Rank and Sign Dependent Linear Utility Theory: Theoretical Extensions, Empirical Tests, and Applied Relevance

秩和符号相关的线性效用理论：理论扩展、实证检验和应用相关性

• 批准号: 8921494
• 负责人: R. Duncan Luce
• 金额: $ 13.84万
• 依托单位: University of California-Irvine
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 项目类别: Continuing Grant
• 财政年份: 1990
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 1990-04-01 至 1993-03-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=8921494&HistoricalAwards=false
• 关键词: Rank; Sign; Dependent; Linear; Utility

The proposal outlines a valuable extension of research on expected utility theory. Forty years of experience has led to two conclusions. One, stressed by empirical researchers, is that the theory does not adequately describe behavior in many experimental and real-world situations. The other, stressed by decision analysts, is that the axioms of the theory are normatively appealing and difficult to dismiss. The gap between the descriptive inadequacy and normative appeal has widened in the past ten years. As a result, researchers have challenged not only the descriptive validity, but the normative basis of expected utility theory. The proposed research begins by identifying a common ground for descriptive and normative research in a newly developed rank and sign dependent (RSD) linear utility theory. The investigators propose (1) to extend the range of concepts included in RSD, (2) to test key assumptions of RSD, (3) to develop connections between RSD and traditional utility theory, and (4) to explore the normative-descriptive distinction in the context of RSD. Thus, the research combines theoretical development, experimental research, and applied experience in an effort to bridge the normative- descriptive gap in the theory of decision making under uncertainty.

该提案概述了关于预期效用理论的研究的宝贵扩展。 40年的经验导致了两个结论。 一个由经验研究人员强调的是，该理论在许多实验和现实世界中没有充分描述行为。 决策分析师强调的另一个是该理论的公理在规范上具有吸引力且难以忽视。 在过去的十年中，描述性不足与规范上诉之间的差距扩大。 结果，研究人员不仅挑战了描述性有效性，而且挑战了预期效用理论的规范基础。 拟议的研究首先是在新开发的等级和符号依赖（RSD）线性效用理论中确定描述性和规范性研究的共同基础。 研究人员建议（1）扩展RSD中包含的概念范围（2），以测试RSD的关键假设，（3）以在RSD和传统效用理论之间发展联系，以及（4）探索RSD上下文中规范性描述性的区别。 因此，该研究结合了理论发展，实验研究和应用经验，以弥合不确定性决策理论中规范性描述性差距。