U.S. Social Security Policy: A Dynamic Analysis of Incentives and Self-Selection

美国社会保障政策：激励与自我选择的动态分析

• 批准号: 9111926
• 负责人: John Rust
• 金额: $ 15.97万
• 依托单位: University of Wisconsin-Madison
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 1991
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1991-06-15 至 1994-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=9111926&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: U.S.; Social; Security; Policy; Dynamic

The object of this research project is to adapt a dynamic programming model of retirement behavior developed by the author of this study and a computational strategy developed by others to address a number of important questions regarding the Social Security System. Among the questions to be addressed are: (1) How will changes in the 1983 Social Security amendments affect retirement behavior? How much will it affect the labor supply of older workers? (2) What kinds of individuals will self select delayed retirement credit because of increases in these credits? (3) Are the new rules fair in actuarial sense? What will be the net impact on total Social Security outlays? (4) More generally, what is the form of an efficient Social Security policy? These questions will be addressed by estimating utility functions with a data set of male workers taken from the Retirement History Survey. This research is important because it will answer questions about the impact of changes in the Social Security System on the viability of the system and on the benefits to recipient.

本研究项目的目的是采用本研究作者开发的退休行为动态规划模型和其他人开发的计算策略，以解决有关社会保障体系的许多重要问题。 需要解决的问题包括： (1) 1983 年社会保障修正案的变化将如何影响退休行为？ 对老年工人的劳动力供给影响有多大？ (2) 什么样的人会因为这些信贷的增加而自行选择延迟退休信贷？ （3）新规则在精算意义上是否公平？ 对社会保障总支出的净影响是什么？ (4) 更一般地说，有效的社会保障政策的形式是什么？ 这些问题将通过使用从退休历史调查中获取的男性工人数据集估计效用函数来解决。 这项研究很重要，因为它将回答有关社会保障体系的变化对该体系的生存能力以及受益人的福利的影响的问题。