Collaborative Research: RII Track-2 FEC: Where We Live: Local and Place Based Adaptation to Climate Change in Underserved Rural Communities

合作研究：RII Track-2 FEC：我们居住的地方：服务不足的农村社区对气候变化的本地和地方适应

• 批准号: 2316128
• 负责人: Susan Cutter
• 金额: $ 178万
• 依托单位: University of South Carolina at Columbia
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Cooperative Agreement
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-10-01 至 2027-09-30
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2316128&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; RII; Track; FEC

Adaptation consists of a set of behaviors and activities that occur from individual to institutional scales. Such adaptation results in the ability to remain healthy, effective and prosperous, despite changes that occur in the biophysical environment. Adaptation is also predicated on accurate perception of change, a set of abilities embedded in human cognition. Perception has been extensively studied in the context of risk and acute climate events such as flooding and wildfire, but data show that perceiving risk does not lead to successful adaptation which is critical for everything from human health to national security. Current approaches of hazard, vulnerability and risk mapping are ineffective; they do not accelerate adaptation and data show that they may even drive maladaptive behaviors. Rural communities constitute nearly 84% of the United States (US) land area and are home to 14% of the population. These areas serve as critical sources of food, freshwater, habitat, and energy as well as supporting carbon sequestration, education, recreation, and tourism but have been effectively left out of climate dialogues. Moreover, they are models for settlements in other parts of the world. Despite the rapid progress of technologies that can facilitate adaptation to climate change, widespread actions remain elusive. The need to understand the gap between knowing and experiencing the effects of a rapidly changing earth system and the behaviors that successfully respond to them has never been greater. When perception varies significantly from real world dynamics, it refers to a large gap (or difference), which may be associated with maladaptive behavior. The project hypothesize that the size of this gap is a key measure that determines both adaptive capacity, i.e., the potential to take actions that minimize the negative effects of climate change and adaptation. This project's research team will use participatory socio-environmental systems mapping, engaging the residents of rural communities as well as advanced computational modeling to project futures under different scenarios of change and responses to it. This project will lead to precise understanding of the mechanisms between perceptions, cultures and adaptation which will enable both better planning by increasing the diversity of knowledge as well as lead to more successful implementation in areas and regions that are central to our Nation’s sustainability, security and thrivability. The RII Track-2: Where We Live (W2L) Local and Place Based Adaptation to Climate Change in Underserved Rural Communities project builds national research competitiveness and capacity to addressing the critical national need of proactively addressing climate change in underserved rural communities. The W2L project advances research, education, workforce development, and partnerships among the Idaho, Nevada, and South Carolina EPSCoR jurisdictions. W2L leverages and enhances linkages in community engagement, computational modeling, engineering, physical sciences, and social sciences. The goal of W2L is to build the needed capacity to achieve adaptation mapping—the ability to leverage agent-based models to determine how small adaptation actions produce community-scale resilience, a novel contribution to tackling the climate challenge. The scope of the project involves communities and landscapes experiencing drought, heat, and wildfires in Idaho, Nevada, and South Carolina, areas of growing local and national concern. The project advances novel science and training by working collaboratively with underserved rural communities to advance understanding of how perceptions, values, and knowledge promote or impede adaptation to chronic (slow) and acute (fast) climate-induced changes. The project uses integrative approaches that bring together climate science, social science, computational modeling, and stakeholder engagement. Methods include development of community data oversight groups in each jurisdiction; and use of a structured workshop called the quadrant-enabled Delphi method to support co-development of knowledge by community members and researchers. Quantification of the delta between perceptions of change and instrumented measures of climate change will use data mining of historical climate data and categorical data analysis from the structured workshops. The identification of adaptation pathways with communities will involve a set of iteratively developed scenarios for each type of climate-induced change supported by climate projections that are looked at by communities though a dialogues of change activity. Dialogues of change are used to support adaptation mapping for drought, heat, and wildfire. The W2L project emphasizes community engagement and the co-production of knowledge and implements multiple initiatives to increase the participation of members of underserved rural communities in research and in STEM. W2L will support workforce development, early-career advancement, and student training through high-context, community-engaged interdisciplinary science, co-created with community members. The potential contributions of W2L are to build convergence-science through collaborative approaches with community groups; to quantify and analyze the convergence and/or divergence between perceptions of climate-induced changes and instrument measured changes in those changes; and to build pathways for adaptive capacity and adaptation options in rural underserved communities.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

适应包括一组从个人到机构量表发生的行为和活动。这种适应导致生物物理环境中发生健康，有效和繁荣的目的地变化的能力。还可以预测适应性的准确感知变化，这是人类认知中的一组能力。在风险和急性气候事件（例如洪水和野火）的背景下，人们已经广泛研究了感知，但是数据表明，感知风险不会导致成功的适应，这对从人类健康到国家安全至关重要。当前的危害，脆弱性和风险映射的方法无效；它们不会加速适应性，数据表明它们甚至可能驱动适应不良的行为。农村社区几乎占美国（美国）土地面积的84％，占人口的14％。这些领域是食物，淡水，栖息地和能源的关键来源，并支持碳固执，教育，娱乐和旅游业，但实际上已经没有气候对话。此外，它们是在世界其他地区设置的模型。尽管技术可以促进适应气候变化的迅速发展，但宽度行动仍然难以捉摸。了解了解和体验快速变化的地球系统的影响与成功响应的行为之间的差距。对他们来说，从来没有更大。当感知因现实世界动态而有很大差异时，它是指较大的差距（或差异），这可能与适应不良行为有关。该项目假设该差距的规模是决定适应能力的关键措施，即采取行动最小化气候变化和适应性的负面影响的潜力。该项目的研究团队将使用参与社会环境系统映射，使农村社区的居民以及先进的计算建模参与不同的变化和对其响应的反应。该项目将导致对观念，文化和适应之间的机制的精确理解，这将通过提高知识的多样性以及在对国家的可持续性，安全性和thrivity的核心地区的领域和地区进行更成功的实施，从而可以更好地计划。 RII轨道2：我们居住的地方（W2L）基于地方和地点的适应性对未服务的农村社区项目的适应性，建立了国家研究竞争力和能力，以应对积极应对贫产农村社区气候变化的关键国家需求。 W2L项目推进了爱达荷州，内华达州和南卡罗来纳州EPSCOR管辖区的研究，教育，劳动力发展和伙伴关系。 W2L利用并增强了社区参与，计算建模，工程，物理科学和社会科学方面的联系。 W2L的目标是建立实现适应映射的所需能力，即利用基于代理的模型来确定小规模适应性动作如何产生社区规模的韧性，这是应对气候挑战的新颖贡献。该项目的范围涉及在爱达荷州，内华达州和南卡罗来纳州经历干旱，热火和野火经历的社区和景观，这些地区越来越多。该项目通过与服务不足的农村社区合作，推动新的科学和培训，以促进对感知，价值观和知识如何促进或阻碍对慢性（慢）和急性（快速）气候引起的变化的适应。该项目使用综合方法，将气候科学，社会科学，计算建模和利益相关者参与融合在一起。方法包括开发每个司法管辖区的社区数据监督组；并使用称为象限的Delphi方法的结构化研讨会来支持社区成员和研究人员共同开发知识。量化变革感和气候变化仪器量度之间的三角洲将使用历史气候数据的数据挖掘以及结构化研讨会的分类数据分析。通过社区对适应道路的识别将涉及每种类型的气候诱发的变化的迭代性场景，并由气候项目支持，这些社区正在通过改变活动的社区所期待的社区来看。变革的对话用于支持用于干旱，热和野火的适应映射。 W2L项目强调社区的参与和知识的共同生产，并实施了多种举措，以增加服务不足的农村社区研究和STEM的参与。 W2L将通过与社区成员共同创建的高知识，社区参与的跨学科科学来支持劳动力发展，早期职业发展和学生培训。 W2L的潜在贡献是通过与社区团体的协作方法来建立融合科学；量化和分析气候引起的变化的感知与这些变化的仪器测量变化之间的收敛和/或差异；并在大致服务不足的社区中建立自适应能力和适应选择的途径。该奖项反映了NSF的法定使命，并使用基金会的知识分子优点和更广泛的影响标准，被视为通过评估而被视为珍贵的支持。