UNDERSTANDING & PREDICTION OF DELINQUENT BEHAVIOR

理解

• 批准号: 3486599
• 负责人: GERALD R PATTERSON
• 金额: $ 94.88万
• 依托单位: OREGON SOCIAL LEARNING CENTER, INC.
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 1983
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1983-04-01 至 1992-11-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/3486599
• 关键词: adolescence (12-20); attitude; automated data processing; behavior prediction; behavior test; criminal behavior; criminology; data collection methodology /evaluation; depression; drug abuse; family structure /dynamics; intelligence tests; interpersonal relations; interview; juvenile delinquency; longitudinal human study; male; middle childhood (6-11); parent offspring interaction; peer group; personality tests; psychometrics; questionnaires; schools; self help; social behavior; social group process; social model; social perception; socioenvironment; videotape /videodisc

The proposal is a request to continue and extend a NIMH- supported longitudinal study of two cohorts of families of Grade 4 boys. The first 5-year period was highly successful in obtaining cooperation of families living in high crime areas of the city. The attrition level has also been very low during the ensuing years of the project, even though all family members have participated in intensive assessment at both Grade 4 and 6 levels, with minor assessments in alternate years. The original focus on antisocial behavior has been expanded to include an effort to understand and to successfully predict both substance use and depressed mood. The study uses a multimethod (i.e., interviews, questionnaires, telephone interviews, videotaped interaction tasks with family and peers, testing and records data) and multiagent (parents, teachers, target child, peers, interviews, tape coders and raters) approach to the measurement of etiological variables (e.g., family management, family and peer substance use, peer relations) in the development of antisocial, substance abusive and depressive behaviors in male adolescents. The objective is to provide a solid empirical base for developing both prediction and prevention procedures in those three problem areas. A stage model is presented that traces out the family and peer influences involved in the child becoming increasingly at risk for remaining in a process that results in delinquency, substance use and depression. In the stage model, each new pattern of problems or omitted social skills produces, in turn, a reaction from the social environment that may further increase the risk for progressing in that process. These reactions define a set of variables thought to function as positive feedback loops for the process.

该提案请求继续并延长 NIMH- 支持对两组四年级家庭进行的纵向研究 男孩们。 第一个 5 年期间非常成功地获得了 居住在该市犯罪高发地区的家庭的合作。 这 在随后的几年中，人员流失率也非常低 该项目，尽管所有家庭成员都参与了 4 年级和 6 年级的强化评估，以及轻微的评估 隔年进行评估。 最初对反社会行为的关注已扩展到 包括努力理解并成功预测两者 物质使用和情绪低落。 该研究采用多种方法 （即访谈、问卷调查、电话访谈、录像 与家人和同伴的互动任务、测试和记录数据） 和多主体（父母、老师、目标孩子、同龄人、访谈、 磁带编码员和评级员）的测量方法 病因变量（例如，家庭管理、家庭和同伴 物质使用、同伴关系）在反社会发展中， 男性青少年的物质滥用和抑郁行为。 目的是为开发提供坚实的经验基础 这三个问题的预测和预防程序 地区。 呈现了一个追踪家庭和同伴的舞台模型 儿童面临的风险越来越大 留在导致犯罪、药物滥用的过程中 和抑郁症。 在阶段模型中，每一个新的问题模式 或省略的社交技能反过来会产生来自 可能进一步增加风险的社会环境 在此过程中取得进展。 这些反应定义了一组 被认为起到正反馈循环作用的变量 过程。