Feasibility of Afforestation and Biomass energy with carbon capture storage for Greenhouse Gas Removal (FAB GGR)

造林和生物质能源与碳捕获储存用于温室气体去除的可行性（FAB GGR）

• 批准号: NE/P019803/1
• 负责人: Astley Hastings
• 金额: $ 18.62万
• 依托单位: University of Aberdeen
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Research Grant
• 财政年份: 2017
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2017 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=NE%2FP019803%2F1
• 关键词: Feasibility; Afforestation; Biomass; energy; carbon

GGR Consortium: FAB GGRFuture climate change is projected to have overall negative impacts on many aspects of human society (e.g. health, availability of food, rising sea levels) and on natural ecosystems (e.g. loss of biodiversity). In Paris in December 2015, countries agreed to limit the increase in global mean temperature to well below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial and to pursue efforts to limit warming to 1.5 degrees C. This poses a phenomenal challenge because most of the allowable 'budget' of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to stay within these temperature targets has already been spent, and global CO2 emissions are still increasing.Current efforts to limit the negative impacts of climate change focus on reducing the amount of greenhouse gases especially CO2 that we put into our atmosphere, by changing how we generate and use electricity, how we power our transport, and how we heat or cool our homes. However, keeping the increase in global temperature to well below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial will also require us to actively remove greenhouse gases from the atmosphere on a very large scale. Two ways that scientists and economists suggest we could do this are by (1) planting forests to lock up carbon and (2) using energy crops or waste from the timber and agricultural industries to generate electricity and capture and store underground the CO2 produced when the electricity is made. Both of these approaches require large areas of land on which to grow the energy crops or trees.This project will investigate how realistic it is to depend on these methods of CO2 removal, and what the consequences would be for the climate, land-use, ecosystems, and wider social and political systems.We aim to more accurately determine the amount of CO2 these methods are able to remove from the atmosphere for a given amount of effort. Many factors contribute to this calculation, some of which are highly uncertain. For example, how the carbon cycle will respond to a large shift in land use for energy crops or forests. Social factors are also critical. The development of these important technologies depends on understanding social reactions and the right policies being in place to stimulate uptake. We will use an interdisciplinary mix of quantitative models and qualitative social science methods to address these issues. The models represent relevant aspects of the Earth system from farm to global scales, including the land, soils, plants, and atmosphere. A key aim is to make a comprehensive (termed 'consequential') life cycle assessment of the effect of the chosen technologies on the carbon cycle, working from the scale of supply chains to particular power plants, to the UK national scale, to the whole Earth system. We aim to go beyond this and also consider the wider effects and trade-offs of the technologies on societies and policy, the climate system, land-use, and ecosystem services. These include impacts on the release of other greenhouse gases, physical effects on the climate system (for example changing the reflectivity of the land surface to sunlight), effects on the water cycle and water quality, on biodiversity, and on the recreational value of landscapes. Working together with the quantitative analysis we will conduct a comprehensive assessment of the societal, policy and governance-related uncertainties, implications and bottlenecks associated with the real world implementation of the project's two chosen GGR methods. This draws on state-of-the-art social science approaches developed by the research team for the review and analysis of how members of the public and stakeholders perceive and respond to emerging technologies, including those for CO2 removal. The consortium team will meet every six months to exchange ideas and learn from each other. At the end of the project we will present our most important findings to policy makers so they can better understand how realistic it is to depend on these methods.

GGR联盟：Fab Ggrfuture气候变化预计将对人类社会的许多方面（例如健康，食物的可用性，海平面上升）和自然生态系统（例如生物多样性的丧失）产生总体负面影响。在2015年12月的巴黎，各国同意将全球平均温度的升高限制在比工业前高于2度以下的升高至2度以下，并努力将变暖限制为1.5度。这对大多数允许的“预算”构成了一个现象的挑战，因为大多数“预算”碳二氧化碳（CO2）在这些温度中的限制仍然限制了限制的范围，而整体上的构成了整体的CO2 ERSION，并且是CO2 ERSIONT的范围。改变专注于减少温室气体的数量，尤其是我们通过改变我们的产生和使用电力，如何为运输动力以及如何加热或冷却房屋来减少大气中的二氧化碳。但是，将全球温度的升高升至高于工业前的2度低于2度，也将要求我们积极地以非常大的规模从大气中清除温室气体。科学家和经济学家认为我们可以做到这一点的两种方法是通过（1）种植森林来锁定碳，（2）使用木材和农业产业中的能源作物或废物来发电，并在发电时生产的二氧化碳地下捕获并将其捕获并存储在地下。这两种方法都需要大量的土地来种植能源作物或树木。该项目将调查依赖这些二氧化碳去除方法以及对气候，土地利用，生态系统以及更广泛的社会和政治系统的后果是多么现实。我们的目标是更准确地确定这些方法的量度，以确定这些方法的数量，可以从给定的范围中删除量的努力。许多因素有助于此计算，其中一些因素是高度不确定的。例如，碳循环将如何应对能源作物或森林的土地使用情况的巨大变化。社会因素也很关键。这些重要技术的发展取决于理解社会反应以及刺激吸收的正确政策。我们将使用定量模型和定性社会科学方法的跨学科组合来解决这些问题。这些模型代表了从农场到全球规模的地球系统的相关方面，包括土地，土壤，植物和氛围。一个关键目的是对所选技术对碳循环的影响进行全面的（称为“结果”）的生命周期评估，从供应链到特定的发电厂，再到英国国家规模，再到整个地球系统。我们的目标是超越这一问题，并考虑技术对社会和政策，气候系统，土地利用和生态系统服务的更广泛影响和权衡。这些包括对其他温室气体释放的影响，对气候系统的物理影响（例如，将陆地表面的反射率更改为阳光），对水循环和水质的影响，对生物多样性以及景观的休闲价值。与定量分析一起工作，我们将对与该项目选择的两种GGR方法的现实世界实施相关的社会，政策和治理相关的不确定性，含义和瓶颈进行全面评估。这借鉴了研究团队开发的最先进的社会科学方法，以审查和分析公众和利益相关者如何看待和响应新兴技术，包括二氧化碳去除技术。财团团队将每六个月开会一次交流想法并互相学习。在项目结束时，我们将向政策制定者提出我们最重要的发现，以便他们更好地了解依赖这些方法的现实性。

项目成果

Quantifying the land-based opportunity carbon costs of onshore wind farms

• DOI: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.132480
• 发表时间: 2022-06
• 期刊: Journal of Cleaner Production
• 影响因子: 11.1
• 作者: F. Albanito;S. Roberts;A. Shepherd;A. Hastings

Mitigation potential and environmental impact of centralized versus distributed BECCS with domestic biomass production in Great Britain

• DOI: 10.1111/gcbb.12630
• 发表时间: 2019-07-07
• 期刊: GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY BIOENERGY
• 影响因子: 5.6
• 作者: Albanito, Fabrizio;Hastings, Astley;Smith, Pete
• 通讯作者: Smith, Pete

Expression analysis and regulation of GLI and its correlation with stemness and metabolic alteration in human brain tumor.

GLI在人脑肿瘤中的表达分析和调控及其与干性和代谢改变的相关性。

• DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-30936-1_10
• 发表时间: 2023
• 期刊: 3 Biotech
• 影响因子: 2.8
• 作者: Agrawal K

Critical review of the impacts of grazing intensity on soil organic carbon storage and other soil quality indicators in extensively managed grasslands.

• DOI: 10.1016/j.agee.2017.10.023
• 发表时间: 2018-02-01
• 期刊: Agriculture, ecosystems & environment
• 作者: Abdalla M;Hastings A;Chadwick DR;Jones DL;Evans CD;Jones MB;Rees RM;Smith P
• 通讯作者: Smith P

Biofuels and Bioenergy

生物燃料和生物能源

• DOI: 10.1002/9781118350553.ch7
• 发表时间: 2017
• 作者: Clifton-Brown J