The Indirect Estimation of Migration

迁移的间接估计

• 批准号: 6849432
• 负责人: ANDREI ROGERS
• 金额: $ 7.2万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2004-12-15 至 2006-11-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/6849432
• 关键词: behavioral /social science research tag; clinical research; data collection methodology /evaluation; human data; human migration; statistics /biometry

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): The principal aim of this research project is to develop a formal model-based approach for inferring migration flows in settings where such data are inadequate, incomplete, or unavailable by combining and borrowing information from several geographical areas, time periods, and data sources. To accomplish this, the project will draw on work carried out in four areas: indirect estimation methods in demography, spatial interaction modeling in geography, model-based approaches to analyses with missing data in statistics, and mathematical representations of regularities in the age profiles of migration rates. The inferential methods developed by this project will be tested on known migration data drawn from the censuses of 1960, 1970, 1980, and 1990, and then they will be applied to the American Community Survey Data on migration, and comparable data for two additional nations: Canada and Indonesia. These latter data will be assembled and analyzed with the help of unpaid national demographers (consultants) in those countries.

描述（由申请人提供）：该研究项目的主要目的是开发一种基于模型的正式方法，用于在设置中推断出从多个地理区域，时间段和数据源中结合和借用信息来推断这种数据不足，不完整或不可用。为此，该项目将利用在四个领域进行的工作：人口统计学中的间接估计方法，地理学中的空间相互作用模型，基于模型的方法来分析统计数据中缺少数据的分析以及迁移率年龄段的规律性数学表示。 该项目开发的推论方法将在1960年，1970年，1980年和1990年的人口普查中得出的已知迁移数据进行测试，然后将它们应用于美国迁移的美国社区调查数据，以及其他两个国家的可比较数据：加拿大和印度尼西亚。这些后一种数据将在这些国家的未付国家人口统计学家（顾问）的帮助下进行组装和分析。