Goal pursuit decisions under environmental and social uncertainty

环境和社会不确定性下的目标追求决策

• 批准号: DP190102881
• 负责人: Prof Simon Farrell
• 金额: $ 28.79万
• 依托单位: The University of Western Australia
• 依托单位国家: 澳大利亚
• 项目类别: Discovery Projects
• 财政年份: 2019
• 资助国家: 澳大利亚
• 起止时间: 2019-06-20 至 2023-12-31
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://dataportal.arc.gov.au/RGS/Web/Grants/DP190102881
• 关键词: Goal; pursuit; decisions; under; environmental

This project aims to develop an integrative computational model that explains how people prioritise the allocation of resources to different goals in the face of uncertainty. The project seeks to test a new theory through a series of experiments in which participants pursue goals by themselves in unpredictable environments, or in competition against an opponent. Expected outcomes include an integrated theory that accounts for the effects of both environmental and social uncertainty in the pursuit of multiple goals. Intended benefits include the development of computational models that can simulate human decision making in complex environments, analyse new concepts of operation, redesign work roles, and identify factors that reduce risk in decision-making.

该项目旨在开发一个综合计算模型，解释人们在面对不确定性时如何优先分配资源到不同的目标。该项目试图通过一系列实验来测试一种新理论，在这些实验中，参与者在不可预测的环境中或与对手的竞争中自行追求目标。预期成果包括一个综合理论，该理论解释了追求多个目标时环境和社会不确定性的影响。预期的好处包括开发计算模型，可以模拟复杂环境中的人类决策、分析新的操作概念、重新设计工作角色以及识别降低决策风险的因素。