China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study

中国健康与养老追踪研究

基本信息

批准号：
8463069
负责人：
JOHN A STRAUSS
金额：
$ 112.19万
依托单位：
PEKING UNIVERSITY
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
财政年份：
2010
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2010-05-15 至 2015-04-30
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8463069
关键词：
Adult Adult Children Affect Age Aged, 80 and over Aging American Argentina Asia Attention Baseline Surveys Biological Markers Capital China Chinese People Chronic Disease Collection Communicable Diseases Comparative Study Country County Data Data Analyses Demographic Transitions Developing Countries Dimensions Documentation Economics Elderly Elements England Europe Event Face Family Life Surveys Family Planning Policy Fertility Funding Goals Government Grant Growth Health Health Insurance Health Transition Household Income India Individual Indonesia Industrialization Insurance International Interview Israel Japan Learning Life Longevity Longitudinal Studies Malaysia Marketing Methods Modeling National Institute on Aging Nature One Child Policy Pattern Persons Population Production Province Questionnaires Reading Recontacts Recovery Research Research Design Research Personnel Respondent Retirement Rural Population Sample Size Sampling Savings Schedule Shock Singapore Sister Source South Korea Spouses Surveys Thailand United Nations United States Venous blood sampling Work aged design experience falls member operation programs public health relevance rapid growth rural area

项目摘要

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): There is a growing need for a HRS-type survey in China. China has more elderly than any country in the world and is one of the fastest aging countries in the world today. China's population is aging at income levels far lower than was true for industrial countries and faster than today's developing countries. By 2030, China's elderly population share is expected to reach 16%, greater than much richer countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, Israel, and Argentina. China's elderly support ratio (the number of prime-aged adults 25- 64 to the number older than 64) is projected to fall from nearly 13 in 2000 to 2.1 by 2050. Rapid aging in China is caused by growing length of life, in part resulting from China's rapid income growth) combined with rapid reductions in fertility associated with the implementation of China's very strong One Child Policy, which has been in place for over 25 years. Yet, after 30 years of rapid growth, growth fell drastically beginning in late 2008, potentially giving the elderly in China a serious negative economic shock that they could not have foreseen. In the summer of 2008 we successfully fielded a pilot for the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), which was patterned on the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) in the United States and other HRS-type surveys. We collected the pilot data in two provinces: Zhejiang and Gansu. Gansu is one of the poorest provinces in China and has a large rural population. Zhejiang, in contrast, is one of the leading centers of Chinese industrialization and export to the west. It is far more urban than Gansu province. We obtained a sample of 1,570 households with individuals 45 years old and older and 2,685 individuals (we randomly choose one person over 45 years per household to interview, plus their spouse). Now we are proposing to field the first two national waves of CHARLS in 2011 and 2013. We will include the pilot households in CHARLS, which will give users an immediate panel dimension. We expect a sample size of 10,210 households with a member over 45 years old, including the pilot households, and 17,635 individuals, whom we expect to interview. We will track households and individuals who have moved, to attain low attrition rates.

描述（由申请人提供）：中国对 HRS 型调查的需求日益增长。中国的老年人口比世界上任何国家都多，是当今世界上老龄化速度最快的国家之一。中国人口老龄化的收入水平远低于工业国家，但速度快于当今的发展中国家。到2030年，中国老年人口比例预计将达到16%，高于新加坡、马来西亚、以色列和阿根廷等富裕国家。中国的老年人赡养比（25-64岁的壮年人数与64岁以上的人数）预计将从2000年的近13%下降到2050年的2.1%。中国的快速老龄化部分是由于寿命延长造成的。（这是由于中国收入快速增长造成的），加上中国实施了 25 年多的强有力的独生子女政策导致生育率迅速下降。然而，在经历了30年的快速增长之后，增长从2008年底开始急剧下滑，这可能会给中国老年人带来他们无法预见的严重的负面经济冲击。 2008年夏天，我们成功开展了中国健康与退休纵向研究（CHARLS）试点，该研究以美国健康与退休研究（HRS）和其他HRS类型的调查为蓝本。我们收集了浙江和甘肃两个省份的试点数据。甘肃是中国最贫困的省份之一，农村人口众多。相比之下，浙江是中国工业化和向西方出口的主要中心之一。它的城市化程度远高于甘肃省。我们获得了 1,570 个有 45 岁及以上人员的家庭和 2,685 名个人的样本（我们随机选择每个家庭中 1 名 45 岁以上的人及其配偶进行访谈）。现在，我们建议在 2011 年和 2013 年开展前两波全国 CHARLS。我们将把试点家庭纳入 CHARLS，这将为用户提供直接的面板尺寸。我们预计样本规模为 10,210 个成员年龄在 45 岁以上的家庭（包括试点家庭）和 17,635 名个人，我们预计会采访这些人。我们将跟踪搬家的家庭和个人，以实现低流失率。