NSERC / Hydro-Quebec Industrial Research Chair in short-term forecasting of precipitation: Phase II

NSERC / 魁北克水电公司短期降水预报工业研究主席：第二阶段

• 批准号: 381215-2014
• 负责人: Yau, ManKong(Peter)
• 金额: $ 21.86万
• 依托单位: McGill University
• 依托单位国家: 加拿大
• 项目类别: Industrial Research Chairs
• 财政年份: 2018
• 资助国家: 加拿大
• 起止时间: 2018-01-01 至 2019-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://www.nserc-crsng.gc.ca/ase-oro/Details-Detailles_eng.asp?id=669268
• 关键词: NSERC; Hydro; Quebec; Industrial; Research

Hydro-Quebec is a leading utility company in North America and hydro-electric power generation and distribution is the most significant aspect of her operation. The efficient generation and distribution of hydro-electric power depends on accurate forecast of inflows in reservoirs and drainage basins, which in turn is affected significantly by the quality of the forecast of the type and amount of precipitation. During the first Phase of the Industrial Research Chair program, various tools have been developed to improve the forecast of when, where, how much, and what type of precipitation would occur over a lead time of one to two days. During Phase II, this forecast lead time will be increased to one week which would be highly beneficial for**capacity management of hydroelectric power.**The objective of the research program for the NSERC/Hydro-Quebec Chair in Phase II is to improve precipitation forecasts up to 7 days by building on the tools and results obtained during Phase I. The key focal point will be to develop a unified aerosol-microphysics multi-moment scheme across model resolutions, and to improve the representation of convection in the Canadian computer weather prediction model covering the whole globe. Another focus is to evaluate the quantitative precipitation and hydrological forecast over global and regional scales as a result of the better representation of convective and cloud and precipitation processes. It is anticipated that the research program would improve the prediction of precipitation, resulting in significant economic benefits in capacity management of hydroelectric power. The proposed program will also maintain a stimulating environment for collaborative research between McGill trainees, Hydro-Quebec scientists, and Environment Canada researchers.

Hydro-Quebec是北美领先的公用事业公司，水力发电发电和分销是她运营中最重要的方面。水电能力的有效产生和分布取决于水库和排水盆地流入的准确预测，这又受到降水类型和量的预测质量的显着影响。在工业研究主席计划的第一阶段中，已经开发了各种工具，以改善在一到两天的提前时间，何时，多少，多少，多少，多少类型的降水。 在第二阶段期间，此预测提前时间将增加到一周，这将对**水力发电能力的容量管理非常有益。决议，并在加拿大计算机天气预测模型中提高对流的代表，涵盖了整个地球。另一个重点是评估由于对流，云和降水过程的更好表示，评估全球和区域尺度上的定量降水和水文预测。 预计该研究计划将改善降水量的预测，从而在水力发电能力的能力管理中带来重大的经济利益。拟议的计划还将维持麦吉尔学员，水力发用科学家和加拿大环境研究人员之间的合作研究的刺激环境。