Study on Dynamic Model of Input-output Structure and Its Application to Analysis of International Economic Collaboration

投入产出结构动态模型研究及其在国际经济合作分析中的应用

基本信息

批准号：
07680467
负责人：
IWAMOTO Seiichi
金额：
$ 1.28万
依托单位：
Kyushu University
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
1995
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1995 至 1996
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-07680467/
关键词：
dynamic model fuzzy environment incomplete information ファジィ環境

项目摘要

In this study, we have implemented a mathematical economic analysis of internationalization and globalization of Japanese economy from a viewpoint of construction of advanced technology development system. In fact, we have made a methodological progress for dynamic optimization method where dynamic programming takes a central part.As a result, we have recognized that the method of introducing a dynamic model for input-output structure is useful for analysis of international economic collaboration. The model is described through dynamic optimization problem in a dynamic fuzzy environment. The analysis is based on the invariant imbedding principle.1.A rather large part of the research has been implemented for the academic year 1995. We have seen that both robustness and sensitivity analysis for the model have been implemented through a contruction of database and statistical analysis.For the acedemic year 1996,2.we have been developping a mathematical method of formulating both uncertainty and fuzziness through stochastic processes. The Baysian procedure for an imcomplete information has also been proposed and compared with results already established (Iwamoto and Nakai).3.Further we have also developped a persuasive management system for indusry-correlated data and national economics data with graphical representation systems. We have been incorpolating a software which is applicable for analysis of dynamic model (Tokinaga).

在这项研究中，我们从先进技术开发系统的建设的角度实施了日本经济国际化和全球化的数学经济分析。实际上，我们在动态优化方法中取得了方法论进度，动态编程占据了中心部分。结果，我们已经认识到，引入输入输出结构的动态模型的方法对于分析国际经济合作非常有用。通过动态模糊环境中的动态优化问题来描述该模型。该分析是基于不变的原则。11995年的学年已经实施了很大一部分研究。我们已经看到，该模型的鲁棒性和敏感性分析都通过数据库和统计分析实施。1996年，1996年，对于1996年的统计分析，我们一直在开发一种数学上的不完整性和Fuuzzy的方法。还提出了Baysian的IMCOMPLETE信息程序，并将其与已经建立的结果进行了比较（Iwamoto和Nakai）。3。Further我们还开发了一种具有图形表示系统的工业相关数据和国民经济学数据的有说服力的管理系统。我们一直在不适合用于分析动态模型（Tokinaga）的软件。