NSERC / Hydro-Quebec Industrial Research Chair in short-term forecasting of precipitation: Phase II

NSERC / 魁北克水电公司短期降水预报工业研究主席：第二阶段

基本信息

批准号：
381215-2014
负责人：
Yau, ManKong(Peter)
金额：
$ 21.86万
依托单位：
McGill University
依托单位国家：
加拿大
项目类别：
Industrial Research Chairs
财政年份：
2018
资助国家：
加拿大
起止时间：
2018-01-01 至 2019-12-31
项目状态：
已结题

来源：
https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=669268
关键词：
NSERC Hydro Quebec Industrial Research

项目摘要

Hydro-Quebec is a leading utility company in North America and hydro-electric power generation and distribution is the most significant aspect of her operation. The efficient generation and distribution of hydro-electric power depends on accurate forecast of inflows in reservoirs and drainage basins, which in turn is affected significantly by the quality of the forecast of the type and amount of precipitation. During the first Phase of the Industrial Research Chair program, various tools have been developed to improve the forecast of when, where, how much, and what type of precipitation would occur over a lead time of one to two days. During Phase II, this forecast lead time will be increased to one week which would be highly beneficial for**capacity management of hydroelectric power.**The objective of the research program for the NSERC/Hydro-Quebec Chair in Phase II is to improve precipitation forecasts up to 7 days by building on the tools and results obtained during Phase I. The key focal point will be to develop a unified aerosol-microphysics multi-moment scheme across model resolutions, and to improve the representation of convection in the Canadian computer weather prediction model covering the whole globe. Another focus is to evaluate the quantitative precipitation and hydrological forecast over global and regional scales as a result of the better representation of convective and cloud and precipitation processes. It is anticipated that the research program would improve the prediction of precipitation, resulting in significant economic benefits in capacity management of hydroelectric power. The proposed program will also maintain a stimulating environment for collaborative research between McGill trainees, Hydro-Quebec scientists, and Environment Canada researchers.

魁北克水电公司是北美领先的公用事业公司，水力发电和配电是其业务最重要的方面。水力发电的高效发电和分配取决于对水库和流域来水量的准确预报，而水库和流域来流量的准确预报又受到降水类型和降水量预报质量的显着影响。在工业研究主席计划的第一阶段，开发了各种工具来改进对在一到两天的准备时间内发生降水的时间、地点、数量和类型的预测。在第二阶段，这一预测准备时间将增加到一周，这对于**水力发电的容量管理非常有利。**第二阶段 NSERC/Hydro-Quebec 主席的研究计划的目标是改进基于第一阶段获得的工具和结果，可进行长达 7 天的降水预报。关键焦点将是开发跨模型分辨率的统一气溶胶微物理多时刻方案，并改进加拿大计算机中对流的表示覆盖全球的天气预报模型。另一个重点是评估全球和区域尺度的定量降水和水文预报，以更好地表示对流、云和降水过程。预计该研究计划将改进降水预测，从而为水力发电的容量管理带来显着的经济效益。拟议的计划还将为麦吉尔学员、魁北克水电公司科学家和加拿大环境部研究人员之间的合作研究维持一个激励性的环境。