I-Corps: Context-specific scientific simulation models to mitigate wildfire risks

I-Corps：针对具体情况的科学模拟模型，以减轻野火风险

• 批准号: 2228128
• 负责人: Kenichi Soga
• 金额: $ 5万
• 依托单位: University of California-Berkeley
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-07-01 至 2023-06-30
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2228128&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Corps; Context; specific; scientific; simulation

The broader impact/commercial potential of this I-Corps project is the potential development of dynamic and community-oriented wildfire preparedness solutions for the Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) areas, which constitute a third of US households. Current wildfire evacuation plans rely heavily on static zoning and often lack a regional or system-level perspective. These plans fall short when it comes to understanding and addressing practical challenges, such as the unpredictability of the wildfire progression, the general lack of awareness/collaboration by the residents, and the difficulty in communication and resource mobilization in emergency situations. By incorporating the dynamic elements as well as community efforts in the planning process, the proposed solution (software and service) aims at supporting government agencies at various jurisdiction levels (e.g., fire department, planning department, and offices of emergency services) in potentially safeguarding the WUI residents’ safety and properties, as well as possibly creating positive community images. Private sector companies such as insurance providers or large resorts also may benefit from the proposed solution to develop better services/products for their customers and increase company returns. Once validated in the wildfire sector, the proposed solution may be used to mitigate the losses of other natural disasters, such as hurricanes and earthquakes. This I-Corps project is based on the development of two core innovations: a suite of scientific simulation models that capture the holistic process of wildfire evacuations, as well as an advanced visualization platform that stimulates awareness-raising and bottom-up collaborations through hands-on experiences. On the modeling side, the integrated simulation framework captures the dynamics in wildfire evacuation through the inclusion of the wildfire progression, the organizational communication flow, and traffic evacuation sub-modules. The models are developed to be efficient and highly scalable, which helps to identify the evacuation bottlenecks beyond the boundary limits of a small jurisdiction or a single infrastructure type. On the visualization side, the results from the simulation module are converted to 3D animations, including the fire flames, traffic congestion, and communication disruptions. The simulation-visualization procedure enables endless scenarios to be generated and presented to the users, effectively facilitating the enhancements of the residents’ situational awareness and ensuring smoother two-way communications between the local community members and the wildfire management experts. The models and visualizations have been prototyped at various case study locations, showing the potential of possible improved preparedness through scientific and social innovations.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

这个I-Corps项目的更广泛的影响/商业潜力是，构成美国三分之一家庭的野生世界界面（WUI）地区的动态和面向社区的野火准备解决方案的潜在发展。当前的野火疏散计划在很大程度上取决于静态分区，并且通常缺乏区域或系统级别的观点。在理解和应对实际挑战时，这些计划不足，例如野火发展的不可预测性，居民普遍缺乏意识/协作以及在紧急情况下的沟通和资源动员的困难。通过将动态要素和社区努力纳入计划过程中，拟议的解决方案（软件和服务）旨在支持各个管辖区（例如，消防部门，计划部，紧急服务部门）的政府机构，潜在地保护WUI居民的安全和财产，并可能创建积极的社区图像。诸如保险提供商或大型度假胜地之类的私营部门公司也可能会受益于拟议的解决方案，以为其客户开发更好的服务/产品并增加公司收益。一旦在野火部门进行了验证，就可以使用拟议的解决方案来减轻其他自然灾害的损失，例如飓风和地震。这个I-Corps项目基于两项核心创新的开发：一套科学模拟模型，捕获了野火撤离的整体过程，以及一个先进的可视化平台，该平台通过动手体验刺激提高意识和自下而上的协作。在建模方面，集成的仿真框架通过包括野火的进程，组织通信流量和交通疏散子模型来捕获野火疏散的动态。这些模型的开发是有效且可扩展的，这有助于确定疏散瓶颈超出小管辖区或单个基础设施类型的边界限制。在可视化侧，模拟模块的结果转换为3D动画，包括火焰，交通拥堵和通信中断。模拟 - 访问过程使无尽的场景能够生成并呈现给用户，从而有效地支持居民的情境意识的增强，并确保当地社区成员与野火管理专家之间的平稳双向通信。这些模型和可视化已在各个案例研究地点进行了原型，显示了通过科学和社会创新改善准备的潜力。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并通过使用基金会的知识分子优点和更广泛的影响评估标准来评估值得支持。