Consistency of Retrospectively Reported Individual Fertility Data Across Time

回顾性报告的个人生育力数据随时间的一致性

• 批准号: 10195324
• 负责人: KAREN B GUZZO
• 金额: $ 7.1万
• 依托单位: BOWLING GREEN STATE UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2021
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2021-06-01 至 2023-05-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10195324
• 关键词: Adolescent; Adult; Affect; Area; Attitude; Behavior; Birth; Birth Order; Birth Weight; Characteristics; Child; Child Health; Child Rearing; Child Welfare; Conceptions; Consequentialism; Contraceptive Usage; Data; Data Collection; Data Reporting; Data Set; Date of birth; Disadvantaged; Event; Family; Fathers; Feeling; Fertility; Frequencies; Future; Gestational Age; Goals; Health; Health Promotion; Home; Individual; Infertility; Intervention; Link; Longitudinal Studies; Longitudinal Surveys; Low Birth Weight Infant; Marital Status; Measures; Meta-Analysis; Minority; Mission; Modeling; Mothers; National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Outcome; Parents; Participant; Pattern; Policies; Population Dynamics; Pregnancy; Prenatal care; Public Health; Recording of previous events; Reporting; Research; Research Personnel; Respondent; Risk; Running; Smoking; Structure; Surveys; Techniques; Testing; Time; Uncertainty; Unmarried; Variant; Well in self; Woman; Work; base; child bearing; cost; data quality; design; evidence base; experience; health disparity; improved; longitudinal dataset; men; outcome prediction; parity; programs; public health intervention; response; sociodemographics; substance use; young mother; young woman

Project Abstract The conditions in which men and women have children are widely studied, with two distinct bodies of research: (1) predicting who has births and the characteristics of those births, and (2) analyzing how birth characteristics influence later outcomes. Both areas are highly dependent on survey data, with individuals retrospectively reporting about their births. Birth characteristics range from subjective conception factors (such as relationship status or whether the pregnancy was intended) to behaviors during pregnancy (such as smoking or prenatal care) to more objective data (such as gestational age or birth weight). These characteristics are then used as either dependent or independent variables to identify the predictors and consequences, respectively, of various birth characteristics. Rarely, though, have researchers considered whether this retrospectively-reported data – data produced by asking individuals to recall statuses, feelings, behaviors, and details of past events – is reliable. If input data is flawed, then research using such data risks drawing inaccurate conclusions. The limited research directly investigating retrospectively-reported fertility survey data has indeed found problems – some men’s births are not reported at all, and a substantial minority of young women change how they retrospectively characterize the intendedness of a birth when asked about the same birth at different points in time. This suggests that retrospective reports for other birth characteristics may also be prone to inconsistencies over time. The current project thus investigates an important but untested assumption: that mothers and fathers are consistent in how they report about past fertility. The project tests this assumption with the only two longitudinal datasets (the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health and the Toledo Adolescent Relationships Study) that collect full fertility histories at multiple waves, which means that individuals have multiple opportunities to report characteristics for the same birth(s). The proposed research will accomplish two goals. First, it will establish whether respondents report consistently about their births, investigating a wide range of birth measures. This will a) identify which characteristics are most likely to be reported consistently, b) leverage differences in surveying to determine how survey frequency and structure influence consistency, and c) establish whether there is systematic variation in who reports consistently. Second, this project will answer a more fundamental question: does inconsistency affect the conclusions drawn about the relationship between birth characteristics, on the one hand, and potential precursors and outcomes, on the other? In parallel analyses using birth characteristics as either the dependent or independent variable – and varying the waves from which these characteristics are drawn – models will be compared to identify whether the associations between precursors/outcomes and birth characteristics are sensitive to inconsistent reports. This fits squarely within the mission of the NICHD Population Dynamics Branch Fertility and Infertility Program and has both practical and substantive implications for fertility research and public health programs.

项目摘要 男人和女人生子的条件广泛研究，并有两个不同的研究体： （1）预测谁有生育和这些出生的特征，以及（2）分析出生的特征 影响以后的结果。这两个领域都高度依赖于调查数据，个人回顾性 报告他们的出生。出生特征从主观概念因素（例如关系） 状态或是否打算怀孕）怀孕期间的行为（例如吸烟或产前 护理）到更客观的数据（例如胎龄或出生体重）。然后将这些特征用作 分别识别各种预测因素和后果的因变量或自变量 出生特征。但是，很少有研究人员考虑了此回顾性报告的数据 - 通过要求个人回忆地状态，感受，行为和过去事件的细节而产生的数据 - 是 可靠的。如果输入数据有缺陷，则使用此类数据风险得出不准确结论进行研究。有限公司 直接调查回顾性的生育能力调查数据的研究确实发现了问题 - 有些 根本没有报道男性的出生，而大量的年轻女性改变了她们的方式 回顾性地描述了分娩的预期性，当 时间。这表明其他出生特征的回顾性报告也可能容易 随着时间的流逝不一致。因此，当前的项目调查了一个重要但未测试的假设： 母亲和父亲在报告过去的生育能力方面保持一致。该项目通过 仅有的两个纵向数据集（针对成人健康的国家纵向研究和 托莱多青少年关系研究），在多个波浪中收集完整的生育历史，这意味着 个人有多种机会报告相同出生的特征。拟议的研究 将实现两个目标。首先，它将确定是否始终如一地报告他们的出生， 调查广泛的出生措施。这将a）确定哪些特征最有可能是 始终报道，b）利用测量的差异来确定调查频率和结构如何 影响一致性，c）确定谁报告的报告是否存在系统差异。 其次，该项目将回答一个更基本的问题：不一致是否会影响得出的结论 关于一方面出生特征之间的关系以及潜在的前体和结果， 另一个？在并行分析中，使用出生特征作为因变量或独立变量 - 并改变绘制这些特征的波浪 - 将比较模型以识别 前体/结果和出生特征之间的关联是否敏感不一致 报告。这完全符合NICHD人口动态分支机构生育能力和不育的使命 计划，对生育研究和公共卫生计划具有实际和实质性的影响。