The geography of responses to heat risk: linking decision maker and public perceptions

热风险响应的地理分布：将决策者和公众的看法联系起来

• 批准号: 2314912
• 负责人: Olga Wilhelmi
• 金额: $ 48.12万
• 依托单位: University Corporation For Atmospheric Res
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-08-15 至 2026-01-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2314912&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: geography; responses; heat; risk; linking

Extreme heat continues to negatively affect the health and wellbeing of millions of people globally. The way people and policy-makers perceive heat risks is likely to influence their protective responses to extreme heat. In this project, the investigators will assess how populations perceive heat risks and engage in response behaviors and will situate these against how policy and decision makers understand their constituents’ perceptions and behaviors. By doing so, the investigators will bridge the gap between how extreme heat risk and heat-protective behavioral response options are being perceived by the public and how they are perceived and managed by decision makers. This project contributes to broader efforts to build resilience to extreme heat by local and regional governments. New knowledge generated in this project has the potential to improve heat governance, inform heat warnings and risk communication, and design more effective public health interventions. The project includes research to help those who are most vulnerable to heat and other types of weather hazards as well as the decision and policy makers responsible for reducing these systemic vulnerabilities. This project contributes to theoretical and methodological advances in geography and behavioral sciences and their intersection in a risk context. By collecting and downscaling representative survey data to determine geographic variations in heat response combined with decision-maker surveys to better understand their perceptions and beliefs about their constituents, the investigators will examine risk perceptions and responses to heat across different levels of heat governance. This project will integrate emerging quantitative techniques for spatial analysis and modeling of representative social survey data from national to local scales with surveys of policy and decision-makers. The investigators leverage the strengths of representative survey data and small-area estimation using multilevel regression and poststratification to produce national, state, and local estimates of public perceptions and responses to heat risk. This approach provides a baseline from which to understand how decision- and policy-makers responsible for heat governance understand their own constituents’ perceptions and responses and incorporate them into heat planning and response efforts. Two workshops and one symposium gather researchers and stakeholders to synergize learning and ideas across research projects on human and geographic dimensions of extreme heat.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

极端热量继续对全球数百万人民的健康和福祉产生负面影响。人们和政策制定者认为热风险可能会影响其对极端热量的受保护反应。在该项目中，调查人员将评估人口如何看待热风险并参与响应行为，并将其与政策和决策者如何理解其宪法的看法和行为对抗。通过这样做，调查人员将弥合公众对极端热风险和热保护行为反应选择的差距，以及决策者如何看待和管理他们。该项目有助于更广泛的努力，以建立地方政府和地区政府对极端热量的韧性。该项目中产生的新知识有可能改善热量治理，为热警告和风险交流提供信息，并设计更有效的公共卫生干预措施。该项目包括研究最容易受到热量和其他类型的天气危害以及负责减少这些系统性脆弱性的决策和决策者的研究。该项目有助于地理和行为科学的理论和方法论进步及其在风险环境中的交集。通过收集和降低缩放的代表性调查数据来确定热响应的地理变化与决策者调查相结合，以更好地了解他们的看法并相信其宪法，研究人员将研究风险的看法和对不同热量治理范围内热量的响应。该项目将通过对政策和决策者的调查进行空间分析和代表性社会调查数据建模的新兴定量技术。研究人员利用多级回归和延伸后的代表性调查数据和小区域估算的优势来产生公众看法和对热风险的反应的国家，州和地方估计。这种方法提供了一种基准，可以从中了解负责热量治理的决策和决策者如何理解自己的构成的看法和回应，并将其纳入热计划和响应工作中。两个研讨会和一个研讨会收集了研究人员和利益相关者，以对极端热量的人类和地理维度进行协同研究和思想。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并被认为是通过基金会的知识分子优点和更广泛的影响审查标准通过评估来评估的。