Addressing the complexity of future power system dynamic behaviour

解决未来电力系统动态行为的复杂性

• 批准号: MR/S034420/2
• 负责人: Panagiotis Papadopoulos
• 金额: $ 10.19万
• 依托单位: University of Manchester
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=MR%2FS034420%2F2
• 关键词: Addressing; complexity; future; power; system

Electrical power systems are undergoing unprecedented and ever-increasing change that will increase the levels of complexity and uncertainty to unprecedented levels, particularly in GB. Ensuring secure, reliable and stable power system operation is clearly paramount; not only for "traditional" electrical loads, but to power telecommunications, water supply and sanitation, natural gas production and delivery, and for transportation. Social discomfort, economic disruption and loss of life can arise in cases of partial or full blackouts. Uncertainty and complexity will arise due to the prevalence of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). In GB, millions of intermittent small energy sources (not under the control of the system operator) may be connected to the electricity distribution system in future, as opposed to historical arrangements, where a much smaller number (100 or so) of large-scale generators, under the control of the system operator, were connected to the transmission system. Furthermore, energy storage, electric vehicles, heat pumps, HVDC interconnectors, "smart grids" and associated control systems, will all act to increase the complexity and unpredictability of, and possibly introduce chaos to, the system. Extreme weather events are on the increase empirically and with reliance on renewable sources (mostly from solar and wind), this could also increase risks associated with uncertainty, complexity and system operability. Internationally respected organisations such as the IEEE and CIGRE emphasise the increasing complexity of power systems and highlight problems with unpredictable and changing power system dynamics as challenges that might compromise security and could increase the risk of blackouts. They also highlight potential improvements in reducing these risks through enhanced monitoring, control, automation and special protection schemes. Prevention and mitigation of the risk of blackouts is essential and the focus of this proposal. Understanding the changing nature of system dynamics is fundamental to addressing this risk.This Fellowship is focused on investigating, understanding, defining and representing previously un-encountered dynamic phenomena that will be manifest in future power systems due to the aforementioned increases in complexity and uncertainty. Novel modelling, prediction and control tools and methodologies will be developed to ensure an accelerated path to stable, secure, reliable and cost-effective operation and enhance understanding. This research will lead to prototype applications and demonstration in the world-leading facilities available at the host institution. Ultimately, the main impact will be maximisation of the secure use of renewables and effective decarbonisation of the electricity system, through creating models and tools to enhance "operability" of electrical power systems and reduce blackout risk. The Fellowship will enable the candidate and his institution to be international leaders in this field, which impacts both society and the economy.

电力系统正在经历前所未有的越来越多的变化，这将增加复杂性和不确定性的水平，尤其是在GB中。确保安全，可靠和稳定的电源系统操作显然至关重要；不仅用于“传统”电气负载，还为电信，供水和卫生设施，天然气生产和交付以及运输。在部分或全部停电的情况下，社会不适，经济破坏和生命损失可能会产生。由于可再生能源的普遍性（RES），将出现不确定性和复杂性。在GB中，将来可以将数百万个间歇性的小型能源（不受系统操作员的控制）连接到电力分配系统，而不是历史安排，在系统操作员的控制下，大量的大型发电机数量较小（100左右），将其连接到传输系统。此外，储能，电动汽车，热泵，HVDC互连器，“智能电网”和相关的控制系统都将采取行动，以提高该系统的复杂性和不可预测性，并可能引入混乱。极端的天气事件在经验上增加，并且依赖可再生能源（主要来自太阳能和风能），这也可能增加与不确定性，复杂性和系统可操作性相关的风险。 IEEE和CIGRE等国际尊敬的组织强调了电力系统的复杂性日益增加，并突出了不可预测和不断变化的电力系统动态的问题，这可能会损害安全性并可能增加停电风险。他们还强调了通过增强监控，控制，自动化和特殊保护方案来降低这些风险的潜在改善。预防和缓解停电风险至关重要，这是该提案的重点。了解系统动力学的不断变化对于解决这种风险是至关重要的。该团契的重点是研究，理解，定义和代表以前未经遇到的动态现象，这将在上述功率系统中表现为上述复杂性和不确定性的增加。将开发新颖的建模，预测和控制工具和方法，以确保加速通往稳定，安全，可靠和具有成本效益的操作并增强理解。这项研究将导致在东道机构可用的世界领先设施中进行原型应用程序和演示。最终，主要影响将是通过创建模型和工具来增强电力系统的“可操作性”并降低停电风险，从而最大化可再生能源的安全使用和有效的电力系统脱碳。奖学金将使候选人及其机构能够成为该领域的国际领导人，这会影响社会和经济。