"WORKSHOPS IN FORMAL AND QUANTITATIVE DEMOGRAPHY"

“正式和定量人口学研讨会”

• 批准号: 6936435
• 负责人: SHRIPAD D. TULJAPURKAR
• 金额: $ 14.47万
• 依托单位: STANFORD UNIVERSITY
• 依托单位国家: 美国
• 财政年份: 2004
• 资助国家: 美国
• 起止时间: 2004-08-15 至 2007-07-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://reporter.nih.gov/project-details/6936435
• 关键词: analytical method; educational resource design /development; fertility; human migration; human morbidity; human mortality; human population study; mathematical model; postgraduate education; science education; sociology /anthropology; workshop

DESCRIPTION (provided by applicant): This is a revised proposal to design and conduct two workshops in each of two years, for graduate and postdoctoral students, covering formal demography and related analytical methods. Formal demography here refers in the first place to demographic analysis based on the renewal equation, rooted in the work of Alfred Lotka and demographers of the modem age such as Ansley Coale, Nathan Keyfitz, and Samuel Preston. Secondly, formal demography refers to more recent work describing populations in transition, stochastic dynamics, collective dynamics, and demographic-economic models. Finally, formal demography includes the development of these methods in specific substantive contexts including fertility, mortality, disability, migration, networks, and a range of other topics - development that is rooted in formal models of social, demographic, and economic processes. These models are not necessarily analytical: they include models that are formulated as computer programs. The program we propose consists of two workshops each year. First, a Summer Workshop of 14 days covering formal demography, modeling methods and techniques, and related computational methods. Second, a three-day Mini-workshop in advanced modeling and analysis organized around specialized topics (forecasting in year 1, biodemographic models in year 2).

描述（由申请人提供）：这是一项修订的建议，在两年中，针对研究生和博士后学生设计和进行两个讲习班，涵盖正式的人口统计学和相关的分析方法。首先，正式的人口统计是基于续签方程的人口统计分析，植根于Alfred Lotka的工作和现代时代的人口统计师，例如Ansley Coale，Nathan Keyfitz和Samuel Preston。 其次，正式人口统计学是指描述过渡，随机动力学，集体动力学和人口经济模型中种群的最新工作。最后，正式的人口统计学包括在特定实质环境中开发这些方法，包括生育能力，死亡率，残疾，移民，网络以及一系列其他主题 - 植根于社会，人口统计和经济过程的正式模型的发展。这些模型不一定是分析性的：它们包括以计算机程序为例的模型。我们提出的计划每年由两个研讨会组成。首先，一个14天的夏季研讨会涵盖了正式的人口统计学，建模方法和技术以及相关的计算方法。其次，一个为期三天的高级建模和分析小型工厂围绕专门主题组织（第1年预测，第2年的生物人口统计学模型）。