Development of advanced calibration methods for computationally expensive hydrologic simulation models

为计算成本高昂的水文模拟模型开发先进的校准方法

• 批准号: 312531-2011
• 负责人: Tolson, Bryan
• 金额: $ 1.46万
• 依托单位: University of Waterloo
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Discovery Grants Program - Individual
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2014-01-01 至 2015-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=548780
• 关键词: Development; advanced; calibration; methods; computationally

Environmental or hydrologic simulation models are mathematical approximations of complex environmental systems. Sound environmental management decisions such as how to mitigate future impacts of climate change on water resources are typically based on environmental simulation model predictions. My research generates advanced tools that support the development of these models. Advanced modellers using my tools should be able to build better models faster. Even more important, my work supports the application of these models such that when a selected model is applied to a given case study, my tools make sure the model predictions of the past system behaviour are as accurate as possible. Accurate predictions of past system behaviour is often a prerequisite for using a simulation model to inform environmental decision-making.

环境或水文模拟模型是复杂环境系统的数学近似值。 合理的环境管理决策，例如如何减轻气候变化对水资源的未来影响通常基于环境模拟模型预测。我的研究生成了支持这些模型开发的高级工具。 使用我的工具的高级建模器应该能够更快地构建更好的模型。 更重要的是，我的工作支持这些模型的应用，以便当将选定的模型应用于给定的案例研究时，我的工具确保对过去系统行为的模型预测尽可能准确。 对过去系统行为的准确预测通常是使用仿真模型为环境决策提供信息的前提。