及季节性和长期计划，以预测运营储层信息。长期计划将使用建模系统来预测气候变化对流入供应，流入时机和极端事件的影响。了解气候变化和相关影响将对其他过程（例如恢复活动）有用。例如，Aishihik水力发电设施的水许可证将于2019年12月31日续签。期望这种续订，YEC正在进行四年的环境和工程研究过程；与主要利益相关者咨询；然后是一个结构性的决策过程，以了解续签许可证的运营替代方案，以提交育空环境和社会经济评估委员会进行评估，然后再送往育空水务委员会获得许可。