UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC): PROGRAMME GRANT: Long term dynamics of interdependent infrastructure systems

英国基础设施转型研究联盟 (ITRC)：项目拨款：相互依存的基础设施系统的长期动态

基本信息

批准号：
EP/I01344X/1
负责人：
Jim Hall
金额：
$ 602.8万
依托单位：
Newcastle University
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2011
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2011 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FI01344X%2F1
关键词：
UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium

项目摘要

National infrastructure (NI) systems (energy, transport, water, waste and ICT) in the UK and in advanced economies globally face serious challenges. The 2009 Council for Science and Technology (CST) report on NI in the UK identified significant vulnerabilities, capacity limitations and a number of NI components nearing the end of their useful life. It also highlighted serious fragmentation in the arrangements for infrastructure provision in the UK. There is an urgent need to reduce carbon emissions from infrastructure, to respond to future demographic, social and lifestyle changes and to build resilience to intensifying impacts of climate change. If this process of transforming NI is to take place efficiently, whilst also minimising the associated risks, it will need to be underpinned by a long-term, cross-sectoral approach to understanding NI performance under a range of possible futures. The 'systems of systems' analysis that must form the basis for such a strategic approach does not yet exist - this inter-disciplinary research programme will provide it.The aim of the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium is to develop and demonstrate a new generation of system simulation models and tools to inform analysis, planning and design of NI. The research will deal with energy, transport, water, waste and ICT systems at a national scale, developing new methods for analysing their performance, risks and interdependencies. It will provide a virtual environment in which we will test strategies for long term investment in NI and understand how alternative strategies perform with respect to policy constraints such as reliability and security of supply, cost, carbon emissions, and adaptability to demographic and climate change.The research programme is structured around four major challenges:1. How can infrastructure capacity and demand be balanced in an uncertain future? We will develop methods for modelling capacity, demand and interdependence in NI systems in a compatible way under a wide range of technological, socio-economic and climate futures. We will thereby provide the tools needed to identify robust strategies for sustainably balancing capacity and demand.2. What are the risks of infrastructure failure and how can we adapt NI to make it more resilient?We will analyse the risks of interdependent infrastructure failure by establishing network models of NI and analysing the consequences of failure for people and the economy. Information on key vulnerabilities and risks will be used to identify ways of adapting infrastructure systems to reduce risks in future.3. How do infrastructure systems evolve and interact with society and the economy? Starting with idealised simulations and working up to the national scale, we will develop new models of how infrastructure, society and the economy evolve in the long term. We will use the simulation models to demonstrate alternative long term futures for infrastructure provision and how they might be reached.4. What should the UK's strategy be for integrated provision of NI in the long term? Working with a remarkable group of project partners in government and industry, we will use our new methods to develop and test alternative strategies for Britain's NI, building an evidence-based case for a transition to sustainability. We will analyse the governance arrangements necessary to ensure that this transition is realisable in practice.A Programme Grant provides the opportunity to work flexibly with key partners in government and industry to address research challenges of national importance in a sustained way over five years. Our ambition is that through development of a new generation of tools, in concert with our government and industry partners, we will enable a revolution in the strategic analysis of NI provision in the UK, whilst at the same time becoming an international landmark programme recognised for novelty, research excellence and impact.

英国和全球发达经济体的国家基础设施（NI）系统（能源，运输，水，废物和ICT）面临严重的挑战。 2009年英国科学技术委员会（CST）关于NI的报告确定了近乎使用寿命终结的大量漏洞，容量限制和许多NI组件。它还强调了英国基础设施规定的安排中严重的分裂。迫切需要减少基础设施的碳排放，以应对未来的人口，社会和生活方式的变化，并为加强气候变化的影响增强韧性。如果这种转换NI的过程要有效地进行，同时还可以最大程度地减少相关风险，则需要以长期的跨部门方法为基础，以了解在一系列可能的未来下的NI绩效。必须构成这种战略方法基础的“系统系统”分析 - 该跨学科研究计划将提供它。该研究将以国家规模处理能源，运输，水，废物和ICT系统，开发出新的方法来分析其性能，风险和相互依存关系。它将提供一个虚拟的环境，我们将测试在NI中长期投资的策略，并了解替代策略在政策限制方面的执行，例如供应的可靠性和安全性，成本，碳排放以及对人口统计学和气候变化的适应性。该研究计划是围绕四个主要挑战而结构的：1。在不确定的未来中，如何平衡基础设施的能力和需求？我们将在NI系统中以兼容的方式开发用于建模能力，需求和相互依存的方法，这些方式在广泛的技术，社会经济和气候期货中。因此，我们将提供确定可持续平衡能力和需求的强大策略所需的工具。2。基础设施失败的风险是什么？我们如何适应NI使其更具弹性？我们将通过建立NI网络模型并分析失败对人们和经济的后果来分析相互依存的基础设施故障的风险。有关关键漏洞和风险的信息将用于确定适应基础设施系统以降低未来风险的方法3。基础设施系统如何与社会和经济互动？从理想化的模拟开始，并达到国家规模，我们将开发新的模型，以长期发展基础设施，社会和经济如何发展。我们将使用仿真模型来展示基础设施提供的替代长期期货以及如何达到它们。4。从长远来看，英国的NI综合规定应该是什么？与政府和工业领域的一群杰出的项目合作伙伴一起，我们将使用我们的新方法为英国的NI制定和测试替代策略，为过渡到可持续性的循证案例。我们将分析必要的治理安排，以确保这种过渡在实践中可以实现。计划赠款为与政府和行业的主要合作伙伴灵活合作，以在五年内持续的方式应对国家重要性的研究挑战。我们的野心是，通过开发新一代工具，与我们的政府和行业合作伙伴一致，我们将在英国NI提供的战略分析中进行革命，同时成为一项国际地标计划，以表彰其新颖性，研究卓越和影响力。