THE ECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE LIBERALIZATION OF THE APEC REGION-THE OPEN REGIONALISM UNDER THE WTO REGIME-

APEC地区自由化的经济影响——WTO体制下的开放区域主义——

基本信息

批准号：
07630031
负责人：
NAGATA Masahiro
金额：
$ 1.41万
依托单位：
SAITAMA UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
财政年份：
1995
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
1995 至 1997
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-07630031/
关键词：
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION REGIONAL INTEGRATION REGIONALISM APEC WORLD ECONOMETRIC MODEL ECONOMETRIC MODEL FREE TRADE AREA WTO

项目摘要

After establishing the WTO in 1995, the relationship between regionalism and globalism entered into a new stage. In this paper we will focus on the macro-economical effect of economic integration at the APEC region. We also will build the world econometric model for analyzing that issue. The current movement of economic integration had started from the 1980s, and economists and policy makers have not reached a consensus about the causes and effects of that phenomenon. The way of approach to this issue has been mainly from micro-economic aspect, but only a few from macro-economic aspect. A feature of this study is approaching this issue from macro-economic point of view by using the model.Major results are as follows. First, liberalization within APEC region will increase the economic welfare of the APEC region as well as the world as a whole. Secondly, however, the benefit of the liberalization will not be equally distributed to the countries concerned, rather it will be distributed mainly to advanced countries, and some developing countries can suffer losses by the liberalization. Thirdly, by comparing the macro-economic effects of conditional MFN and unconditional MFN in APEC region, we conclude that the latter enhance the world economy more and have less negative economic effects on the outside countries of APEC region. Fourthly, the impact of the liberalization on Japanese economy in that period is limited.

在1995年建立WTO之后，区域主义与全球主义之间的关系进入了新阶段。在本文中，我们将重点关注APEC地区经济一体化的宏观经济效应。我们还将建立用于分析该问题的世界计量经济学模型。目前的经济一体化运动从1980年代开始，经济学家和政策制定者尚未就该现象的原因和影响达成共识。解决这个问题的方法主要来自微观经济方面，但只有少数来自宏观经济方面。这项研究的一个特征是通过使用模型从宏观经济的角度来解决此问题。Major结果如下。首先，APEC地区的自由化将增加APEC地区以及整个世界的经济福利。其次，但是，自由化的利益不会平均分配给有关国家，而是将其主要分配给发达国家，并且一些发展中国家可能会因自由化而遭受损失。第三，通过比较APEC地区有条件的MFN和无条件MFN的宏观经济影响，我们得出的结论是，后者对世界经济的增强更大，对APEC地区外国的负面经济影响较小。第四，自由化对那个时期日本经济的影响是有限的。