MULTIMODAL urban transport: integrated modelling and simulation towards net-zero, inclusive mobility

多式联运城市交通：综合建模和模拟，实现净零、包容性交通

• 批准号: MR/X03500X/1
• 负责人: Haitao He
• 金额: $ 159.4万
• 依托单位: Loughborough University
• 依托单位国家: 英国
• 项目类别: Fellowship
• 财政年份: 2024
• 资助国家: 英国
• 起止时间: 2024 至 无数据
• 项目状态: 未结题
• 来源: https://gtr.ukri.org/projects?ref=MR%2FX03500X%2F1
• 关键词: MULTIMODAL; urban; transport; integrated; modelling

Domestic transport is the UK's highest emission sector, and congestion in cities is costly (e.g. London £5.1bn in 2021). Drastically reducing urban car dominance is imperative to reach the UK's 2050 net-zero target, but also an unparalleled opportunity to create more equitable, inclusive and accessible cities of the future across the country. Recent UK investments of approximately £15bn seek to radically transform urban mobility and modality: £2bn for half of urban journeys to be cycled/walked by 2030 (e.g., cycle lanes, mini-Holland schemes), £5.7bn City Region Sustainable Transport Settlements (e.g., Manchester bus and cycle schemes), and £7bn to level up local bus services.To realise full investment potential, and develop holistic adoption pathways towards net-zero, inclusive mobility, multimodal transport must be effectively planned, managed and operated, with people and their differences as a core consideration. This is challenging for a complex system-of-systems. On the supply side, modes compete for limited road space on shared infrastructure, creating conflicts. On the demand side, modes complement each other in intermodal journeys, jointly influencing uptake. For example, cycle lanes promote cycling, but may impact road speeds and exacerbate congestion and pollution, highlighting the need to evaluate person-level mobility and system-level emissions. A recent survey reported two-thirds of disabled respondents finding cycling easier than walking, highlighting the need to consider the broad disability spectrum and the potential for cycle lanes to improve access for all. Therefore, holistically optimising cycle lane schemes, as with all multimodal schemes, requires integrated methodologies: fully capturing multimodal transport systems' distributed and interconnected processes, the complexities of modal competition and complementarity, and the heterogeneity of traffic and population.My research will overcome these research challenges and develop the first multiscale digital twin for the transport-people-emission nexus using a truly integrated approach to model and simulate multimodal urban transport, advancing and coalescing my adventurous research in multimodality, using traffic flow theory, agent-based modelling, and machine learning. This will enable the development of holistic adoption pathways towards net-zero, inclusive mobility through scenario testing and optimisation, with guidance and recommendations to support implementation. Leading a strong consortium of 3 cities and 12 partners, covering the entire multimodal transport value chain, I will collaboratively exploit the digital twin to realise UK strategic agendas: net-zero; Equity, Diversity and Inclusivity (EDI); and levelling-up. By holistically enhancing mobility for everyone, my Fellowship also will propel the Green Revolution for economic growth, leveraging the net-zero mission to unlock new business opportunities, and establish the UK as a global leader in digital technologies to tackle climate change. I will deliver a strong positive impact on making net-zero a net win for people, industry, the UK, and the planet, thereby enabling both me and the UK to become world leaders in multimodal urban transport, at the forefront of research and innovation.

国内运输是英国最高的排放部门，城市的拥塞成本很高（例如伦敦2021年51亿英镑）。必须大幅度降低城市汽车的统治地位，必须达到英国2050年的净零目标，但这也是一个无与伦比的机会，可以在全国范围内创造更公平，包容和可及的城市。英国最近的大约150亿英镑的投资试图改变城市的流动性和方式：一半的城市旅程将在2030年循环/行走200亿英镑（例如，自行车道，迷你 - 荷兰计划），570亿英镑的可持续运输和曼彻斯特市区的服务（例如，曼彻斯特市和自行车级别），并建立了7亿英镑，以实现7亿英镑的投资。必须有效地计划，管理和操作净零，包容性流动性，多模式运输的采用途径，人们及其差异作为核心考虑因素。对于复杂的系统系统来说，这是挑战。在供应方面，模式在共享基础设施上争夺有限的道路空间，从而造成冲突。在需求方面，模式在联运过程中相互补充，共同影响吸收。例如，自行车道促进骑自行车，但可能会影响道路速度并加剧拥塞和污染，强调需要评估人级流动性和系统级排放的需求。最近的一项调查报告说，三分之二的残疾受访者发现骑自行车比步行更容易，这强调了考虑广泛的残疾谱系的需求，以及自行车道的潜力改善所有人的访问。因此，整体优化的循环车道方案，与所有多模式方案一样，都需要集成的方法：完全捕获多模式运输系统的分布和相互联系的过程，模态竞争和互补性的复杂性，互补性的复杂性，以及交通和人群的异质性。使用交通流理论，基于代理的建模和机器学习模拟多模式的城市运输，推进和融合我的多模式冒险研究。这将使通过方案测试和优化发展整体采用途径，纳入净零，包容性流动性，并提供指导和建议以支持实施。领导着一个由3个城市和12个合作伙伴组成的强大财团，涵盖了整个多式联运价值链，我将合作利用数字双胞胎来实现英国战略议程：net-Zero；公平，多样性和包容性（EDI）；和Levelling。通过整体增强每个人的流动性，我的奖学金还将推动绿色革命进行经济增长，利用净零命令来释放新的商机，并将英国建立为数字技术的全球领导者，以应对气候变化。我将对使零净赢得净赢得净赢得净冠军，从而使我和英国成为研究和创新的最前沿的多模式城市运输中的世界领导人。