Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-55

监测未来：19-55 岁吸毒情况队列序贯小组研究

• 批准号: 8371614
• 负责人: LLOYD D JOHNSTON
• 金额: $ 197.97万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2003
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2003-09-30 至 2017-04-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/8371614
• 关键词: 21 year old; AIDS/HIV problem; Address; Adolescence; Adolescent; Adult; Affect; Age; Alcohol consumption; Alcohol or Other Drugs use; Alcoholic Beverages; Alcohols; American; Americas; Annual Reports; Attitude; Basic Science; Behavior; Belief; Categories; Characteristics; Cigarette; Cohort Analysis; Cohort Effect; Cohort Studies; Communities; Companions; Data; Data Analyses; Data Collection; Development; Drug Addiction; Drug Prescriptions; Drug abuse; Drug usage; Epidemiology; Ethnic Origin; Event; Funding; Future; Gender; General Population; Goals; Health; Health Status; Heterogeneity; Home environment; Illicit Drugs; Individual; Injection of therapeutic agent; Internet; Knowledge; Label; Legal; Life Cycle Stages; Longitudinal Studies; Mails; Measurement; Mental Health; Methods; Monitor; Morbidity - disease rate; National Institute of Drug Abuse; National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism; Natural experiment; Occupational; Online Systems; Pattern; Performance; Personal Satisfaction; Pharmaceutical Preparations; Policies; Policy Research; Prevention; Prevention strategy; Price; Race; Recording of previous events; Regulation; Reporting; Research; Research Personnel; Research Project Grants; Risk; Risk Behaviors; Role; Sampling; Schools; Smoking; Social Environment; Socioeconomic Status; Source; Subgroup; Substance abuse problem; Sum; Surveys; Techniques; Tobacco; Tobacco use; Variant; Work; adolescent substance use; cohort; college; data sharing; design; drinking; experience; follow-up; high school; impaired driving performance; innovation; interest; longitudinal design; middle age; mortality; novel strategies; peer; physical conditioning; programs; protective behavior; research study; response; social; transmission process; trend; university student; young adult

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This application seeks a five-year continuation of the panel data collections of the Monitoring the Future (MTF) study, an ongoing epidemiological and etiological research and reporting project begun in 1975. In addition to being a basic research study, MTF has become one of the nations most relied upon sources of information on trends in illicit drug, alcohol, and tobacco use among American adolescents, college students, and young and middle-aged adults. This application seeks continuation of the mail follow-up surveys of high school graduates (augmented with internet options) at modal ages 19-30, 35, 40, 45, 50, and now 55. The companion "main" application seeks to continue the in-school data collections and to support the analysis of all of the data in the study, including past and future panel data. (NIDA requests that the study seek continuation funding through two separate applications, as it has done in the last two rounds.) The study's cohort-sequential longitudinal design permits the measurement and differentiation of three types of change-age (developmental), period (historical), and cohort. Each has different determinants, and all three types of change have been shown by MTF to occur for most drugs. Factors that may explain historical trends and cohort differences also are monitored. MTF is designed to document the developmental history and consequences of drug use and related attitudes from adolescence through middle adulthood, and to determine the individual and contextual characteristics and social role transitions that affect use and related attitudes. Research on risk and protective behaviors for the transmission of HIV/AIDS among adults ages 21-40 also will be continued. All of this work will be extended to new years, cohorts, and ages under this application and the companion main application. The study will examine the importance of many hypothesized determinants of drug use (including attitudes and beliefs and access), as well as a range of potential consequences (including physical and psychological health, status attainment, role performance, and drug abuse and dependence). Impacts of some policy changes on adolescents and young adults will be evaluated, including those of the new FDA cigarette labeling requirements. MTF will experiment with the use of internet response methods and pursue several new approaches to making its panel data more accessible to other investigators. The study's very broad measurement covers (a) initiation, use, and cessation for over 50 categories and sub-categories of licit and illicit drugs, including alcohol and tobacco; (b) attitudes and beliefs about many of them, perceived availability, and peer norms; (c) other behaviors and individual characteristics; (d) aspects of key social environments (home, work, school) and social role statuses and transitions; and (e) risk and protective behaviors related to the spread of HIV/AIDS. Results will continue to elucidate drug use from adolescence through middle adulthood-including the introduction of new drugs-with major implications for the policy, research, prevention, and treatment agendas. PUBLIC HEALTH RELEVANCE: This research project will continue the longitudinal study of smoking, drinking, and illicit drug use among nationally representative samples of high school graduates, as part of the ongoing Monitoring the Future study. American college students will be covered in this study. Panels drawn from each high school graduating class since 1976 will be followed across the life course, ranging up to age 55, to study patterns of substance use, possible causes, and long-term consequences. Such knowledge, as well as the differentiation of changes in drug use that occur with age, across historical periods, and between class cohorts, will increment our scientific understanding of these behaviors and inform prevention strategies and national drug use policy more generally.

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This application seeks a five-year continuation of the panel data collections of the Monitoring the Future (MTF) study, an ongoing epidemiological and etiological research and reporting project begun in 1975. In addition to being a basic research study, MTF has become one of the nations most relied upon sources of information on trends in illicit drug, alcohol, and tobacco use among American adolescents, college students, and young and中年成年人。该应用程序寻求在19-30、35、35、40、45、50和现在的55岁的模态对高中毕业生的邮件随访调查（以互联网选项的增强）进行。同伴“ Main”应用程序旨在继续进行学校内的数据收集，并支持研究中所有数据的分析，包括过去和未来的面板数据。 （NIDA要求该研究通过两个单独的应用寻求继续资金，就像在过去的两轮中一样。）该研究的同类序列纵向设计允许对三种变化（发展），时期（历史）和队列的测量和差异进行测量和差异。每种都有不同的决定因素，并且MTF已显示大多数药物的所有三种变化。还可以监测可能解释历史趋势和队列差异的因素。 MTF旨在记录从青春期到成年中期的药物使用及相关态度的发展历史和后果，并确定影响使用和相关态度的个人和背景特征和社会角色转变。关于21-40岁成人艾滋病毒/艾滋病的风险和保护行为的研究也将继续进行。所有这项工作将扩展到本申请和同伴主要应用程序下的新年，同伙和年龄。该研究将研究许多假设的药物使用决定因素（包括态度，信念和访问），以及一系列潜在后果（包括身体和心理健康，状态成就，角色绩效以及药物滥用以及药物滥用和依赖）。将评估某些政策变化对青少年和年轻人的影响，包括新的FDA香烟标签要求的影响。 MTF将尝试使用Internet响应方法，并采用几种新方法，以使其面板数据更容易被其他研究人员访问。 这项研究的测量非常广泛，涵盖了50多种类别以及包括酒精和烟草在内的50多种类别和子类别的启动，使用和停止； （b）对其中许多人的态度和信念，可感知的可用性和同行规范； （c）其他行为和个人特征； （d）关键社会环境（家庭，工作，学校）以及社会角色状况和过渡的各个方面； （e）与艾滋病毒/艾滋病传播有关的风险和保护行为。结果将继续阐明从青春期到成年中期的药物使用，包括引入新药物对政策，研究，预防和治疗议程的主要影响。 公共卫生相关性：作为正在进行的未来监测研究的一部分，该研究项目将继续对全国代表性毕业生的吸烟，饮酒和非法药物使用进行纵向研究。这项研究将涵盖美国大学生。自1976年以来，从每个高中毕业的每个毕业生中提取的小组都将在整个生活课程中进行，直到55岁，以研究吸毒的模式，可能的原因和长期后果。这种知识以及跨历史时期以及阶级队列之间发生的药物使用变化的差异将使我们对这些行为的科学理解，并为预防策略和国家药物使用政策提供信息。