Doctoral Dissertation Research:Constructive and Destructive Exit: Understanding Treaty Withdrawal

博士论文研究：建设性和破坏性退出：理解条约退出

• 批准号: 2016937
• 负责人: Geoffrey Wallace
• 金额: $ 2.1万
• 依托单位: University of Washington
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2020
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2020-08-01 至 2022-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2016937&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Doctoral; Dissertation; Research; Constructive; Destructive

The greatest challenges of the 21st century are cross-national, including the environment, migration, epidemics, inequality, and financial corruption. As a result, it is critical to better understand the factors that enable and imperil international cooperation. The study of treaty exit will grant us additional purchase on why international law influences the behavior of some countries more than others and how design influences treaty durability. First, by shedding light on the effect of treaty design on exit, this project will help future policy makers consider exit risk when designing and negotiating agreements. Second, this research will help inform policy makers who are invested in global governance understand how concerned they should be about exit from international agreements. Finally, this research will help policy makers understand the conditions that lead to exit and the effects of exit.Despite a wealth of literature on treaty commitment and compliance, we know very little about treaty exit. This project explores a missing stage in the treaty lifecycle, and illuminates differences in the strength of international law across states. To better understand historic patterns of treaty exit and the factors that contribute to them, this project leverages a combination of large-N analysis of treaty exits over the last hundred years, text-as-data supervised machine learning analysis of treaty design, and elite interviews. Cases include exits from the International Criminal Court, and from several International Labor Organization conventions that seek to protect women through restricting workplace participation, and the U.S. exits from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty and the Paris Agreement. The resulting data will be useful to other researchers interested in international cooperation or in design differences across treaties or over time and may enable further research on the relationship between treaty design and effectiveness.This award reflects NSF's statutory mission and has been deemed worthy of support through evaluation using the Foundation's intellectual merit and broader impacts review criteria.

21世纪最大的挑战是跨国，包括环境，移民，流行病，不平等和金融腐败。结果，至关重要的是要更好地了解能够实现国际合作的因素。 《条约退出的研究》将为我们提供更多关于为什么国际法对某些国家行为的影响，而不是其他国家对某些国家的行为以及设计如何影响条约持久性。 首先，通过阐明条约设计对退出的影响，该项目将帮助未来的政策制定者在设计和谈判协议时考虑退出风险。 其次，这项研究将有助于告知投资全球治理的政策制定者，了解他们应该如何关心退出国际协议。 最后，这项研究将帮助政策制定者了解导致退出的条件和退出的影响。尽管有大量文献对条约承诺和合规性，但我们对条约退出知之甚少。 该项目探讨了条约生命周期中缺失的阶段，并阐明了各州国际法实力的差异。 为了更好地了解条约退出的历史模式以及对它们的贡献的因素，该项目利用了过去一百年来大型N分析条约退出的结合，文本是DATA的条约设计的机器学习分析和精英访谈。 案件包括从国际刑事法院退出，以及几项国际劳工组织惯例，试图通过限制工作场所参与来保护妇女，美国退出了中间范围的核力量条约和巴黎协定。 由此产生的数据将对对国际合作感兴趣的其他研究人员或随着时间的推移的设计差异有用，并可以进一步研究条约设计和有效性之间的关系。该奖项反映了NSF的法定任务，并被认为值得通过使用基金会的智力优点和更广泛的影响评估标准进行评估。