CAREER: CAS-Climate: Socio hydrology to link climate change and its societal impacts

职业：CAS-气候：社会水文学将气候变化及其社会影响联系起来

• 批准号: 2142967
• 负责人: Marc Muller
• 金额: $ 50.75万
• 依托单位: University of Notre Dame
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2022
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2022-06-01 至 2027-05-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2142967&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: CAREER; CAS; Climate; Socio; hydrology

Water mediates the relation between climate change and its most dramatic societal impacts, including food shortages, migration, and conflict. Yet, questions remain about how specific changes in rain patterns can cause excess or insufficient water with the potential to beget such crises. There is poor integration between disciplines studying the causes and societal impact of climate change. Climate variables are often directly used as proxies for water availability in climate impact studies, thus missing the important role of hydrology in dampening (or amplifying) the effect of climate change and shaping people's response to it. This project develops the theoretical, empirical, experimental, and educational tools necessary for hydrology to be properly leveraged to understand — and mitigate — the societal impacts of climate change. These new tools incorporate four key hydrologic characteristics of climate-related crises that are not currently simultaneously addressed: local scale, non-stationary drivers, human- water feedback, and data-scarcity. The project provides interdisciplinary training for one graduate and nine undergraduate students and creates valuable education and outreach material (including a web-based simulation game) for easy use by researchers, policy makers and community educators outside of hydrology. In the theoretical realm, the project clarifies the effect of irrigation withdrawals on changing flow regimes by incorporating human- water feedbacks into a widely used process-based probabilistic model of catchment-scale water storage dynamics. In the empirical realm, the project introduces statistical tools to leverage natural experiments for causal inferences in observational studies. This allows hydrological changes in data-limited regions to be attributed ex-post to their natural and anthropogenic drivers. In the experimental and educational realms, the web-based simulation game will serve as an experimental platform to determine the relationship between the properties of hydrological change and water users’ response to it. The game will simultaneously serve as an open platform to integrate research, outreach, and education at scale. It will be leveraged for high school and undergraduate education and used to support climate preparedness training for water and policy professionals in the US and abroad.This project is jointly funded by the GEO/EAR Hydrologic Sciences Program and the SBE/BCS Human-Environment and Geographical Sciences Program, with additional support from the Directorate of Education and Human Resources.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

水介导气候变化与其最引人注目的社会影响之间的关系，包括粮食短缺，移民和冲突。然而，关于雨模式的特定变化如何导致过量或不足的水，并有可能遇到此类犯罪的可能性。研究气候变化的原因和社会影响的学科之间的融合差。气候变量通常直接用作气候影响研究中的水的代理，因此缺少水文学在破坏（或放大）气候变化的影响和塑造人们对其反应的影响中的重要作用。该项目开发了理论，经验，实验性和教育工具，即水文学正确地利用了气候变化的社会影响并减轻社会影响。这些新工具结合了与气候相关犯罪的四个关键水文特征，这些特征目前并不简单地解决：本地规模，非平稳驱动因素，人类水反馈和数据范围。该项目为一个研究生和九个本科生提供跨学科的培训，并创建有价值的教育和外展材料（包括基于网络的模拟游戏），以便于水文学以外的研究人员，政策制定者和社区教育者轻松使用。在理论领域中，该项目通过将人类反馈纳入广泛使用的基于过程的概率模型的集水量表供水动力学模型来阐明灌溉提取对不断变化的流动状态的影响。在经验领域中，该项目引入了统计工具，以利用自然实验进行观察研究中的因果推断。这允许将数据限制区域的水力变化归因于其自然和人为驱动因素。在实验和教育领域中，基于Web的模拟游戏将作为一个实验平台，以确定水文变化的属性与用水用户对其的响应之间的关系。该游戏将仅作为一个开放的平台，以大规模整合研究，外展和教育。它将用于高中和本科教育，并用于支持美国和国外的水和政策专业人士的气候准备培训。该项目由地理/耳朵水文科学计划以及SBE/BCS人类环境和人类环境和地理科学计划共同资助，并获得了教育和人为奖励的其他支持。使用基金会的智力优点和更广泛的影响评估标准进行评估。

项目成果

Hydro Economic Asymmetries and Common‐Pool Overdraft in Transboundary Aquifers

跨界含水层的水力经济不对称和共同水库透支

• DOI: 10.1029/2022wr032136
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Water Resources Research
• 影响因子: 5.4
• 作者: Mullen, Connor;Müller, Marc F.;Penny, Gopal;Hung, Fengwei;Bolster, Diogo
• 通讯作者: Bolster, Diogo

Sociohydrology, ecohydrology, and the space-time dynamics of human-altered catchments

• DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2021.1948550
• 发表时间: 2021-07
• 期刊: Hydrological Sciences Journal
• 影响因子: 3.5
• 作者: L. Bertassello;M. Levy;M. Müller

From wetlands to wetlandscapes: Remote sensing calibration of process‐based hydrological models in heterogeneous landscapes

• DOI: 10.1002/hyp.14739
• 发表时间: 2022-10
• 期刊: Hydrological Processes
• 影响因子: 3.2
• 作者: Connor Mullen;L. Bertassello;P. Rao;M. Müller

Mapping the landscape of water and society research: Promising combinations of compatible and complementary disciplines

绘制水和社会研究的图景：兼容和互补学科的有前途的组合

• DOI: 10.1002/wat2.1701
• 发表时间: 2024
• 期刊: WIREs Water
• 影响因子: 8.2
• 作者: Muller, Marc F.;Rusca, Maria;Bertassello, Leonardo;Adams, Ellis;Allaire, Maura;Cabello Villarejo, Violeta;Levy, Morgan;Mukherjee, Jenia;Pokhrel, Yadu
• 通讯作者: Pokhrel, Yadu

Climatic and anthropogenic drivers of a drying Himalayan river

喜马拉雅河流干涸的气候和人为驱动因素

• DOI: 10.5194/hess-26-375-2022
• 发表时间: 2022
• 期刊: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
• 影响因子: 6.3
• 作者: Penny, Gopal;Dar, Zubair A.;Müller, Marc F.
• 通讯作者: Müller, Marc F.