Evaluating the impacts of sea level rise on migration and wellbeing in coastal communities

评估海平面上升对沿海社区移民和福祉的影响

• 批准号: 10723570
• 负责人: Miyuki Hino
• 金额: $ 13.43万
• 依托单位: UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2023
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2023-09-20 至 2028-08-31
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/10723570
• 关键词: Acceleration; Acute; Address; Adult; Affect; Age; Air Pollution; Area; Attitude; Behavior; Child; Chronic; Chronic stress; Communities; Complex; County; Data; Data Set; Decision Making; Destinations; Development; Disasters; Drainage procedure; Economics; Education; Elderly; Empirical Research; Environmental Exposure; Event; Exposure to; Floods; Frequencies; Future; Genetic Complementation Test; Geography; Goals; Health; Household; Human Development; Hurricane; Impairment; Improve Access; Individual; Measurement; Measures; Mentored Research Scientist Development Award; Mentors; Methods; Migrant; Neighborhoods; North Carolina; Out-Migrations; Outcomes Research; Personal Satisfaction; Persons; Population Sciences; Populations at Risk; Probability; Public Policy; Rain; Recording of previous events; Records; Recurrence; Regression Analysis; Research; Research Personnel; Resolution; Resources; Respondent; Risk; Sampling; Sea; Shapes; Stress; Survey Methodology; Surveys; System; Techniques; Testing; Time; Training; United States; Vulnerable Populations; Water; Wildfire; adverse birth outcomes; age group; career; climate change; climate impact; climate-related exposures; community-level factor; design; experience; extreme storms; extreme weather; health assessment; improved; insight; migration; negative affect; novel; physical conditioning; population health; programs; psychological distress; psychosocial; response; sea level rise; skills; theories; young adult

ABSTRACT Climate change and extreme weather events pose a growing threat to the health and development of vulnerable populations in the United States. Psychological distress from extreme storms often persists for years, air pollution from wildfires increases the risk of adverse birth outcomes, and floods spread contaminants in land and water. While the threats from climate change to wellbeing are clear, research has predominantly focused on the effects of extreme events, rather than how the “new normal” under climate change can cause frequent disruptions and long-term stress for households and communities. For many coastal communities, sea level rise is creating a new normal with routine flooding from monthly high tides and rain. While those floods are not as catastrophic as hurricanes, their near-certain occurrence causes different problems – and potentially leads to different responses – than low- probability hurricane strikes. Understanding the impacts of chronic stresses from climate change, alone and in combination with acute disasters, is necessary for enabling effective adaptation. This K01 Award proposal will advance our understanding of the impacts of chronic and acute coastal flooding on migration and stress. By building on my expertise in climate exposures and impacts, it will accelerate my progress towards my career goal of becoming an independent researcher at the intersection of climate change and population science. I will train in demographic theory and methods, conduct guided readings with my mentors on measurement of psychosocial and physical health, and develop survey design and analysis skills. Then, I will apply those skills to study the interactions between flooding, migration, and health in coastal communities in the US. My research aims are: 1) to characterize the relationship between flood experience and in- and out-migration, 2) to analyze how health, economic resources, and flood experience shape migration intentions, and 3) to assess the health and economic wellbeing of movers and stayers. To achieve these aims, I will draw on two primary datasets: an administrative dataset consisting of individual address histories for most adults in eight Atlantic coast states, and a detailed household survey currently underway in four coastal North Carolina counties. My mentor team, with expertise in environmental migration, survey methods, and health measurement, are ideally suited to help me achieve my research and training goals. The outcomes of the research and data collected in this study will form the basis for future R-level proposals to expand the geographic scope of the household survey on the impacts of coastal flooding and to examine the health and development impacts of sea level rise on children and young adults. Combined, the research and training proposed here will enable me to apply my expertise in climate change adaptation to the widespread and urgent challenge of climate impacts on health, migration, and human development.

抽象的 气候变化和极端天气事件对健康和发展构成了日益严重的威胁 美国脆弱人群。极端风暴的心理困扰经常持续 多年来，野火的空气污染会增加出生不良后果的风险，地板蔓延开来 土地和水中的污染物。虽然气候变化到幸福感的威胁很明显，但研究 主要集中在极端事件的影响上，而不是如何以下 气候变化会给家庭和社区带来经常造成干扰和长期压力。 对于许多沿海社区，海平面上升正在创造一种新的常态，随着常规的洪水 每月高潮和雨。虽然这些地板不像飓风那样灾难性，但它们近乎确定 发生的问题与低 - 概率袭击。仅凭气候变化而了解慢性压力的影响 与急性灾难相结合，对于实现有效的适应性是必要的。这个K01奖 提案将促进我们对慢性和急性沿海洪水的影响的理解 迁移和压力。通过建立我在气候暴露和影响方面的专业知识，它将加速 我在职业生涯中的进步是成为一名独立研究员 气候变化和人口科学。我将培训人口理论和方法，指导性 与我的导师读物有关心理和身体健康的测量以及正在进行的调查 设计和分析技能。然后，我将运用这些技能来研究洪水之间的相互作用， 美国沿海社区的移民和健康。我的研究目的是：1）表征 洪水经验与移民和移民之间的关系，2）分析健康，经济如何 资源和洪水经历塑造移民意图，以及3）评估健康和经济 动作和住宿的福祉。为了实现这些目标，我将在两个主要数据集上绘制 行政数据集由八个大西洋海岸的大多数成年人组成的个人地址历史 各州，以及目前在北卡罗来纳州沿海四个县正在进行的详细家庭调查。我的 具有环境迁移，调查方法和健康测量方面的专业知识的导师团队是 非常适合帮助我实现研究和培训目标。研究结果和 这项研究中收集的数据将构成未来R级建议扩展地理的基础 家庭调查的范围关于沿海洪水影响并检查健康的范围 海平面上升对儿童和年轻人的发展影响。结合了研究和 在这里提出的培训将使我能够在适应气候变化的适应中专业知识 气候对健康，移民和人类发展的影响的宽度和紧急挑战。