Evaluating the impacts of sea level rise on migration and wellbeing in coastal communities

评估海平面上升对沿海社区移民和福祉的影响

• 批准号: 10723570
• 负责人: Miyuki Hino
• 金额: $ 13.43万
• 依托单位: UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-09-20 至 2028-08-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10723570
• 关键词: Acceleration; Acute; Address; Adult; Affect; Age; Air Pollution; Area; Attitude; Behavior; Child; Chronic; Chronic stress; Communities; Complex; County; Data; Data Set; Decision Making; Destinations; Development; Disasters; Drainage procedure; Economics; Education; Elderly; Empirical Research; Environmental Exposure; Event; Exposure to; Floods; Frequencies; Future; Genetic Complementation Test; Geography; Goals; Health; Household; Human Development; Hurricane; Impairment; Improve Access; Individual; Measurement; Measures; Mentored Research Scientist Development Award; Mentors; Methods; Migrant; Neighborhoods; North Carolina; Out-Migrations; Outcomes Research; Personal Satisfaction; Persons; Population Sciences; Populations at Risk; Probability; Public Policy; Rain; Recording of previous events; Records; Recurrence; Regression Analysis; Research; Research Personnel; Resolution; Resources; Respondent; Risk; Sampling; Sea; Shapes; Stress; Survey Methodology; Surveys; System; Techniques; Testing; Time; Training; United States; Vulnerable Populations; Water; Wildfire; adverse birth outcomes; age group; career; climate change; climate impact; climate-related exposures; community-level factor; design; experience; extreme storms; extreme weather; health assessment; improved; insight; migration; negative affect; novel; physical conditioning; population health; programs; psychological distress; psychosocial; response; sea level rise; skills; theories; young adult

ABSTRACT Climate change and extreme weather events pose a growing threat to the health and development of vulnerable populations in the United States. Psychological distress from extreme storms often persists for years, air pollution from wildfires increases the risk of adverse birth outcomes, and floods spread contaminants in land and water. While the threats from climate change to wellbeing are clear, research has predominantly focused on the effects of extreme events, rather than how the “new normal” under climate change can cause frequent disruptions and long-term stress for households and communities. For many coastal communities, sea level rise is creating a new normal with routine flooding from monthly high tides and rain. While those floods are not as catastrophic as hurricanes, their near-certain occurrence causes different problems – and potentially leads to different responses – than low- probability hurricane strikes. Understanding the impacts of chronic stresses from climate change, alone and in combination with acute disasters, is necessary for enabling effective adaptation. This K01 Award proposal will advance our understanding of the impacts of chronic and acute coastal flooding on migration and stress. By building on my expertise in climate exposures and impacts, it will accelerate my progress towards my career goal of becoming an independent researcher at the intersection of climate change and population science. I will train in demographic theory and methods, conduct guided readings with my mentors on measurement of psychosocial and physical health, and develop survey design and analysis skills. Then, I will apply those skills to study the interactions between flooding, migration, and health in coastal communities in the US. My research aims are: 1) to characterize the relationship between flood experience and in- and out-migration, 2) to analyze how health, economic resources, and flood experience shape migration intentions, and 3) to assess the health and economic wellbeing of movers and stayers. To achieve these aims, I will draw on two primary datasets: an administrative dataset consisting of individual address histories for most adults in eight Atlantic coast states, and a detailed household survey currently underway in four coastal North Carolina counties. My mentor team, with expertise in environmental migration, survey methods, and health measurement, are ideally suited to help me achieve my research and training goals. The outcomes of the research and data collected in this study will form the basis for future R-level proposals to expand the geographic scope of the household survey on the impacts of coastal flooding and to examine the health and development impacts of sea level rise on children and young adults. Combined, the research and training proposed here will enable me to apply my expertise in climate change adaptation to the widespread and urgent challenge of climate impacts on health, migration, and human development.

抽象的 气候变化和极端天气事件对人类健康和发展构成越来越大的威胁 美国的弱势群体经常因极端风暴而遭受心理困扰。 多年来，野火造成的空气污染增加了不良出生结果的风险，并且洪水蔓延 尽管气候变化对人类福祉的威胁是显而易见的，但研究表明。 主要关注极端事件的影响，而不是“新常态”下的影响 气候变化可能会给家庭和社区造成频繁的破坏和长期的压力。 对于许多沿海社区来说，海平面上升正在创造一种新常态，经常发生洪水 每月的高潮和降雨虽然这些洪水不像飓风那么灾难性，但它们几乎是肯定的。 与低发生率相比，发生率会导致不同的问题，并可能导致不同的反应。 仅了解气候变化造成的长期压力的影响。 与严重灾害相结合，对于实现有效的适应是必要的。 该提案将增进我们对慢性和急性沿海洪水对 通过利用我在气候暴露和影响方面的专业知识，它将加速这一过程。 我在成为一名独立研究员的职业目标方面取得了进展 我将在人口理论和方法方面进行培训，指导气候变化和人口科学。 与我的导师一起阅读有关心理社会和身体健康测量的内容，并开展调查 然后，我将运用这些技能来研究洪水之间的相互作用， 我的研究目标是：1）描述美国沿海社区的移民和健康。 洪水经历与迁入和迁出之间的关系，2) 分析健康、经济 资源和洪水经历塑造了移民意图，3) 评估健康和经济 为了实现这些目标，我将利用两个主要数据集： 管理数据集，包含八个大西洋沿岸大多数成年人的个人地址历史 州，目前正在北卡罗来纳州四个沿海县进行详细的家庭调查。 导师团队在环境移民、调查方法和健康测量方面拥有专业知识， 非常适合帮助我实现我的研究和培训目标。 本研究收集的数据将构成未来 R 级提案的基础，以扩大地理范围 关于沿海洪水影响的家庭调查范围，并检查居民的健康和 海平面上升对儿童和年轻人的发展影响。 这里提出的培训将使我能够将我在气候变化适应方面的专业知识运用到 气候影响对健康、移民和人类发展构成了广泛而紧迫的挑战。