Modelling of International Cargo Transportation Firm Behavior and Trade Estimation for Evaluating Port/Maritime/Trade Policies

用于评估港口/海事/贸易政策的国际货运公司行为和贸易估计建模

• 批准号: 23760487
• 负责人: ISHIGURO KAZUHIKO
• 金额: $ 2.08万
• 依托单位: Kobe University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2011 至 2013
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-23760487/
• 关键词: 多地域応用一般均衡モデル; 物流業; ロジットモデル; 港湾選択モデル; ネットワーク配分モデル; 運輸業; 国際輸送; 国内輸送; 運賃

This study developed three models of cargo transportation. The models were assessed reproducibility and validity. (1) A spatial computable equilibrium model was developed. A cargo transportation firm behavior and a freight mechanism is included in the model. The model was applied to estimating impacts of transportation market changes and policies such as an increase of ship size and deregulation of cabotage. (2) Shippers' port choice behavior models were developed by considering vessel calling schedule. The model were applied to estimating impacts of a new calling service by a day of the week and an abolition of incentives to calling and/or shipment at a particular port. (3) Cargo transportation assignment model was developed. Economy of scale at container terminal is expressed in the model. The model was applied to estimating impacts of an increase of ship size and a soaring fuel price.

这项研究开发了三种货物运输模型。评估模型的再现性和有效性。 (1)开发了空间可计算平衡模型。模型中包含了货物运输企业行为和货运机制。该模型应用于估计运输市场变化和政策的影响，例如船舶尺寸的增加和沿海航行管制的放松。 (2)考虑船舶停靠时间表建立托运人港口选择行为模型。该模型适用于按一周中的某一天估算新停靠服务的影响以及取消对特定港口停靠和/或装运的激励措施。 (3)开发了货物运输分配模型。模型中体现了集装箱码头的规模经济。该模型用于估计船舶尺寸增加和燃油价格飙升的影响。

项目成果

Economic Effect of International Transportation Infrastructure Development on a Landlocked Region

国际交通基础设施发展对内陆地区的经济影响

• 发表时间: 2013
• 作者: Kobayashi;K.;Westlund;H.;and Jeong;H;Rujun Jin and Kazuhiko Ishiguro
• 通讯作者: Rujun Jin and Kazuhiko Ishiguro

Equilibrium Model for Analysis on Opening and Improving Transportation Routes

交通线路开放和完善分析的均衡模型

• 发表时间: 2012
• 作者: 片岡志帆;真田純子;Kazuhiko Ishiguro
• 通讯作者: Kazuhiko Ishiguro

リバース・ロジスティクス効率化効果推計モデル

逆向物流效率提升效果估算模型

• 发表时间: 2014
• 期刊: 内航海運研究
• 作者: 藤本明弘;服部香名子;大矢勝;加藤邦子;石黒一彦
• 通讯作者: 石黒一彦