MULTIMODAL urban transport: integrated modelling and simulation towards net-zero, inclusive mobility

多式联运城市交通：综合建模和模拟，实现净零、包容性交通

• 批准号: MR/X03500X/1
• 负责人: Haitao He
• 金额: $ 159.4万
• 依托单位: Loughborough University
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=MR%2FX03500X%2F1
• 关键词: MULTIMODAL; urban; transport; integrated; modelling

Domestic transport is the UK's highest emission sector, and congestion in cities is costly (e.g. London £5.1bn in 2021). Drastically reducing urban car dominance is imperative to reach the UK's 2050 net-zero target, but also an unparalleled opportunity to create more equitable, inclusive and accessible cities of the future across the country. Recent UK investments of approximately £15bn seek to radically transform urban mobility and modality: £2bn for half of urban journeys to be cycled/walked by 2030 (e.g., cycle lanes, mini-Holland schemes), £5.7bn City Region Sustainable Transport Settlements (e.g., Manchester bus and cycle schemes), and £7bn to level up local bus services.To realise full investment potential, and develop holistic adoption pathways towards net-zero, inclusive mobility, multimodal transport must be effectively planned, managed and operated, with people and their differences as a core consideration. This is challenging for a complex system-of-systems. On the supply side, modes compete for limited road space on shared infrastructure, creating conflicts. On the demand side, modes complement each other in intermodal journeys, jointly influencing uptake. For example, cycle lanes promote cycling, but may impact road speeds and exacerbate congestion and pollution, highlighting the need to evaluate person-level mobility and system-level emissions. A recent survey reported two-thirds of disabled respondents finding cycling easier than walking, highlighting the need to consider the broad disability spectrum and the potential for cycle lanes to improve access for all. Therefore, holistically optimising cycle lane schemes, as with all multimodal schemes, requires integrated methodologies: fully capturing multimodal transport systems' distributed and interconnected processes, the complexities of modal competition and complementarity, and the heterogeneity of traffic and population.My research will overcome these research challenges and develop the first multiscale digital twin for the transport-people-emission nexus using a truly integrated approach to model and simulate multimodal urban transport, advancing and coalescing my adventurous research in multimodality, using traffic flow theory, agent-based modelling, and machine learning. This will enable the development of holistic adoption pathways towards net-zero, inclusive mobility through scenario testing and optimisation, with guidance and recommendations to support implementation. Leading a strong consortium of 3 cities and 12 partners, covering the entire multimodal transport value chain, I will collaboratively exploit the digital twin to realise UK strategic agendas: net-zero; Equity, Diversity and Inclusivity (EDI); and levelling-up. By holistically enhancing mobility for everyone, my Fellowship also will propel the Green Revolution for economic growth, leveraging the net-zero mission to unlock new business opportunities, and establish the UK as a global leader in digital technologies to tackle climate change. I will deliver a strong positive impact on making net-zero a net win for people, industry, the UK, and the planet, thereby enabling both me and the UK to become world leaders in multimodal urban transport, at the forefront of research and innovation.

国内交通是英国排放最高的部门，城市拥堵的成本高昂（例如，伦敦到 2021 年将花费 51 亿英镑），以实现英国 2050 年净零目标，这也是一个无与伦比的机会。英国最近投资约 150 亿英镑，旨在从根本上改变城市的流动性和模式：其中 20 亿英镑用于建设一半的城市。到 2030 年，自行车/步行的旅程（例如自行车道、迷你荷兰计划）、57 亿英镑的城市地区可持续交通解决方案（例如曼彻斯特巴士和自行车计划）以及 70 亿英镑用于提升当地巴士服务。充分发挥投资潜力，并制定实现净零排放、包容性出行的全面采用途径，必须有效规划、管理和运营多式联运，并将人及其差异作为核心考虑因素，这对于一个国家来说是一项挑战。在供应方面，各种模式在共享基础设施上争夺有限的道路空间，从而产生冲突；在需求方面，各种模式在多式联运中相互补充，共同影响自行车的使用。但可能会影响道路速度并加剧拥堵和污染，这凸显了评估人员层面的流动性和系统层面的排放的必要性。最近的一项调查显示，三分之二的残疾人受访者认为骑自行车比步行更容易，这凸显了考虑广泛残疾的必要性。频谱和循环潜力因此，与所有多式联运方案一样，全面优化自行车道方案需要综合方法：充分捕捉多式联运系统的分布式和互连流程、模式竞争和互补性的复杂性以及交通和交通的异质性。我的研究将克服这些研究挑战，并使用真正集成的方法来建模和模拟多式联运城市交通，为交通-人员-排放关系开发第一个多尺度数字孪生，推进和合并我的冒险研究在多模态方面，利用交通流理论、基于代理的建模和机器学习，这将能够通过场景测试和优化开发全面采用的途径，以实现净零、包容性移动，并提供指导和建议来支持强有力的实施。由 3 个城市和 12 个合作伙伴组成的联盟，涵盖整个多式联运价值链，我将共同利用数字孪生来实现英国的战略议程：净零排放；公平、多样性和包容性 (EDI)；通过全面增强每个人的流动性，我的奖学金还将推动绿色革命以促进经济增长，利用净零使命来释放新的商机，并使英国成为应对气候变化的数字技术的全球领导者。我将为人类、工业、英国和地球的净零带来巨大的积极影响，从而使我和英国成为多式联运城市交通领域的世界领导者，处于研究和发展的前沿。创新。