Balance of payments imbalances and the global economy

国际收支失衡与全球经济

• 批准号: 23530357
• 负责人: ONO Masanori
• 金额: $ 1万
• 依托单位: Seikei University
• 依托单位国家: 日本
• 项目类别: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)
• 财政年份: 2011
• 资助国家: 日本
• 起止时间: 2011 至 2013
• 项目状态: 已结题
• 来源: https://kaken.nii.ac.jp/grant/KAKENHI-PROJECT-23530357/
• 关键词: 国際収支; 国際貿易; 経済発展; 価格; 発展段階

The first paper classifies 175 countries over a period of just 30 years according to the balance of payments stages that are frequently used in proposing a hypothesis that the stage depends on the progression in a nation's development. Using a nonparametric estimation, this investigation demonstrates that a nation's stage in the balance of payments has a non-monotonic relationship with its economic development, and that a country at the stage of immature creditor-lender enjoys a higher GDP per capita than at any other stage in its development. The second paper investigates Japanese trade to see whether the J/S-curve phenomenon between net exports and the terms of trade is observed in the data. Based on the results of a VAR stability test, the aggregate trade data are endogenously split into three sub-period data sets, with the J/S-curve present in the last two. The J/S-curve may stem from the increasing share of China and the oil-exporting countries in Japanese trade.

第一篇论文根据付款阶段的平衡阶段将175个国家归类为175个国家，这些阶段经常用于提出一个假设，即阶段取决于一个国家发展的发展。利用非参数估计，这项调查表明，一个国家在付款平衡中的阶段与其经济发展具有非单调关系，而在未成熟债权人伦德人阶段的国家人均GDP享有比在其发展中的任何其他阶段更高的GDP。第二篇论文调查了日本贸易，以查看净出口与贸易条款之间的J/S-curve现象是否在数据中观察到。根据VAR稳定性测试的结果，总贸易数据被内源分为三个子周期数据集，最后两个中存在J/S-曲线。 J/S-curve可能源于中国和日本贸易中石油出口国的份额日益增加。

项目成果

Examining the balance of payments stages hypothesis

检验国际收支阶段假设

• 发表时间: 2014
• 期刊: Discussion paper series, Faculty of Economics, Seikei University
• 作者: Jun-ichi Itaya;Makoto Okamura;Chikara Yamaguchi;Masanori Ono
• 通讯作者: Masanori Ono

Examining the bakance of payments stages hypothesis, Faculty of Economics

检验支付阶段假说的平衡性，经济学院

• 发表时间: 2014
• 期刊: Discussion Paper Series
• 作者: Ogura;Y.;and Uchida;H;中井英雄・齊藤愼;Masanori Ono
• 通讯作者: Masanori Ono

Balance of Payments Stages in the World over Three Decades

三十年来世界国际收支平衡阶段

• 发表时间: 2013
• 作者: Ogura;Y;齊藤愼;大野正智
• 通讯作者: 大野正智

Revisiting the J-Curve for Japan

重温日本的 J 曲线

• 发表时间: 2010
• 期刊: 福島大学経済学会ディスカッションペーパー No. 66
• 作者: 大野正智;SaangJoon Baak
• 通讯作者: SaangJoon Baak