Hazards SEES Type 2: Modeling to Promote Regional Resilience to Repeated Heat Waves and Hurricanes

灾害 SEES 类型 2：建立模型以提高区域对反复出现的热浪和飓风的抵御能力

• 批准号: 1331399
• 负责人: Seth Guikema
• 金额: $ 300万
• 依托单位: Johns Hopkins University
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2013-10-01 至 2016-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1331399&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Hazards; SEES; Type; Modeling; Promote

Communities are interested in becoming more resilient to weather extremes but often lack the tools and resources to fully understand the problems and make good decisions. This lack of understanding is understandable given the complex and interrelated nature of the impacts from extreme events. Communities need to design solutions for infrastructure management, land use planning, public health, and emergency management, understanding how each is related to the other. In areas that are subject to repeated events, the problem is exacerbated. In this project, an interdisciplinary team of researchers will develop an integrated model, the Integrated Hazard, Impact, and Resilience Model to better understand the impacts of repeated hurricanes and heat waves on regional vulnerability and resilience and use the model to develop approaches for improving resilience to these repeated hazards. The team integrates expertise in individual and organizational behavior, economic modeling, climate science, infrastructure engineering, hazard modeling, public health, and spatial landscape analysis. The work on this project will be grounded in and integrated through systems modeling. The goal of the project is to significantly advance the understanding of the impacts from hurricanes and heat waves on the vulnerability and resilience of regions over time and the tools and resources available to help regions better prevent repeated hazards from becoming repeated disasters.The mid-Atlantic region will be the case study for this project, grounding the work in a critical region of the U.S., one that has a growing population facing increasing threats from weather extremes. The team will also have strong international collaborators, helping to make sure the work has broad applicability to other areas of the world. As part of this project, a set of undergraduates, masters, and doctoral students as well as postdoctoral scholars will be trained in trans-disciplinary hazards research and modeling. This cadre of students and researchers will form a critical resource for the nation, helping to improve regional resilience to repeated hurricanes and heat waves.

社区有兴趣对极端天气变得更具弹性，但通常缺乏完全理解问题并做出正确决定的工具和资源。鉴于极端事件的影响的复杂和相互关联的本质是可以理解的。社区需要设计用于基础设施管理，土地使用计划，公共卫生和应急管理的解决方案，了解彼此之间的关系。在受重复事件的区域中，问题加剧了。在这个项目中，跨学科研究人员将开发一个整合模型，即综合危害，影响和弹性模型，以更好地了解反复的飓风和热浪对区域脆弱性和韧性的影响这些反复的危害。该团队在个人和组织行为，经济建模，气候科学，基础设施工程，危害建模，公共卫生和空间景观分析方面融合了专业知识。该项目的工作将基于系统建模并集成。该项目的目的是显着提高人们对飓风和热浪对地区脆弱性和韧性的影响，随着时间的推移的脆弱性和韧性以及可用的工具和资源，以帮助地区更好地防止重复危害成为反复的灾难。该项目将是该项目的案例研究，将其在美国关键地区进行的工作扎根，该地区的工作面临越来越多的人口，正面临越来越多的天气威胁。该团队还将拥有强大的国际合作者，以确保工作对世界其他领域具有广泛的适用性。作为该项目的一部分，一组大学生，硕士和博士生以及博士后学者将接受跨学科危害研究和建模的培训。这位学生和研究人员的干部将为国家构成关键资源，有助于提高对反复飓风和热浪的区域弹性。