Understanding climate change through simulations and systems thinking

通过模拟和系统思维了解气候变化

• 批准号: 1245581
• 负责人: Juliette Rooney-Varga
• 金额: $ 19.97万
• 依托单位: University of Massachusetts Lowell
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2013
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2013-09-01 至 2017-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1245581&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Understanding; climate; change; through; simulations

This project is developing, refining and evaluating a suite of simulations and systems-thinking exercises which enable students to investigate earth's climate and human-energy systems and their complex responses to changes in forcing factors. Scientifically sound and easy-to-use software models provide rapid feedback as students grapple with system responses over time to a variety of input assumptions. The ability of students to assume the roles of multiple stakeholders and quickly explore 'what if' scenarios as climate sensitivity and forcing factors are varied promotes understanding of underlying systems concepts. The intellectual merit of this project lies in its well-grounded plans for active engagement of students which confronts them with common misconceptions of complex systems and promotes more-robust understanding of system dynamics. The broader impacts include ready availability of the software and approaches for adoption elsewhere and wide applicability of the approach across a range of disciplines.

该项目正在开发，完善和评估一系列模拟和系统思考的练习，使学生能够研究地球的气候和人类能源系统及其对强迫因素变化的复杂反应。随着时间的推移，随着时间的流逝，声音和易于使用的软件模型可以快速反馈，以解决系统响应，以实现各种输入假设。学生扮演多个利益相关者的作用并迅速探索“如果”场景作为气候敏感性和强迫因素的能力促进了对基础系统概念的理解。该项目的智力优点在于其积极参与学生积极参与的计划，这使他们面临着对复杂系统的共同误解，并促进了对系统动态的更加持久的理解。更广泛的影响包括该软件的现成可用性和在其他地方采用的方法以及在各个学科中的广泛适用性。