Research of Methodological Assistance for Socio-Economic Policy Planning in Depopulation Society

人口减少社会经济政策规划的方法论辅助研究

基本信息

批准号：
15330050
负责人：
FUJIMASA Iwao
金额：
$ 9.22万
依托单位：
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
依托单位国家：
日本
项目类别：
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
财政年份：
2003
资助国家：
日本
起止时间：
2003 至 2006
项目状态：
已结题

项目摘要

Fundamental society structure projection models of all Japan cities had been developed until the end of 2003, using Society Structure Projection Model 2000.Analyzing the projection data, we improved a population projection mode, which was applicable in general purpose, and projected future population structure of all cities and villages of Japan. The results had been opened to administrators and researchers on Web: http;//www3.grips.ac.jp/ depopulation.A macroeconomic projection model for estimating Japan national income had been developed by Matsutani A. He added restriction of investment to Harrod and Domer model and reported that the national income of Japan would become maximum in 2012 and the amount of national income per capita in 2000 would maintain until 2030.We developed a function of attractiveness of population to a city and classified city types into nine categories. The function was installed in the Society Structure Projection Model.Projected data of all cities, towns and villages were converted into quantum color using the Geographically Related Information Printing System and maps of To-Do-Fu-Ken structure were painted and published in 2004.Essential problems of depopulation society have been discussed in many councils, symposia and workshops of national and regional governments related to our issues that were including economy, labor force, welfare, health care and pension, industries including agriculture, regional development, foreign workforce, and etc. Those research results were presented on the Web instead of research papers from the standpoint of techno-democracy.Basic part of Society Structure Projection Engine 2005 has been developed improving the 2000 model and applying 2005 census and To-Do-Fu-Ken population projections have been announced in the end of 2006 fiscal year.

基本的社会结构结构预测模型已经开发到2003年底，直到2003年底，使用社会结构预测模型2000。对投影数据进行分析，我们改善了一种人口投影模式，该模式通常适用于日本所有城市和村庄的未来人口结构。结果已向网络管理员和研究人员开放：http; // www3.grips.ac.jp/ depopulation.a Matsutani A开发了用于估算日本国民收入的宏观经济投影模型。他增加了对Harrod和Domer的投资限制，并报告了Harrod和Domer Model的投资限制，并报告了日本的最高范围，直到2012年的全国范围内，直到2000年的2000年，Capta of Capeita in 2000 of Capeita in 2000.进入城市和分类的城市类型分为九类。该功能安装在社会结构预测模型中。所有城市，城镇和村庄的数据都使用地理上相关的信息印刷系统转化为量子颜色，并在2004年绘制了待办事项 - 造成的结构的地图，并于2004年绘制了待办事项问题。在2004年，许多理事会，amSposia and heastorments of Nialsial and hearthaps wars and Issections wars wars wars wars wars wars wars wars wardopulation Society的问题已讨论过，包括种族和工作型，施加了问题。养老金，包括农业，区域发展，外国劳动力等的行业。从技术民主制度的角度出现了这些研究结果，而不是研究论文。社会结构预测引擎2005的基础部分已开发出2000年的模型，并应用了2005年的人口普查和2005年的人口普查和2005年的ken-ken人口投影量，已在2006年的2006年票房中宣布。

项目成果

期刊论文数量（61）

专著数量（0）

科研奖励数量（0）

会议论文数量（0）

专利数量（0）

Habitable Space of Cities, Towns and Villages in Japan : Population Density of Habitable Area in 2000 and 2030

日本城市、城镇和村庄的宜居空间：2000年和2030年宜居面积的人口密度

DOI：
发表时间：
2004
期刊：
Technova (Tokyo)
影响因子：
0
作者：
T.Oyama;M.Miwa;T.Oyama;藤正巌;藤正巌;藤正巌;T.Oyama;T.Oyama;藤正巌;松谷明彦;藤正巖;Matsutani Akihiko;Fujimasa iwao;Fujimasa Iwao
通讯作者：
Fujimasa Iwao

Future Health Care System faced up to Depopulation Society

未来的医疗保健系统面临人口减少社会

DOI：
发表时间：
2003
期刊：
GRIPS Research Memoranda PMWP 03-036
影响因子：
0
作者：
Morohosi;H.;T.Oyama;藤正巖;藤正巖;藤正巖;藤正巖;Fujimasa Iwao;Fujimasa iwao;Fujimasa Iwao;Fujimasa Iwao
通讯作者：
Fujimasa Iwao

藤正巖, 松谷明彦: "人口減少社会に直面する医療システムの将来"GRIPS Research Memorandum「極大値後の社会」プロジェクトMonogram 8. PMWP 03-036. 0-68 (2003)

Iwao Fujimasa、Akihiko Matsutani：“面对人口下降社会的医疗系统的未来”GRIPS 研究备忘录“后极大社会”项目 Monogram 8。PMWP 03-036 (2003)。