Collaborative Research: American National Election Studies (ANES) 2014 - 2017

合作研究：美国全国选举研究 (ANES) 2014 - 2017

• 批准号: 1444721
• 负责人: Vincent Hutchings
• 金额: $ 606.49万
• 依托单位: Regents of the University of Michigan - Ann Arbor
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 2014
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2014-09-15 至 2019-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1444721&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; American; National; Election

The 2016 American National Elections Studies (ANES) focuses on two issues that are the essence of democratic elections: candidate preference and voter turnout. The core mission of the study is to inform explanations of election outcomes by providing the systematic and rigorous collection of data that support rich hypothesis testing, maximize methodological excellence, measure many variables, and promote comparisons across people, contexts, and time. The ANES serves this mission by providing researchers with a view of the political world through the eyes of ordinary citizens. This research continues the ANES mission for the next four years, but in new and better ways than before. It builds on an ANES history that has made the project a valuable resource to generations of social scientists. As has been true for past presidential elections in the ANES time series, a presidential year pre- and post-election study will be conducted using face-to-face interviewing of a nationally representative sample of adults. In addition, a parallel internet study will be conducted that will use a novel fresh-recruit-to-web sampling strategy. The results of this methodological innovation have the potential to revolutionize the conduct of high-reliability, high-response rate surveys by significantly reducing their costs and de-clustering their samples. The results of this methodological innovation may have implications for all large-scale individual-level data collection enterprises and ensure the long-term viability of this project, the General Social Survey, and others.In addition to methodological innovations, the 2016 survey continues to allow the examination of how a rapidly changing electorate, one that has experienced several years of divided government and extraordinarily high party unity, engages a new set of nominees in new electoral, economic, and social conditions. Besides continuing the times series, special emphases will be placed on the role of gender, the rapid growth of the Latino population, and how the growing levels of income inequality all impact the election. The results of this study will inform views and research perspectives of social scientists from a broad range of disciplines, as well as journalists, policy makers, and ordinary citizens.

2016年美国国家选举研究（ANES）重点介绍了两个问题，即民主选举的本质：候选人的偏好和选民投票。该研究的核心使命是通过提供支持丰富的假设测试，最大化方法论卓越，衡量许多变量并促进跨人员，环境和时间的比较的数据收集，来告知选举结果的解释。 ANES通过通过普通公民的眼光为研究人员提供对政治世界的看法来服务这一任务。 这项研究继续了未来四年的ANES任务，但比以前的新方法更好。 它建立在ANES历史的基础上，这使该项目成为几代社会科学家的宝贵资源。 正如ANES时间序列中过去的总统选举所做的那样，将使用全国代表性的成年人样本进行面对面的访谈，进行总统大选前和选举后的研究。 此外，还将进行一项平行的互联网研究，该研究将使用一种新型的新鲜记录到WEB抽样策略。 这项方法学创新的结果有可能通过显着降低其成本并消除样本来彻底改变高可靠性，高响应率调查的行为。 这项方法论创新的结果可能对所有大型个人数据收集企业都有影响，并确保该项目的长期可行性，一般社会调查以及其他。除了方法学创新外，2016年的调查继续允许对迅速变化的选举人的迅速变化的选民进行审查，一个人在政府和超级党派中经历了新的党派，并在新的党派中经常进行新的派对，并在新的党派中进行了新的态度，并在新的党派中获得了新的努力，并在新的党派中获得了新的态度，并在新的党派中获得了新的态度。 除了继续《时代》系列之外，还将特别强调性别的作用，拉丁裔人口的迅速增长以及收入不平等的增长如何影响选举。 这项研究的结果将为社会科学家以及新闻记者，决策者和普通公民提供的社会科学家的观点和研究观点提供信息。