Research of Methodological Assistance for Socio-Economic Policy Planning in Depopulation Society

人口减少社会经济政策规划的方法论辅助研究

基本信息

批准号：
15330050
负责人：
FUJIMASA Iwao
金额：
$ 9.22万
依托单位：
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
财政年份：
2003
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2003 至 2006
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

Fundamental society structure projection models of all Japan cities had been developed until the end of 2003, using Society Structure Projection Model 2000.Analyzing the projection data, we improved a population projection mode, which was applicable in general purpose, and projected future population structure of all cities and villages of Japan. The results had been opened to administrators and researchers on Web: http;//www3.grips.ac.jp/ depopulation.A macroeconomic projection model for estimating Japan national income had been developed by Matsutani A. He added restriction of investment to Harrod and Domer model and reported that the national income of Japan would become maximum in 2012 and the amount of national income per capita in 2000 would maintain until 2030.We developed a function of attractiveness of population to a city and classified city types into nine categories. The function was installed in the Society Structure Projection Model.Projected data of all cities, towns and villages were converted into quantum color using the Geographically Related Information Printing System and maps of To-Do-Fu-Ken structure were painted and published in 2004.Essential problems of depopulation society have been discussed in many councils, symposia and workshops of national and regional governments related to our issues that were including economy, labor force, welfare, health care and pension, industries including agriculture, regional development, foreign workforce, and etc. Those research results were presented on the Web instead of research papers from the standpoint of techno-democracy.Basic part of Society Structure Projection Engine 2005 has been developed improving the 2000 model and applying 2005 census and To-Do-Fu-Ken population projections have been announced in the end of 2006 fiscal year.

基本的社会结构结构预测模型已开发到2003年底，直到2003年底，使用社会结构投影模型2000。对投影数据进行分析，我们改善了人口投影模式，该模式通常适用于一般目的，并预计未来的人口结构日本的所有城市和村庄。该结果已向网络管理员和研究人员开放：http; // www3.grips.ac.jp/ depopulation.a估算日本国民收入的宏观经济投影模型已由Matsutani A开发出来Domer模型并报告说，日本的国民收入将在2012年最高，并且2000年的人均收入数量将在2030年维持到2030年。我们发展了人口吸引力，将人口吸引到城市，并将其分类为九类。该功能安装在社会结构投影模型中。所有城市，城镇和村庄的项目都使用地理位置相关的信息打印系统将其转换为量子色，并在2004年绘制并发布了待办事项fu-ken结构的地图。人口减少社会的基本问题已经在许多理事会，研讨会和与我们问题有关的国家和地区政府的研讨会上进行了讨论等等。从技术民主的角度来看，这些研究结果是在网络上而不是研究论文中提出的。社会结构投影引擎的基础部分已开发出改进的2000年模型，并应用了2005年的人口普查和待办事项。预测已于2006财政年度宣布。

项目成果

期刊论文数量（61）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

Habitable Space of Cities, Towns and Villages in Japan : Population Density of Habitable Area in 2000 and 2030

日本城市、城镇和村庄的宜居空间：2000年和2030年宜居面积的人口密度

DOI：
发表时间：
2004
期刊：
Technova (Tokyo)
影响因子：
0
作者：
T.Oyama;M.Miwa;T.Oyama;藤正巌;藤正巌;藤正巌;T.Oyama;T.Oyama;藤正巌;松谷明彦;藤正巖;Matsutani Akihiko;Fujimasa iwao;Fujimasa Iwao
通讯作者：
Fujimasa Iwao

Future Health Care System faced up to Depopulation Society

未来的医疗保健系统面临人口减少社会

DOI：
发表时间：
2003
期刊：
GRIPS Research Memoranda PMWP 03-036
影响因子：
0
作者：
Morohosi;H.;T.Oyama;藤正巖;藤正巖;藤正巖;藤正巖;Fujimasa Iwao;Fujimasa iwao;Fujimasa Iwao;Fujimasa Iwao
通讯作者：
Fujimasa Iwao

藤正巖, 松谷明彦: "人口減少社会に直面する医療システムの将来"GRIPS Research Memorandum「極大値後の社会」プロジェクトMonogram 8. PMWP 03-036. 0-68 (2003)

Iwao Fujimasa、Akihiko Matsutani：“面对人口下降社会的医疗系统的未来”GRIPS 研究备忘录“后极大社会”项目 Monogram 8。PMWP 03-036 (2003)。