Transitions within Democracy: Institutions, Interests, and Accountability

民主内部的转变：制度、利益和责任

• 批准号: 20K01457
• 负责人: Kellam Marisa.A
• 金额: $ 2.75万
• 依托单位: Waseda University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2020-04-01 至 2025-03-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/en/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-20K01457/
• 关键词: Comparative Politics; Democracy; Democratic Backsliding; Populism; Political Institutions; Democratic Rebound; Regime Transitions; Social Exclusion; Political accountability; Institutions; democratic backsliding

I completed one important component of this research project which is a global analysis of the causes of democratic backsliding in 98 democratic countries between 1970 and 2020. The analysis is based on matching methods to infer the causal effects of several ideological and institutional factors related to executives. The findings demonstrate that populist orientations of executives increase, on average, the amount of democratic backsliding. While case studies and regional analyses have previously pointed to populism’s determinantal effect on democracy, this is the first global analysis to support these claims with rigorous empirical evidence.Based on this research, I co-authored a research paper titled “Who’s to blame for democratic backsliding: populists, presidents or dominant executives?” with my research collaborator, Antonio Benasaglio Berlucchi (Graduate School of Political Science, Waseda University). I presented this paper at the Midwest Political Science Association meeting in April 2022 and at Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law in May 2022. We submitted the paper for review in August 2022 to the journal Democratization and it was accepted for publication in March 2023. Democratization has an impact factor of 3.339 and is known among scholars and practitioners as a leading outlet for current research on democratic backsliding.

我完成了该研究项目的一个重要组成部分，该项目是对1970年至2020年之间98个民主国家民主向后游荡的原因的全球分析。该分析是基于匹配的方法来推断几种与执行人员有关的理想和制度因素的灾难性影响。研究结果表明，高管的民粹主义方向平均增加了民主的后退数量。虽然案例研究和区域分析以前已经指出了民粹主义对民主的确定影响，但这是首次通过严格的经验证据来支持这些主张的首次全球分析。基于这项研究，我共同撰写了一份研究论文，标题为“谁应归咎于民主党人：民主党人：民粹主义者，总统，总统或主管高管？”与我的研究合作者Antonio Benasaglio Berlucchi（政治学研究生院，Waseda University）。我在2022年4月的中西部政治学协会会议上发表了本文，并于2022年5月在斯坦福大学的民主，发展和法治中心在2022年8月向《民主化》杂志提交了审查的论文，并于2023年3月接受了出版物，并于2023年3月被接受。民主和民主党的影响力是众所周知的。

项目成果

Who's to Blame for Democratic Backsliding

谁该为民主倒退负责

• 发表时间: 2023
• 作者: 河野勝;三村憲弘;Marisa Kellam
• 通讯作者: Marisa Kellam

Who's to blame for democratic backsliding: populist, presidents or dominant executives?

谁应该为民主倒退负责：民粹主义者、总统还是占主导地位的高管？

• DOI: 10.1080/13510347.2023.2190582
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: Democratization
• 影响因子: 3.2
• 作者: Marisa Kellam and Antonio Benasaglio Berlucchi