Collaborative Research: Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis (FAMOS)

合作研究：北极模拟和观测综合论坛（FAMOS）

• 批准号: 1203720
• 负责人: Andrey Proshutinsky
• 金额: $ 16.95万
• 依托单位: Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Standard Grant
• 财政年份: 2012
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2012-09-01 至 2014-08-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=1203720&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Collaborative; Research; Forum; Arctic; Modeling

This is a pilot effort to engage in discussions to change arctic ocean model inter comparison activities (Arctic Ocean Model Intercomparison Project, AOMIP) into a new project called the Forum for Arctic Modeling and Observational Synthesis (FAMOS) that will focus on the organization of arctic ocean science and enhancing collaboration and coordination among different contributing disciplines. Observationalists, theoreticians, and modelers will be represented at all levels of activities starting from generating hypotheses, to planning and finalizing analyses. This pilot effort will explore how the work will be managed through annual project meetings, virtual workshops, and scientist-to-scientists communications and collaborations. The long term FAMOS science goals are to: (i) Continue validation and improvement of regional Arctic Ocean models in a coordinated fashion, (ii) Investigate ways to improve reanalysis products with a focus on data assimilation and the design of comprehensive observing systems, (iii) Continue investigation of variability of the Arctic Ocean and sea ice at seasonal to decadal time scales focusing on the processes, and identify mechanisms responsible for the observed changes, and (vi) Analyze IPCC model results validating them against observations in the Arctic and results from the regional Arctic models. The project will sponsor a workshop; encourage and coordinate formation of intercomparison projects focused on solving current issues of interest to the observational and modeling communities; prepare papers and give talks about FAMOS and lead the ongoing intercomparison projects from initial brainstorming to final publication; provide limited funding for travel and for publication of results. In the future it is thought that FAMOS will help improve our understanding of oceanic and sea-ice processes. The most significant FAMOS contributions will likely be: development of regional arctic models, identification of model errors and causes of these errors and model discrepancies, recommendations for improvements of existing regional coupled ice-ocean models and GCMs by implementing new physics and parameterizations for arctic processes. Within these activities, an important contribution will be an assessment of the state and variability of Arctic sea ice and ocean parameters from 1870-present. The coordinated community approach to the investigation of Arctic Ocean variability is the only way to assess the degree of uncertainty in results and conclusions made by different modelers, scientific groups, or institutions. Therefore, FAMOS will contribute to this assessment and establish a set of benchmarks characterizing the state-of-the-art of Arctic Ocean modeling, and the newest analysis of the Arctic Ocean climate and its variability. One of the highest impacts of the FAMOS activity is educational (including the AOMIP/FAMOS school) because it promotes the growth of young scientists participating in the project, provides guidelines for critical analysis of the existing models, and fruitful improvements and developments of the arctic models by a new generation of arctic modelers.

这是一项试点努力，旨在改变北极海洋模型间比较活动（北极海洋模型对比项目，AOMIP），为一个名为“北极建模和观察性合成论坛”的新项目，该项目将重点介绍北极海洋科学的组织以及在不同贡献贡献的阶段之间的合作和协作。观察家，理论家和建模者将在从产生假设开始的各种活动级别上，直到计划和最终确定分析。这项飞行员工作将探讨如何通过年度项目会议，虚拟研讨会以及科学家到科学家的沟通和合作来管理工作。长期FAMOS科学目标是：（i）继续以协调的方式验证和改进区域北极海洋模型，（ii）调查改善重新分析产品的方法，重点关注数据同化和全面观察系统的设计，（iii）继续调查北极和海上在季节性上的变化，并确定在季节性上，并确定了在季节性的范围内，并确定了范围的范围，并确定了范围的范围，并识别范围的范围，并在范围内识别上范围的范围，并在范围内识别范围的范围，并在范围内介绍了范围。 （vi）分析IPCC模型结果，结果验证了它们与北极地区的观察结果，并从区域北极模型中结果进行了验证。该项目将赞助研讨会；鼓励和协调组成计划项目，重点是解决观察和建模社区的当前感兴趣问题；准备论文并就FAMOS进行讨论，并领导正在进行的分区项目，从最初的头脑风暴到最终出版物；提供有限的旅行资金和结果出版。将来，人们认为FAMOS将有助于提高我们对海洋和海冰过程的理解。最重要的FAMO贡献可能是：开发区域北极模型，模型错误的识别以及这些错误的原因和模型差异，通过实施新的物理学以及北极过程的参数化来改善现有区域耦合的冰山模型和GCM的建议。在这些活动中，重要的贡献将是对1870年至今的北极海冰和海洋参数的状态和变异性的评估。对北极海洋变异性研究的协调社区方法是评估不同建模者，科学群体或机构得出的结果和结论的唯一方法。因此，FAMOS将有助于这项评估，并建立一组表征北极海洋建模最新的基准，以及对北极海洋气候及其可变性的最新分析。 FAMOS活动的最大影响之一是教育（包括AOMIP/FAMOS学校），因为它促进了参与该项目的年轻科学家的成长，为现有模型的批判性分析提供了指南，以及由新一代的北极建模者对北极模型的富有成果的改进和发展。