Multiscale Modelling to maximise Demand Side Management (Part 2)

多尺度建模以最大限度地提高需求侧管理（第 2 部分）

基本信息

批准号：
EP/I000496/1
负责人：
Tom Rodden
金额：
$ 78.06万
依托单位：
University of Nottingham
依托单位国家：
英国
项目类别：
Research Grant
财政年份：
2010
资助国家：
英国
起止时间：
2010 至无数据
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=EP%2FI000496%2F1
关键词：
Multiscale Modelling maximise Demand Side

项目摘要

Modern energy systems are complex technical, social and economic endeavours formed through the assembly of a broad set of elements and shaped by the actions of many multiple actors including consumers, suppliers and regulators. While some gains can be achieved by optimising parts of these systems, significant reduction in energy demand is a major challenge requiring changes in behaviour from all the actors involved. In this proposal we wish to exploit the ability of digital technologies to monitor, model and represent the operation and effects of energy demand to promote changes in these systems. This is often realised through a set of actions and measures, commonly known as demand side management (DSM). Current approaches to DSM and reduction of energy demand, however, are often viewed entirely from the consumer's perspective, concentrating mostly on the importance of behavioural changes and the role of energy displays (or smart meters ) as main drivers of these changes. This emphasises only one part of modern and increasingly complex energy systems, which actually need to be understood in their entirety to ensure that changes will have both significant and sustainable impact. Accordingly, this proposal adopts an end-to-end approach to exploit digital technology to understand the overall energy supply system (from generation to transmission, distribution and utilisation), in which devised changes are targeted at the points of maximum impact and all involved system elements are fully optimised to reap the benefits of these changes.The ultimate aim of our research is to answer how the significant potential benefits of DSM can be maximised through the provision of a unified, versatile and affordable digital infrastructure that allows us to reason across a whole energy system and supports new ways to exchange information between dynamic multiscale DSM models. The expected outcome is access to, and presentation of, not just quantitative information (e.g. the amount of modified active/reactive power demands), but also qualitative information (e.g. what are the actual load mixes and load sectors responsible for the changes in demand and what are their definite effects) to all involved stakeholders. In particular, we wish to link the use of modern digital technologies, capable of impacting the behaviour of the consumers, with the ability to optimally respond to the resulting changes in energy demand. The project team brings together researchers with a background in ubiquitous computing, complex systems modelling and user centred development to work with researcher focusing of real world energy systems and energy economics. We will adopt a user driven approach to the design and development of a series of computational models and digital technologies working closely with consumers, energy supply companies and government bodies to explore a set of exciting state-of-the-art innovations based on low-cost sensing and display technologies. The project team has strong connections with key industrial, public sector and academic groups in UK and internationally, and these will be used to ensure that the proposed research will have maximum impact. Free access to any developed system to promote change, and a publicly accessible web site will be maintained for the dissemination of the results. We intend to make any software artefacts and device designs available via open source distribution through the Horizon DE Hub. We will build upon our existing public dissemination work to emphasise issues of ethics and societal impact as important features of this work.

现代能源系统是通过组装一系列元素而形成的复杂的技术，社会和经济努力，并由包括消费者，供应商和监管机构在内的许多多个参与者的行为塑造。虽然可以通过优化这些系统的一部分来实现一些收益，但能源需求的显着减少是一个重大挑战，需要所有涉及的参与者的行为改变。在此提案中，我们希望利用数字技术监视，建模并代表能源需求的操作和影响的能力，以促进这些系统的变化。这通常是通过一组行动和措施来实现的，通常称为需求侧管理（DSM）。但是，当前的DSM和能源需求减少方法通常完全从消费者的角度看待，主要集中在行为变化的重要性以及能源显示（或智能电表）的作用上是这些变化的主要驱动力。这仅强调了现代且日益复杂的能源系统的一部分，实际上需要将其全部理解，以确保变化将产生重大和可持续的影响。因此，该提案采用端到端方法来利用数字技术来了解总体能源供应系统（从发电到传输，分销和利用），在该系统中，设计的变化针对的是最大影响点，并且所有相关系统元素都已完全优化，以获得这些变化的好处。我们的研究的最终目标是回答DSM的重要效果，可以通过DIMISION构建dsm的潜在效果。这使我们能够在整个能源系统中进行推理，并支持在动态多尺度DSM模型之间交换信息的新方法。预期的结果是访问和呈现定量信息（例如，修改后的有效/反应能力需求的量），还可以访问定性信息（例如，哪些实际负载组合和负载扇区，负责需求的变化以及其确定的效果是什么）。特别是，我们希望将能够影响消费者行为的现代数字技术的使用联系起来，并能够最佳地响应产生的能源需求变化。项目团队将具有无处不在的计算，复杂系统建模和用户以用户为中心的开发背景的研究人员汇集在一起，以与研究人员关注现实世界能源系统和能源经济学。我们将采用用户驱动的方法来设计和开发一系列计算模型和数字技术，与消费者，能源供应公司和政府机构紧密合作，探索基于低成本感应和显示技术的一系列令人兴奋的最先进的创新。该项目团队与英国和国际上的主要工业，公共部门和学术团体有着密切的联系，这些联系将用于确保拟议的研究将产生最大的影响。免费访问任何开发的系统以促进变更，并将维护一个可公开访问的网站以传播结果。我们打算通过Horizon de Hub通过开源分配来制作任何软件文物和设备设计。我们将基于我们现有的公共传播工作，以强调道德问题和社会影响力作为这项工作的重要特征。