Local Economic Conditions and Patterns of Family Instability and Complexity

当地经济状况以及家庭不稳定和复杂的模式

基本信息

批准号：
10463448
负责人：
Jake J. Hays
金额：
$ 6.68万
依托单位：
UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR
依托单位国家：
美国
项目类别：
财政年份：
2022
资助国家：
美国
起止时间：
2022-09-01 至 2025-08-31
项目状态：
未结题

来源：
https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10463448
关键词：
Address Adult Affect Area Attention Behavior Birth Black race Child Child Health Child Welfare Cluster Analysis Complex County Data Data Analyses Data Sources Development Economic Conditions Economic Factors Economics Educational Background Employment Environment Exposure to Family Family Demographies Fellowship Goals Grant Health Imprisonment Income Inequality Institution Link Location Longevity Measures Mentors Methods Modeling Nuclear Family Occupational Occupations Parents Pattern Personal Satisfaction Plant Roots Population Dynamics Process Race Research Research Project Grants Selection Bias Sequence Analysis Services Shapes Social Class Social Conditions Stepfamilies Structural Models Structure Supervision Tail Techniques Testing Time Training Unemployment Universities Variant Wages Woman Writing base black men black women career college experience family structure health disparity innovation intergenerational male men panel study of income dynamics parental influence population health post-doctoral training social social factors symposium transmission process

项目摘要

PROJECT SUMMARY. The economy and the family—two social institutions that strongly affect health and well-being in the US—have undergone profound change in the last half-century. The economy changed through the stagnation of male wages, declining manufacturing jobs and rising service sector employment, and increases in inequality. Simultaneously, US families experienced increases in instability (repeated changes in parental marital/union status) and complexity (families that exist outside the typical nuclear family structure) through the late 1990s, such that approximately 40% of children currently live in complex families. Local economic conditions, like income inequality, are linked with singular family formation behaviors, like nonmarital births. Yet, the relationship between local economic conditions and family instability and complexity remains unknown. The objective of the proposed research project is to assess how local economic conditions— unemployment rates, wage stagnation, occupational structure, and income inequality—are associated with patterns of family instability and complexity, identifying how these associations developed over historical time and vary by social location. Aim 1 will establish contemporary (1997-2017) patterns of family instability and complexity by local economic conditions. Aim 2 will assess how changes in local economic conditions are linked with changes in family instability and complexity over historical time, comparing three periods: 1969- 1975 (early family change), 1976-1996 (rapid family change), 1997-2017 (family change plateau). Aim 3 will assess variation by race and educational attainment in the associations between local economic conditions and family instability and complexity. The PI will use advanced quantitative methods—sequence analysis, demographic decomposition, spatial data analysis, and causal inference techniques—to address these aims, and the use of nationally-representative data will produce generalizable results. Collectively, the aims will generate rigorous evidence on (1) whether and how local economic conditions affect patterns of family structure change, and (2) which children are most likely to be exposed to family instability and complexity. These findings are relevant to population health because family instability and complexity compromise the health and well-being of parents and children. This research project is part of a broader, 3-year postdoctoral training fellowship at a top research university, supervised by a team of mentors with expertise in family demo- graphy and economic inequality. The training plan comprises: (1) substantive training in family demography, economic conditions, and economic inequality; (2) advanced quantitative methods training that will facilitate a career in population health-relevant research; and (3) professional development through increased research independence, grant writing, conference presentations, and networking. The training plan will prepare the PI to conduct innovative research on how social and economic conditions shape family structure trajectories across the lifespan, which has consequences for population dynamics and population health.

项目摘要。经济和家庭 - 两个强烈影响健康的社会机构在美国的幸福感 - 在过去的半个世纪中经历了深刻的变化。经济发生了变化通过停滞男性工资，减少制造业工作和服务部门的就业增加以及不平等的增加。同时，美国家庭的不稳定性增加了（反复变化父母的婚姻/联盟状况）和复杂性（典型核家庭结构以外的家庭）到1990年代后期，大约有40％的儿童目前居住在复杂的家庭中。当地的经济状况，例如收入不平等，与奇异的家庭形成行为有关，例如非婚姻出生。然而，地方经济状况与家庭不稳定与复杂性之间的关系仍然存在未知。拟议的研究项目的目的是评估当地经济状况如何 - 失业率，工资停滞，职业结构和收入不平等 - 与家庭不稳定性和复杂性的模式，确定这些关联在历史时期如何发展并且因社会位置而异。 AIM 1将建立当代（1997-2017）的家庭不稳定模式和当地经济条件的复杂性。 AIM 2将评估当地经济状况的变化如何与家庭不稳定和复杂性的变化有关，比较了三个时期：1969- 1975年（早期家庭变革），1976- 1996年（迅速家庭变革），1997- 2017年（家庭变化高原）。目标3意志在当地经济状况之间的关联中评估种族和教育成就的变化以及家庭的不稳定和复杂性。 PI将使用先进的定量方法 - 序列分析，人口统计学分解，空间数据分析和因果推理技术，以解决这些目标，并且使用全国代表性数据将产生可推广的结果。总体而言，目标将关于（1）当地经济状况是否影响家庭模式的严格证据结构变化，以及（2）哪些儿童最有可能暴露于家庭的不稳定和复杂性。这些发现与人口健康有关，因为家庭不稳定和复杂性损害了父母和孩子的健康和福祉。该研究项目是一个更广泛的3年博士后的一部分在一所顶级研究大学的培训奖学金中，由一群具有家庭演示专业知识的导师团队监督图形和经济不平等。培训计划包括：（1）家庭障碍的实质性培训，经济状况和经济不平等；（2）高级定量方法培训将有助于与人口健康有关的研究职业；（3）通过增加研究的专业发展独立，赠款写作，会议演示和网络。培训计划将为PI做准备关于社会和经济状况如何塑造跨越家庭结构轨迹的创新研究寿命，对人口动态和人口健康产生后果。