Declining Teen Fertility and Increasing Population Heterogeneity within the Latino/Hispanic Population Supplement

拉丁裔/西班牙裔人口补充中青少年生育率下降和人口异质性增加

• 批准号: 10378373
• 负责人: REANNE FRANK
• 金额: $ 7.85万
• 依托单位: OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2020-08-10 至 2023-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10378373
• 关键词: Administrative Supplement; Adolescent; Adolescent and Young Adult; Age; Age Reporting; Award; Behavioral; Birth; Birth Rate; Bypass; COVID-19; COVID-19 mortality; COVID-19 pandemic; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (U.S.); Child; County; Data; Data Reporting; Demographic Accounting; Distal; Distress; Drops; Economics; Fertility; Foundations; Geographic Locations; Geography; Heterogeneity; Hispanic Americans; Hispanics; Home; Individual; Interruption; Latina; Latino; Latinx; Link; Marital Status; Parents; Pattern; Personal Satisfaction; Play; Policies; Population; Population Heterogeneity; Pregnancy in Adolescence; Research; Risk; Schools; Sex Behavior; Social Change; Source; Specific qualifier value; Subgroup; Teenagers; Time; Time Series Analysis; Uncertainty; United Nations; Variant; Woman; adjudicate; aged; child bearing; coronavirus disease; early childbearing; economic impact; multilevel analysis; pregnancy prevention; response; teen birth; teenage fertility; trend; young adult

Project Summary The proposed study focuses on adolescent childbearing among the U.S. Hispanic/Latina (hereafter: Hispanic) population. Declines in teen fertility in the U.S have been widespread and, in recent years, have been particularly large among Hispanic/Latina adolescents. Given their disproportionate share of teen births (over one-third of all teen births in 2017 were to Hispanic teens), the drop in the Hispanic birth rate accounts for a substantial portion of the recent decline in the national teen birth rate. Beyond birth data reports, however, there has been no formal demographic accounting of these unprecedented declines that considers the vast heterogeneity and significant changes in the Hispanic population. This kind of rich description is an essential, albeit frequently bypassed, step in the broader tasks of identifying the causes (both proximate and distal) of the impressive declines in Hispanic teen fertility. We leverage nearly 30 years of Natality data (1991-2018) to first determine if declines in Hispanic teen birth rates have been widespread or exclusive to particular sub-groups (cross-classified by different combinations of region-of-origin, nativity, geographic location in the U.S., age, and marital status). Second, we employ decomposition analysis to adjudicate between different explanations (i.e. compositional shifts vs. unobserved behavioral changes) behind any documented declines. Third, via the proposed administrative supplement, we propose to extend the time frame of our analysis to cover the pre and post COVID-19 eras. The alarmingly disproportionate impact of COVID-19 on the Hispanic population motivates our focus on determining how the COVID-19 pandemic has altered adolescent and early fertility among Hispanic Americans. Together, our approach will reveal patterns that are essential to a more comprehensive understanding of Hispanic teen fertility, including how it has (or has not) changed and the reasons for any observed changes.

项目摘要 拟议的研究重点是美国西班牙裔/拉丁裔的青春期生育 （以后：西班牙裔）人口。美国的青少年生育能力下降已经普遍存在，并且 近年来，在西班牙裔/拉丁裔青少年中特别大。鉴于他们 青少年出生的份额不成比例（2017年所有青少年出生的三分之一以上是西班牙裔 青少年），西班牙裔出生率的下降占最近下降的很大一部分 以全国青少年出生率。但是，除了出生数据报告之外，还没有正式 这些前所未有的人口统计学会计降低，认为巨大的异质性 西班牙裔人口的重大变化。这种丰富的描述是必不可少的 尽管经常绕过，但要介入确定原因的更广泛的任务（两者都接近 西班牙裔青少年生育能力令人印象深刻的下降。我们利用近30年的 出生数据（1991-2018）首先确定西班牙裔青少年出生率的下降是否已有 特定子组的广泛或独家（通过不同的组合进行了分类 原产地区，耶稣诞生，地理位置在美国，年龄和婚姻状况）。第二，我们 采用分解分析来裁定不同的解释（即成分 在任何有记录的下降之后，轮班与未观察到的行为变化）。第三，通过 拟议的行政补充，我们建议将分析的时间范围延长到 涵盖前后19岁之前和之后的时代。 COVID-19对 西班牙裔人口激发了我们的专注于确定共同研究的大流行如何 西班牙裔美国人的青少年和早期生育改变了。一起，我们的方法将 揭示对对西班牙裔青少年更全面理解至关重要的模式 生育能力，包括其有（或尚未）变化的方式以及任何观察到的变化的原因。