MEDiate: Multi-hazard and risk informed system for Enhanced local and regional Disaster risk management

MEDiate：加强地方和区域灾害风险管理的多灾种和风险告知系统

• 批准号: 10049469
• 金额: $ 50.16万
• 依托单位: UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: EU-Funded
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2022 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=10049469
• 关键词: MEDiate; Multi; hazard; risk; informed

This project will develop a decision-support system (DSS) for disaster risk management by considering multiple interacting natural hazards and cascading impacts using a novel resilient-informed and service-oriented approach that accounts for forecasted modifications in the hazard (e.g., climate change), vulnerability/resilience (e.g., aging structures and populations) and exposure (e.g., population decrease/increase). The primary deliverable from MEDiate will be a decision support framework in the form of service-orientated web tool and accompanying disaster risk management framework providing end users (local authorities, businesses etc) with the ability to build accurate scenarios to model the potential impact of their mitigation and adaptation risk management actions. The scenarios, which can be customised to reflect local conditions and needs (e.g., demographics, deprivation, natural resources etc), will be based on a combination of the historical record and future climate change projections to forecast the location and intensity of climate related disaster events and to predict their impacts, including cascading impacts, on the vulnerability of the local physical, economic and social systems. The scenarios will allow end users to evaluate the potential impact of different risk management strategies to reduce vulnerability and enhance community resilience. The project will consist of analysis of relevant data and co-development with testbed decision-makers of a DSS to enable more reliable resilience assessments, accounting for risk mitigation and adaptive capabilities, to be made, therefore reducing losses (human, financial, environmental etc) from future climate-related and geophysical disasters. The project will involve a multi-disciplinary team of geophysical and meteorological scientists, risk engineers, social scientists, information technologists and end users, working together to ensure that the system is user-led and supported by appropriate technology.

该项目将通过使用一种新颖的具有弹性的弹性和服务导向的方法来考虑多种相互作用的自然危害和级联影响，以开发用于灾害风险管理的决策支持系统（DSS），以说明危害中的预测修改（例如，气候变化） ，脆弱性/韧性（例如，衰老结构和人群）和暴露（例如，人口减少/增加）。 Mediate的主要交付将是以服务为导向的Web工具的形式的决策支持框架，并随附灾难风险管理框架，为最终用户（地方当局，企业等）提供了能够建立准确的场景以建模其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在影响其潜在的影响缓解和适应风险管理行动。可以定制的方案可以反映当地条件和需求（例如人口统计学，剥夺，自然资源等），将基于历史记录和未来气候变化预测的结合，以预测与气候相关灾难的位置和强度事件并预测其影响，包括级联影响，对当地物理，经济和社会系统的脆弱性。该方案将使最终用户能够评估不同风险管理策略的潜在影响，以减少脆弱性并提高社区的韧性。该项目将包括与DSS的测试床决策者的相关数据分析和共同开发，以实现更可靠的弹性评估，应对风险降低和适应性能力，从而减少损失（人类，财务，环境等） ）来自未来与气候有关的灾难。该项目将涉及一个由地球物理和气象科学家，风险工程师，社会科学家，信息技术人员和最终用户组成的多学科团队，以确保该系统由用户主导并由适当的技术支持。