IS YOUTH DRINKING SENSITIVE TO PRICE? EVIDENCE FROM RECENT LARGE TAX CHANGES

年轻人饮酒对价格敏感吗？

基本信息

批准号：
8339655
负责人：
CHRISTOPHER S. CARPENTER
金额：
$ 13.24万
依托单位：
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
财政年份：
2012
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2012-05-10 至 2014-04-30
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8339655
关键词：
Accident and Emergency department Accidents Accounting Address Adolescent Risk Behavior Adopted Adverse event Alcohol consumption Alcoholic Beverages Alcohols Beer Budgets Characteristics Consensus Crime Data Economics Effectiveness Environment Evaluation Failure Federal Government Foundations Future Light Literature Measures Meta-Analysis Methods Modeling Monitor Morbidity - disease rate Outcome Paper Policies Price Relative (related person)Reporting Research Research Personnel Sampling Sexually Transmitted Diseases Side Societies State Government Surveys Taxes Testing Traffic accidents Variant Visit Work adolescent alcohol adverse outcome alcohol related problem cooking cost drinking health economics high risk sexual behavior instrument mortality policy implication public policy on alcohol response theories trafficking underage drinking

项目摘要

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): Is youth alcohol consumption responsive to tax-induced changes in the price of alcohol? Previous economics research using the most credible fixed-effects methods has not reached consensus on this fundamental question, despite that tax-induced price increases may reduce a range of alcohol-related harms (such as mortality, morbidity, crime, and risky sexual behavior) if youth drinking is, indeed, price responsive. This project will use several recent large tax changes adopted by states over the past decade to address statistical limitations of previous research that has relied on infrequent and small increases in alcohol excise taxes to identify the relationship between youth drinking and tax-induced price changes. In so doing, we will provide direct evidence on the likely effectiveness of excise taxes as a strategy to reduce the adverse consequences of youth alcohol consumption. PUBLIC HEALTH RELEVANCE: Underage alcohol use is estimated to cost society over $50 billion annually in the form of traffic accidents, emergency room visits, and crime. Youth drinking may be reduced by increasing alcohol taxes, but previous research on this question is limited. This project will provide new evidence on the usefulness of excise taxes to reduce youth drinking and associated harms by using numerous large tax increases adopted since 2002 in response to state budget shortfalls.

描述（由申请人提供）：青少年酒精消费对税收引起的酒精价格变化有反应吗？尽管税收引起的价格上涨可能会减少一系列与酒精相关的危害（例如死亡率、发病率、犯罪和危险性行为），但之前使用最可信的固定效应方法进行的经济学研究尚未就这一基本问题达成共识。如果青少年饮酒确实对价格敏感的话。该项目将利用过去十年各州采取的几项重大税收改革来解决先前研究的统计局限性，这些研究依赖于酒精消费税的不频繁和小幅增加来确定青少年饮酒与税收引起的价格变化之间的关系。在此过程中，我们将提供直接证据，证明消费税作为减少青少年饮酒不利后果的策略可能有效。公共卫生相关性：据估计，未成年人饮酒每年会给社会造成超过 500 亿美元的损失，其中包括交通事故、急诊室就诊和犯罪。青少年饮酒可能会通过增加酒精税来减少，但之前关于这个问题的研究是有限的。该项目将通过自 2002 年以来为应对国家预算短缺而采取的多次大幅增税措施，为消费税在减少青少年饮酒和相关危害方面的有效性提供新的证据。